dont believe what the india media writes. IMO these are just ploys to scare and spur the india govt. to release funds for the indian armed forces. IN remains a capable force.
Well......
Lets not get ahead of ourselves.
Pakistan's all strategic deployments are primarily India-centric and they have managed their acquisitions very well within their limited budget.
On the other hand India with it's larger defence budget has absolutely muddled both the development and procurement programs.
Kolkatta class, kamorta class, and P17A designs are running years late, DCNS scorpene and follow up P75I are not delayed.
In my personal opinion (which may be wrong), India is not in any position to enforce significant blockade and successfully protect it's taskforce assets at the same time....
Pakistan has used its funding well enough - no doubt. It used its budget to buy capable submarines.
Subs are most effective for harassing and targetting enemy ships. So in that sense, Pakistan made the most of its budget.
But is that what stops a blockade?
Sandy, a blockade today is very different from a blockade that used to be in the 70's and 80's.
Indian ships no longer need to be present anywhere
near a minimum of 300 kms of the Pakistani coastline to enforce an effective blockade on Pakistan. They need not station themselves close or even in fixed routes of patrol like the old days.
What is a blockade? - to ensure that no men and material can be supplied to Pakistan during the period of war
How can it be achieved - simply by making sure no major ship can unload its goods on Pakistani soil.
How do you enforce a blockade - by getting complete situational awareness of the Pakistani coastline. We dont need to station ships in an area or keep up constant fixed patrolling to achieve that. All the ports of Pakistan would be bombed in the first 24 hours of the war by missiles fired from a variety of platforms - planes, land, ships and subs.
That alone would ensure that no major material can land.
After that, Indian ships only need to run long patrols. The main onus on keeping this up would be up to air elements.
Can subs make a difference - yes. Undoubtedly they would. Are they
enough ? Not even close. Indian SAG's would be out hunting for the subs themselves and the new aerial acquisitions in this department would be more useful than can be imagined.
If the Pakistani subs do not get damaged at the first declaration of war - which would be the Navy's first priority, then
sustaining a blockade would be made difficult by the Pakistani subs. The question that comes to mind is then - how long do we assume the war to last.
On the spending of Pakistani Naval budget - had Pakistan invested more on air assets - from jets to LRMP's, then coupled with the Subs, it would have made a blockade quite difficult for IN.
Lastly, I agree - Indian Naval production has been pathetic - and that is a compliment to them. The only way I see out is to start farming out orders to the private yards. I would say that the Navy needs 10 years to become an effective force. Right now, they are really not.