DesiGuy
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Many, many factors. There is no perfect missile, which will hit the target for sure.
We have surface to surface missile, ship to surface, sub to surface, and aircrafts. All are necessary, as in war we can never be sure which system will fail for what reason. Aircrafts/missiles can be shot down. Subs/ships can be sunk. Than we cannot have nukes at one place, as it may be destroyed by the enemy. So many factors. Hence more the nukes, better.
Its not that they would be used, but they have to be kept so that they may be used. Under the worst possible situation.
This is the reason why US and Russia have so many nukes. They couldn't take chances. They needed to have more than what enemy could stop.
You got to be sure that the surface to surface missile, ship to surface, sub to surface, and aircraft" YOU are building and spending million or billion of $, MUST work in case of war.
It's not necessary that those missiles and aircraft will only be used to delvers to nuclear bombs.