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India will overtake China in 2021

One child policy is going to be modified before it's removed, theres talk of a two child policy. the government is aware of the aging problem.
I think amendments have been made, I heard something like the children from one child policy can have two child...something like that....but there was also the news that the couples of this one child policy either don't want a child or won't have more than one....Hope someone can put more light on it....
 
I think amendments have been made, I heard something like the children from one child policy can have two child...something like that....but there was also the news that the couples of this one child policy either don't want a child or won't have more than one....Hope someone can put more light on it....

Minorities aren't target by the one child policy so their population can grow, it's mostly the han majority affected. there are cases of couples not wanting girls but boys which has to change.
 
Not only in that, in everything...Every single field. China's time is up. it already is an aging population.
Besides that it's agenda is to take over neighbors territories and bully them.
With slowing economy and poor demographics china won't even stand a chance to win.:cry:
No way we're going to loose out them ::no:

Oh you mean to say all grand pa will come to attack India :D
 
Minorities aren't target by the one child policy so their population can grow, it's mostly the han majority affected. there are cases of couple not wanting girls but boys which has to change.


And China and India have the most wait times for adoption.
 
The Times of India used to have an excellent series on the history of the 1962 war. I read it about five years ago. Now, they've archived it. Go search their archives. It can't be done in English, because I tried it. It might still be available in Hindi.

Don't give silly excuses..if you make a claim back it up. Don't give I read x years ago cr@p. Show me one source that says Indian Army fought with all their might in 1962.

By population growth rate, Pakistan is ahead of India...learn before u speak!

List of countries by population growth rate - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Also their have only less arable land which is mostly in the Punjab province.


I remember a Chinese member here saying that its difficult to change the policy as a huge chunk of bureaucracy depends on this policy for survival.
 
I remember a Chinese member here saying that its difficult to change the policy as a huge chunk of bureaucracy depends on this policy for survival.

the government is aware the cons outweigh the pros the aging problem, so a two child policy is going to happen.
 
oops when i had a first glance at the title of the thread i though it would be regarding military or economically but lol heck this is about population ... Who the hell wants the title of being the most populous country ...I think China will be more than willing to transfer this honor to india ...not only that they will also be willing to help india on that ...like ..:girl_wacko:
 
Indians are so insanely obsessed about china.:lol: They can't go to sleep without reminding some
chinese that Bharat will be the next supa pawa. Our chinese friends should pat the head of the
indians otherwise they would die of sleep deprivation and anxiety.

Dude 2 million of your people are coming back to BD from KSA. Think about them rather than giving sermons to India.

Look at your post and conversations between indian and Hu Songshan....indulge in constructive discussion.:drag:

When was this guy ever interested in constructive discussion.
 
Don't give silly excuses..if you make a claim back it up. Don't give I read x years ago cr@p. Show me one source that says Indian Army fought with all their might in 1962.

Since you insist, I will oblige you. Let's try some Chinese logic.

If India did not fight with all of its might then Nehru would not have to desperately beg President Kennedy for help. This makes sense, because Nehru could just deploy Indian Army reserves against the PLA.

However, since Nehru was on his knees and pleaded twice with Kennedy for military assistance, we can only conclude the Indian Army had fought with all of its might in 1962 and was soundly defeated by the PLA.

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For Congress: What 1962?

"For Congress: What 1962?
05 Jul 2012
Author: Claude Arpi

The party refuses to even acknowledge, let alone discuss, the events that led to the country’s defeat at the hands of China. This is no way to look ahead.

It is called amnesia. Last year, when a souvenir, Congress and the Making of the Indian Nation, was released on the occasion of the 125th anniversary of the foundation of the party, incredulous readers could not believe their eyes. Though the Indian National Congress was still able to remember the role of former Prime Ministers Lal Bahadur Shastri and Indira Gandhi in the India-Pakistan conflicts of 1965 and 1971, the authors/eminent historians had amazingly forgotten that there was a traumatic war with China in October/November 1962.

Edited by Mr Pranab Mukherjee, the souvenir recalls that in 1971, Mrs Indira Gandhi “was hailed as Durga, an incarnation of Shakti”; the armed conflict which saw the birth of Bangladesh was “her personal success”! Fine, but the party showed a very selective memory.

