Chinese-Dragon
RETIRED TTA
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Can any of the Indians here answer this argument from the Economist?
They say that the relatively fast growth of India from 2004-2007 is just a "one-off blip", i.e. an anomaly.
And that India might simply be returning to their "natural" rate of growth (5-6%), despite all the hype about double-digits.
For one, the old orthodoxy was that after liberalisation India had been on an accelerating path, driven by demographics and its high rate of savings and investment. A rival view is now likely to take hold.
It notes that India has grown pretty consistently at 6% since the mid 1980s, with the exception of a faster period in 2004-2007. What looked like a step up in trajectory now looks like a one-off blip driven by a global boom, an uncharacteristic bout of tight fiscal policy and an unsustainable burst of corporate optimism.
They say that the relatively fast growth of India from 2004-2007 is just a "one-off blip", i.e. an anomaly.
And that India might simply be returning to their "natural" rate of growth (5-6%), despite all the hype about double-digits.