Arian
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I know geography of the region, perhaps better than you.
I also know Iran can annex. this part but... can you hold it ? and how long ?
If you try to takeover Nakhchivan, than it would be a strategic suicide and Godforbid If war broke, than it will not be limited to Nakhchivan and if Armenia jump in, it stands to loose everything.
Due to heavy snow in winter, Iranian pilots will not find any base to land fly . as far as Tabriz and even beyond.
This is why, I said Iran cannot launch offensive in winter, your own troops would be isolated in winter snow and will be left without air cover your logistics will come to halt when the region hit -20 or -30.
Imagine one missile is required to break the bridge of namak daryia and Iran itself risk to loose territory beyond the darya
Otherwise, I have noticed, whenever Turkey ran into diplomatic tensions with Israel, Iran came forward with its own mischief.
Yes. we can hold it. Why? because Azerbaijan can't take it back.
Armenia doesn't need to jump in, the only thing it needs to do is say that it remains neutral and it doesn't let Azerbaijani forces to use its air space or territory to fight Iran. And it does have the right to say so. Doesn't it?
We have borders with Nakhchivan. Iranian pilots won't need to patrol the area 24/7. Iranian soldiers will be settled there and we'll have heavy presence in there with our ground forces.moreover, we can shell the place anytime we want from our borders. Can't we? So we don't lack the logistics.
Whatever you say about Iran's operations in winter can be said about Azerbaijan too when it wants to take back Nakhchivan from us.
---------- Post added at 12:48 AM ---------- Previous post was at 12:46 AM ----------
I hope your ties get better. I have nothing against Turkey.Yeah you are right,Erdogan is messin but not Turkey.I still believe and expect that our ties will get better with Israel.
Jokes aside, if you ever make Turkey really really angry, at one point it will go crazy and come and crush you and your friends. But if you make it angry. Azerbaijan is our little brother! hope u understand.
Have you heard about those angry Iranians in the last years of Iraq-Iran war? We can be crazy too if we become really angry.