The presidential candidate wrote in his introduction: “This publication is …but to a considerable extent the history of the Indian people... This glorious history should serve as a guide and an anchor in helping the country negotiate future challenges.”

But how to negotiate the challenge if the past, however painful it was, is still brushed under the carpet?

The 1962 conflict with China remains a deep scar on the Indian psyche; it is only by giving the complete information to the people of India that it can be ‘healed’.

One of the problems with this ‘amnesia’, bordering on Alzheimer syndrome, is that the opposing party of the 1962 conflict has not forgotten anything, unfortunately it remembers the event through its own glasses.

Mr Hong Yuan, a researcher with the Center of World Politics at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences recently wrote in The Global Times: “China won, but never wanted, Sino-Indian war”. Mr Yuan said: “China initially tried to avoid military confrontation, out of respect to India’s ancient culture and sympathy that it had suffered a similar painful past of oppression by colonial powers. However, India’s persistent provocation eventually breached China’s bottom-line, and the People’s Liberation Army was forced to join the battle in self-defense.” The same old version of the disastrous events.

The poor quality of ‘memory’ of the Congress (and the Indian Government in general) also shows the level of modern ‘official’ historians. Foremost amongst the writers of the ‘souvenir’ was Ms Mridula Mukherjee, the then director of Nehru Memorial Museum and Library, an autonomous body under the Ministry of Culture which flouted Government rules prohibiting the director of such bodies from associating himself/herself with a particular political party.

Interestingly, this came soon after another ‘release’: Two letters sent by Jawaharlal Nehru to US President John F Kennedy on November 19, 1962. Thanks to the eminent journalist Inder Malhotra, these two missives are today in the public domain.

How is it that the Indian Government does not remember that the Indian Prime Minister wrote to the US President about India’s ‘desperate’ situation? Nehru begged the US to immediately dispatch a “more comprehensive” US military aid, “if the Chinese are to be prevented from taking over the whole of Eastern India”.

Till these letters were ‘declassified’ by Mr Malhotra, there was only a brief mention about their existence in the Foreign Relations of the United States published by the US State Department; it mentions: “The letter was the first of two letters sent by Nehru to Kennedy on November 19. The second was delivered to the White House by the Indian Ambassador on the evening of November 19. These letters have not been declassified by the Indian Government.”

The US Office of the Historian quoted the summary published by S Gopal, Nehru’s biographer: “Nehru, apparently without consulting any of his Cabinet colleagues or officials, apart from the Foreign Secretary, MJ Desai, wrote two letters to Kennedy describing the situation as ‘really desperate’ and requesting the immediate despatch of a minimum of 12 squadrons of supersonic all-weather fighters and the setting up of radar communications. American personnel would have to man these fighters and installations and protect Indian cities from air attacks by the Chinese till Indian personnel had been trained.”

The letter continues asking for planes to assist the Indian Air Force (which was not even allowed to participate in the war). A panicked Nehru also wanted Indian pilots to be sent immediately for training in the US.

Nehru told Kennedy that after the fall of Chushul in Ladakh, there was “nothing to stop the Chinese till they reach Leh”.

Though 50 years later New Delhi does not remember, that in November 1962, “with the advance of the Chinese in massive strength, the entire Brahmaputra Valley is seriously threatened and unless something is done immediately to stem the tide”; these were Nehru’s words. Fortunately, the Chinese had already decided to declare a unilateral cease-fire.


Fifty years after the tragic events of 1962, India still can’t access its own history as the Government remains adamant not to publish the Henderson-Brooks report of the 1962 debacle and other documents related to the conflict (such as the Himmatsinghji Committee Report on the North-east borders said to be ‘untraceable’ by the Ministry).

On December 7, 2005, another senior journalist Kuldip Nayar applied to the Union Ministry of Defence under the RTI Act to see the famous report. When the case came to the Chief Information Commissioner, the Ministry of Defence stated: “Disclosure of this information will amount to disclosure of the Army’s operational strategy in the North-east and the discussion on deployments has a direct bearing on the question of the demarcation of the Line of Actual Control between India and China, a live issue under examination between the two countries at present.”

