I was talking about govt debt. And I was talking about developing country. You don't borrow more than what you can repay. It is common sense. Debt is no free money. 40% was an arbitrary number I picked. It should be somewhere around that number.I can already ask you a question. Are you talking about govt debt, total debt or foreign debt? Gross or net?
Total debt of Canada for example is 3 - 4 times its GDP.
China has 65% of its GDP as gross govt debt, double that of Bangladesh. Is Bangladesh able to borrow/leverage twice as easily as China?
And how did you come to 40% as the figure for the no go zone? Is a country at 39% doing immensely better than one at 41%? How do we draw lines in the sand and apply them to entire arbitrary groupings of countries like "developing" rather than treat the phenomenon as more continuous, complicated and intricate?
This is why countries have credit ratings you know.....if BD's credit rating is upgraded to some investment grade, you think its govt would keep its debt to the 33% figure (or whatever it currently is)....or transitions to whatever higher % it can manage under the new equilibrium the credit rating offers? i.e is the govt debt more fundamentally controlled by its own prudent fiscal policy or by its own credit standing among the major creditors? I can tell you from what I have seen, the latter always prevails as the larger environment....and the former is more of tinkering within that environment.
As of 2015 China's govt debt is 43% of their economy. This is the first time it has gone past 40%.
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/china/government-debt-to-gdp
While Pakistan's GDP to debt ratio is 66% and it has been only increasing lately. It was like 56% in 2001. I know nothing about economics(engineering student) but it seems Pakistan does have some problem with their ever increasing debt.
http://herald.dawn.com/news/1153618
https://profit.pakistantoday.com.pk...k-6-5b-external-debt-over-the-next-15-months/
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/pakistan/government-debt-to-gdp
For India the current debt is like 69% of GDP and it has decreased from 75% in 2008. I don't think India's borrowing has gone down but rather India's economy has expanded. Things are different for every country. India's economy is expanding fast so I guess India doesn't have to worry much about it. But still there surely are concerns.
https://scroll.in/article/818686/in...loans-and-that-could-wreck-development-dreams
Another article(Some BS in it but some good points too) http://www.sunday-guardian.com/analysis/in-the-end-india-will-still-be-trapped-in-debt
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/india/government-debt-to-gdp
For Bangladesh the debt was like 50% of GDP in 2002. But now it is around 27%. Which gives Bangladesh more flexibility to borrow without worrying too much. You can see Bangladesh has been borrowing a lot lately.
Another article with some BS and some good points: http://www.sundaytimes.lk/article/1021029/could-china-put-south-asia-on-road-to-debt-trap
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/bangladesh/government-debt-to-gdp
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