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16th Feb Induction ceremony of thunders in No.14 Sqn

No 14 Squadron emblem takes pride on it's new JF-17 aircraft.

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PAF Fighter Squadrons as currently standing
No 2 Minhas: JF-17
No 5 Falcons: F-16 C/D Blk 50/52+
No 7 Bandits: Mirage III (ROSE I)
No 8 Haiders: Mirage 5 (Bomber sqn)
No 9 Griffins: F-16 A/B MLU
No 11 Arrows: F-16 A/B MLU
No 14 Tail Choppers: JF-17
No 15 Cobras: Mirage III/V
No 16 Panthers: JF-17
No 17 Tigers: F-7PG
No 18 Sharp Shooters: F-7P (OCU)
No 19 Sherdils: F-16 A/B ADF
No 20 Cheetahs: F-7PG
No 22 Ghazis: Mirage III (OCU)
No 23 Talons: F-7PG
No 25 Night Strike Eagles: Mirage V (ROSE II)
No 26 Black Spiders: JF-17
No 27 Zarrars: Mirage V (ROSE III)

Only 1 F-7P squadron to go which itself is an operational conversion unit. Likley the No 18 squadron's F-7s will be the next to be replaced, or it will be No 8 Haiders and the Mirage V. The 4 bold squads above are the ones in most dire need of replacement due to aircraft life or technology level. Then the 2 ROSE II/III squadrons will likely be replaced followed by the 3 F-7PG and 1 ROSE I squadron. (9 total left to go). Additionally the No 19 F-16 ADF squad needs MLU, although the ADF are able to fire AMRAAM. Likely either the ROSE II or ROSE III (or both) could be replaced by the Jordanian F-16s if ultimately acquired and MLU'd which would help speed up replacement of older aircraft.
 
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Paf need new planes other than thunder otherwise we would be talking to replace old f16 soon
 
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PAF Fighter Squadrons as currently standing
No 2 Minhas: JF-17
No 5 Falcons: F-16 C/D Blk 50/52+
No 7 Bandits: Mirage III (ROSE I)
No 8 Haiders: Mirage 5 (Bomber sqn)
No 9 Griffins: F-16 A/B MLU
No 11 Arrows: F-16 A/B MLU
No 14 Tail Choppers: JF-17
No 15 Cobras: Mirage III/V
No 16 Panthers: JF-17
No 17 Tigers: F-7PG
No 18 Sharp Shooters: F-7P (OCU)
No 19 Sherdils: F-16 A/B ADF
No 20 Cheetahs: F-7PG
No 22 Ghazis: Mirage III (OCU)
No 23 Talons: F-7PG
No 25 Night Strike Eagles: Mirage V (ROSE II)
No 26 Black Spiders: JF-17
No 27 Zarrars: Mirage V (ROSE III)

Only 1 F-7P squadron to go which itself is an operational conversion unit. Likley the No 18 squadron's F-7s will be the next to be replaced, or it will be No 8 Haiders and the Mirage V. The 4 bold squads above are the ones in most dire need of replacement due to aircraft life or technology level. Then the 2 ROSE II/III squadrons will likely be replaced followed by the 3 F-7PG and 1 ROSE I squadron. (9 total left to go). Additionally the No 19 F-16 ADF squad needs MLU, although the ADF are able to fire AMRAAM. Likely either the ROSE II or ROSE III (or both) could be replaced by the Jordanian F-16s if ultimately acquired and MLU'd which would help speed up replacement of older aircraft.
Keep in mind that the ROSE-II and ROSE-III units are primarily strike units for stand-off range weapons (e.g. H-2/H-4) and the Ra'ad. The PAF won't be able to fully rebuild this capability in the F-16 MLU. The PAF isn't gearing the JF-17 Block-I/II for the Ra'ad, so the strategic deterrence role will fall to the Mirage ROSE-II/III.

The Mirage ROSE-II/III will likely be supplanted by the JF-17 if/when a new Ra'ad ALCM is ready. If we are luckier, then the Mirage ROSE-I/II/III and F-7PG could be supplanted by both advanced JF-17 variants (Block-III/IV) and a new medium-weight platform (e.g. J-10C).

I agree that the next unit to go will be No. 18, most likely with JF-17A and JF-17Bs (for OCU). Next up, the JF-17 Block-IIIs will do away with the non-ROSE Mirage III/5 and, potentially, ROSE-I and F-7PG (in the air defence role the AESA-radar + BVR AAM + HOBS AAM JF-17 is far superior). AIM-120C5-capable F-16s (MLU/CCIP) could also supplant some Mirage ROSE and F-7PG in the air defence role.
 
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