Basel
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Assuming also that both sides have the same level of skill in tactics as well.
Attackers don't have advantage of home ground, PAF can wait for MKIs to come close 50km of border to launch JFTs while F-7s can be used as baits while SAMs can take care of other airborne threats.
At 200kms inside Indian border MKI MAWS can yell run for your life, get the point.