The part that “confirms” a hit is that it is uncharacteristic of Indians not to blow a toot on something as a damaged jet making it back. Or that the image of the jet making it back.
The “Amraam dodger” patches that appeared seemed to be almost an afterthought to the patches issued by the PAF.
If the Amraam was indeed “dodged” then why the clamoring for the Rafale?
Even if we give all the benefit of the doubt to them, discard all accounts heard - that Rafale comment on its own gives veracity to any claim by the PAF.
It is possible it could be the mig-21, but if it did explode on the Chaff - why did they not re-engage and basically the entire IAF technology “creme” tucked tail and ran?