So with China vaccinating over 10 million people per day, in 3 months time that will be more than 900 million people. Add to that the 260 million they have already vaccinated and That's atleast 1 shot for over 1 billion people. Things should be stable by then with those kind of gains but once 1 billion receive their 2nd shot, then they will have achieved 70% herd immunity in a country of 1.4 billion. These numbers are really mind boggling.
In the USA 144 million people have gotten 1 dose while 100 million have gotten 2 doses and are fully vaccinated. It should take the USA another 2 months to get the majority two doses.
TEHRAN – Iran is among the first countries which started developing a vaccine against coronavirus, and now four companies are endeavoring to release their products by September and inoculate the whole population.
www.tehrantimes.com
Meanwhile Iran has fully vaccinated 200,000, while 850,000 have gotten 1 dose. Iran is supposed to begin receiving 60 million doses of Sputnik from June until Dec. That will fully vaccinate 30 million people in Iran by the end of the year.
This last month Iran was planning on pumping out 3 million doses of Iranian made vaccines. By he end of Spring, June 20, Iran is expected to be producing 12-15 million doses per month. So all together approx 15 million by the end of June ? But production and distribution are two different things.
Anyways if you do the rough math, in the last 15 days Iran vaccinated 400,000+ people so that's an average of 26,000+ people a day, however the capacity is increasing rapidly. If Iran were to vaccinate 26,000 a day steadily, then by the end of the year 6 million people in Iran will have received one shot, but that's not good enough.
If however things go anything relative to plans and capacity for production and distribution kees increasing like we have witnessed in the last month, then by the end of the year, at the latest Iran should have achieved herd immunity for the majority of its population.
It will be interesting to see how much Iran will be able to export by the time everything is said and done because producing 12-15 million a month by June 20 is very respectable and if Iran has already vaccinated its own population then it can sell vaccines to neighboring / regional countries and some nations abroad. That will give Iran a much needed little economic boost as well. The article doesn't state if Iran's production capacity is planning to go higher than 15 million doses a month but even that is 500,000 doses per day.
Because only a handful of smaller nations have been able to immunize the majority of their populations. Larger nations, even giving millions of people a day the vaccine, it will still take a few more months to wrap up for the bigger nations. The rest of the world it will most likely take another year until 70% of the global population is vaccinated with two doses. Currently only 3.4% of the global population have been fully vaccinated. With what has happened in India and additionally the AstraZeneca / Johnson & Johnson blood clot controversies, those issues will slightly clog up the global supply as well.
