Thomas
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- Jul 22, 2009
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don't forget the propaganda war folks
This could either be
a) True, in which the Saudi Monarchy alongside its other bastard arab leaders would say bye bye, as the muslim world and arab street would finally get rid of them
b) a well made intelligence scheme as to set up S A against iran, and effectively have them destroy each other, and hence the only winner would be Israel, remember Iraq vs Iran and US vs Iraq
c) make Iran redeploy for this new "reality" and hence expose some of its tactics and capabilities. Just like a game of chess.
If you ask me, any military action by Israel and the US would be disastrous to all of us.
Iran is not stupid, they know that Israel apart from having a strong army, is a demoralized and fractured nation. It simply can't withstand losses.
Iran knows it is not alone. Any attack on Iran, would unleash a series of conflicts and attacks in the region. Any saudi or Gulf arab involvement would result in a Shia revolt, Saudis know for a fact that its Shia minority is trained in Iran for such an event.
Iraq, would be fractured.
The Palestinians would revolt.
Hezbollah would attack Israel from the north
Syria would initiate attacks on the Golan and the north east frontier
Egypt would descent into revolts and instability
any US involvement would invite attacks on its bases in the region
etc etc etc
It's going to be messy to say the least.
One thing that would unite the Sunnis like no other is a Shia up rising in Saudi Arabia. It wouldn't matter what the reasons are for it. And your statement "its Shia minority is trained in Iran for such an event." goes to show why Saudi Arabia fears Iran more then Israel. The religious leaders in Saudi Arabia would never support a Shia uprising. And without their support the rest of the public wouldn't follow.
"Iran is not stupid, they know that Israel apart from having a strong army, is a demoralized and fractured nation. It simply can't withstand losses." - That is similar to a pan Arab view held since Israel became a nation once again. It hasn't worked out to well for them so far. But if you want to see a fractured people just look to the Palestinians.
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