The second argument might be true, but the first one is ridiculous. A democratic Government should be willing to open its archives and let a thousand histories bloom and give its own ‘official’ version of the facts.

In the meantime, the Chinese have a field day. The Global Times says: “When the sound of China’s artillery reached New Delhi, the PLA decisively halted its military operation and pulled back its troops. The PLA’s performance in the war shocked Western strategists and did [China] proud. Its victory has also brought peace on one of China’s most important borders for half a century.” In another words, India should thank China for bringing 50 years of peace to the sub-continent.

At that time, for Mao and for Beijing still today: “War is a negotiating approach, but not a goal. Similarly, China’s decision to fight back against India in the 1962 border war was to strike a peace with its neighbour.” The Chinese historians pretend that: “China’s peaceful intentions were further testified by its unilateral ceasefire on November 22, 1962.” Mao just wanted “to wake [Nehru] up from the superpowers’ influence by giving him a heavy punch, so that he would come to his senses and end the war. War is an extreme means of communication between civilizations.” And Beijing added: “Mao wanted to send a message of peace to India, and to lay a good foundation for long-term friendship.”

The conclusions of The Global Times were: “Fifty years ago, the Indian Government was blinded by selfish interests, and wanted to force the Chinese to accept an illegal border line created by colonial powers. This was boldly rejected.” The result of the Government’s obstinacy is that 50 years after the events the world has today only one version of those two months: the Chinese one.

Even if blunders were committed — and they have been committed — it is more important for the nation to learn from them, rather than to hide them. It is by learning from its mistakes that a nation progresses, not by amnesia."

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Anyway, I came back into this thread to make a point. In the modern world, a larger population in a developing country is a detriment. China reached this conclusion and halted its population with the "one child" policy.

It is common sense that a limited pool of resources devoted to a smaller population will result in a healthier and better educated populace. Hence, we see China's standard of living (as evidenced by its per capita nominal GDP) booming to almost $6,000 U.S. dollars this year. China is well on its way to a comfortable life for all of its citizens.

On the other hand, India's population is exploding and its nominal per-capita GDP remains around $1,200. India is caught in a Malthusian trap. The same limited pool of resources is being distributed among more and more people. This results in massive malnutrition and illiteracy.

My point is that India is on the wrong path and its development strategy is incorrect. A greater population does not enhance national power in our modern technological world. It has the opposite effect.
 
I think it's not possible..the growth rate of India will gradually come down...
 
Since you insist, I will oblige you. Let's try some Chinese logic.

If India did not fight with all of its might then Nehru would not have to desperately beg President Kennedy for help. This makes sense, because Nehru could just deploy Indian Army reserves against the PLA.

However, since Nehru was on his knees and pleaded twice with Kennedy for military assistance, we can only conclude the Indian Army had fought with all of its might in 1962 and was soundly defeated by the PLA.


Dude in 1962, IAF was not used and in 1962 & even now the majority of our deployment like strike corps , armour etc are in the plains oriented towards Pakistan. So we fought with all our 'might' makes no sense.Most probably Nehru pleaded for American help to stop Chinese in the mountains of NE itself.
 
Dude in 1962, IAF was not used and in 1962 & even now the majority of our deployment like strike corps , armour etc are in the plains oriented towards Pakistan. So we fought with all our 'might' makes no sense.Most probably Nehru pleaded for American help to stop Chinese in the mountains of NE itself.

You didn't read the article. India was afraid of escalating the war by using air power. The Indian government was afraid China would bomb Indian cities in retaliation.

Regarding your mention of Indian forces on the Pakistani border, what would happen if you pulled them out and moved them to the eastern sector? The Pakistanis would invade and conquer your country. Therefore, you did not have spare forces to move to the eastern sector.

India did fight with all of its might, because the Indian army in the western sector was tied down by the Pakistani forces. Don't cry to me about how India didn't fight with all of its power. This is a classical problem of facing a two-front war. You can't just wish away the Pakistani military and redeploy the Indian army in the western sector against China. That is not an option.
 
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