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Serpentine @
haman10 @
ResurgentIran @
IR1907 @
JEskandari
Lebanon is next, and then you guys following them. Or both at the same time. It's starting to become clear what is happening in the region. It is very difficult, I personally was against Assad/Maliki because they were capable of addressing local concerns. The US/Israel/UK/KSA are taking advantage of this situation. And due to ethnic demographics it easy to exploit the situation. There is too much stupidity amongst masses which is why horrible violence is being used. Why is why I tried saying in the beginning Syria should have been approached differently. It isn't just our part, obviously the scheme was being planned as well. Now we have everyone weakened, except Iran/Hezbollah and they are looking after Hezbollah next. Iran may be left alone because of lack of legal consensus/they also want Iran there to pitch Arab nations/Resistaance Axis plus MB in regional dispute to keep us preoccupied into this order.
Now Iraq is divided which some people like but it isn't good for Iranian interests. Even if Hezbollah can fight back it still will be bad, they want to damage Hezbollah/Lebanon very badly and this time they will target civilians much more to try to fully exploit tensions in Lebanon and get population against them. It is very complex and Hezbollah is now worrying to deal with multiple fronts which they can do but long term I don't know how it will play out. I don't know how Israel will declare war on Lebanon either but feel they want in the next two years but they are patient with the regional crisis.
Only people who can escape this regional mess is Hamas because Hamas has much experience in these attempts and secures Gaza without violence. They also have much local support due to PA experience in the past in Gaza. But, now the KSA/Egypt axis might try getting to either weaken Hamas more or try getting them to join their camp. Good thing is Hamas may not be forced to make a decision due to unity government taking financial responsibility.
Even though I have confidence in Hezbollah I fear if they get dragged into war it will be a war of attrition unless they resupply quickly. If they can't it will look similar to Gaza and not sure how Lebanese army would react.
This is why I think we need to think of new methods, Syria/Iraq are long gone and it's a tragedy what's occurring there. Iran starting from now needs to treat Syria as if it is completely in control of rebels and learn how to resupply Hezbollah in the instance of that. Hamas also needs urgent technological help since it is too difficult to smuggle nowadays. Hamas surprises me though because they never give up. They will get stronger again but they need more weapons/stronger ones/rockets with faster speed/anti-ship missiles/ammuntion for training(mortats/bullet/rpg rounds). Not sure where they can get this. I think Iran finds it risky to smuggle anti-ship missiles. Or Hamas does have them but not using them.
As creative as the resistance is, it needs to up the level still. But, I believe it's a waste to put any effort into Syria/Iraq. US now is trying to gain influence in Iraq. THe people are fed up with the situations as well. We should not take that seriously but find news to secure interests as I was saying from the beginning.
Your thoughts guys?