When Iran struck Ain Al Assad last January the Americans cowering in their shelters were too scared to come out well after the Missiles stopped landing and when they did they were not exactly in tip top shape. They were too busy vomiting and suffering traumatic brain injuries in order to carry out effective operations. You are talking like they are sheltering from mortar attacks. these missile might be survivable for the personnel that seek adequate protection but they do not survive such intensive bombardments unaffected. If Iranian commanders are worth their salt they will use the timing of the U.S personnel tacking cover to send in waves of suicide drones/ manned fighter bombers to further target and degrade their bases while their personnel are taking cover.
Again, Iran's attack even though limited was demoralizing because it came as a shock to the psyche of the U.S. troops on the ground who had neither seen nor expected nor even known or herd of other US soldiers ever witnessing something like that.
American soldiers az koh pambeh sokhteh nashodan keh! People are people and it's human nature to adapt and it really doesn't matter where you are from!
Iran's attack was a shock & awe because the perception and psyche of the US soldiers on the ground was that they where the strongest military on the planet and no country would ever dare attack them in such a manner and even if they did their military was equipped with all type of defensive systems that would protect their bases. Simply put, in their psyche and in their subconscious they where in a safe place, even while they where going inside bunkers to take cover, subconsciously, they did NOT expect something like that. But now that they lived through it, a subsequent attack of that magnitude would not paralyze them to that extent because they have lived through it and even for US soldiers who weren't there, subconsciously, they have started to adapt to the possibility of being bombarded in a place they previously presumed to be shielded. And I am NOT saying it wouldn't effect them, simply that it's psychological effects would be ~5% less than last time and that trend will continue with subsequent attacks allowing them to adapt...
So to get the same demoralizing effect, Iran can't afford to fire 10 BM at a time at US bases over a span of days because they will adapt both psychologically and militarily because it is human nature to do so....
Meaning if the US starts a war, Iran within 24hrs needs to be ready to fire an average of 100 BM at each of the top 10 US bases in the region and as you said follow those attacks up with UCAV, LACM,....
There is no doubt in my mind that Iran will follow up it's BM strikes with subsequent PGM strike. The only & main question is the extent and scale of Iran's initial BM strike.
According to Haji Zadeh if the US had chosen to respond to Iran's attack on Ain Al Assad Iran was prepared to fire ~400BM within the 1st 24hrs and to me that number falls well short of what would be needed.
400BM is basically what Iran would require to cripple a country like the UAE not the USA.
And Iran's yearly production of solid fuel TBM alone needs to be well over that number.... And I hope that Haji Zadeh's comments were nothing more than miss information.
