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Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments

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Which catastrophes you want?
Holodomor?
Warsaw?
Their abuse of the warsaw pact
Afghanistan
Chechnia (fsb staged attack)
And now Ukraine. “Denazifying”

You're attributing policies of former states which no longer exist to the Russian Federation. By that logic you might as well blame on the current German regime, the Third Reich's invasion and occupation of the USSR as a result of which over 20 million Soviet citizens were killed. In terms of overall destruction and casualties, this alone will top anything you could possibly accuse Russia of. I wouldn't even need to mention earlier invasions of Russia by western powers such as the First French Empire.

They also support extremist and nationalistic forces in our society. That their manipulations were less effective at times is not for not trying.

Addressed already. They're reciprocating EU and US support for local opposition in Russia. In Chechnya and elsewhere, armed head-cutting terrorists also enjoyed assistance from NATO member states.

there was evidence for poisoning.
Kuzmin wanted their “own” bloodtest (with risk of manipulation).
Not something to object and lose your job over.

You're repeating a statement without substantiating it. The initial blood test could have been manipulated too.

I know, just adding “zionist puppet” like you do on opposing claims.

Well the regimes I qualify as such do happen to be allied with (and moreover pretty much subjugated to) the zionist entity.

Most thought this war would be done it 3 days. Now were 30.000 dead russians and counting.

More like 3000-4000 KIA on Russia's side. Versus up to five to ten times that number of Ukrainians.

Sure. Nazis nazis everywhere. Lets flatten cities!

A notorious neo-Nazi regiment, Azov, had thousands of fighters deeply entrenched in Mariupol, yes. Not Russian propaganda but something western media and regimes have acknowledged as well.

Your just parroting russian propaganda. Extreme right is a small % of the many tens of thousands resisting russia right now.

1) Adherents of far right ideology are disproportionately represented among the Ukrainian armed forces. There are numerous ultra-nationalist if not neo-Nazi controlled units in addition to Azov. Pravy Sektor, Sloboda and others each have their own distinct detachments.

2) They are far more obtuse than the normal units of the Ukrainian armed forces in their insistence on prolonging this already lost war. Hence why we've seen so many video recordings of regular Ukrainian troops complaining about their situation and resisting deployment orders. Morale among these is in shambles.

For sovereign ukraine to have ties to EU? Yeah catastrophy.

For it to be used as a staging ground for subsequent destabilization of the Russian Federation.

So you are in favour of more Saddams? Assads? Gaddafis?

I am against illegal and/or illegitimate, imperialist military intervention. These operations had nothing to do with removing dictators or averting large scale crimes, but were following purely expansive, hegemonist motivations, among which the dismantling and balkanization of targeted nation-states. And as a matter of fact Iraq, Syria, Libya are all worse off than before NATO started bombing them.

Yeah the entire eastern block just looved their system…

I was talking about contemporary Russia, not the USSR or Warsaw Pact states.

By the way one of the most famous dissidents of the USSR (if not the single most famous one), prominent novelist Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn, stated that given the removal of the 'communist' system, now the focus of former eastern bloc nations ought to be on countering the current threat that is liberalism. How right he was.

Can you show me written promise?

I trust the many credible sources, eastern and western, which reported it.

Unlike russias written promise after the nuke deal with ukraine.

Whatever Russia did in this regard was a consequence of NATO's broken promises.

Russias colonial empire falling apart…what disaster…

NATO has been encroaching itself along Russia's borders, not the other way around. Plus, Moscow would have been perfectly content with countries such as Ukraine observing some form of neutrality comparable to Austria's position during the Cold War. But that's not something Washington would accept, seeing as all indicators suggest the US regime would settle for nothing less than the destruction of Russia - if Moscow was suicidal enough to keep letting them act freely.

Moving goalspost. Both parties have multiple breaches on their name. And most of the deaths are due to seperatists.

Uh, not really. The ceasefire was first violated by the Ukrainian regime. That's the decisive point in international law.

How much more of europe does russia have to occupy? Even at its height it was still meddling and destabilizing the few western european countries it did not control.

If they leave Russia alone, forget about balkanizing her, then she will have no need to intervene militarily anywhere to her west.

Yes. Mariopol is worse then fallujah. Likely more civilian deathstoo.

Mariupol had twice the population of Fallujah and many more defending fighters, all better armed, better trained than the Fallujah resistance. And said defenders in Mariuopol were using residential buildings as shields much more systematically because they happened to despise locals, which they had actually been repressing for eight full years prior to the start of the war.

Everyone is familiar with the Odessa massacre, where Ukrainian ultra-nationalists burnt alive over 40 civilians trapped inside the Trade Unions building, but in Mariupol a far bigger massacre took place around the same time, costing the lives of an estimated 400 to 500 Russian-speaking civilians.

And then there's the entire rest of the military campaign. Russia did not drop as many bombs on Ukraine as NATO forces did on Iraq.

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On the other hand, if he abandoned his post before Maidan, that have nothing to do with being conforming to democratic principal. Because, well, he abandoned his post before that happen.

Yanukovych didn't resign from the presidency. The reason he traveled to Russia was to ensure his personal safety in the face of multiple threats emanating from western-backed elements in Ukraine.
 
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Yanukovych didn't resign from the presidency. The reason he traveled to Russia was to ensure his personal safety in the face of multiple threats emanating from western-backed elements in Ukraine.?
Well, then I can say Ghani didn't "Resign" from Afghan Presidency either, he is just travel to UAE to ensure his own personal safety... now tell that to the Taliban.......At least Ghani knows Taliban is a threat, as they have been fighting the Talib for over 20 years, how did Yanukovych pre-see a threat BEFORE Maidan happens?? Maybe he have sixth sense and knew Maidan gonna happen?? I mean, he knows ahead of time before the protestor themselves knows they are going to take it on the street and protest?
 
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A fragment of the battle of Russian special forces in Ukraine against a company of the 63rd brigade of the armed forces of Ukraine in the Nikolaev-Kherson direction has been published. In the video, you can see that one Ukrainian soldier surrenders and asks to stop shooting. As a result of the battle with the Russian special forces, ninety Ukrainian soldiers from the company of the 63rd brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were killed, some of the results of the battle are shown at the end of the video.

 
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Russia has 5 million draft eligible men, out of 15m total military age men (18-35,) but this statistics omits emigration, which is also uniquely huge for Russia. So we think at least 1m draft evader rich kids who live in the West, London included.

At most, half of that can be mobilised, without the economy going belly up completely.

But Russian military is materially incapable of accomodating so much upkeep, and not be able to process so many new soldiers.

In 2007, if I remember correct, our military instructor told what are the wartime material capacity of nearby countries for troop support. Russia was only 1.5m, and that was at the time when Russian economy was doing like 3-4 times better.

I would risk to say that current Russian 1m army is dictated by their current material limits, and at most a surge can raise it to 1 2m-1.3m, while also trashing the economy more.

They can at most sustain war for 2 years, if they completely disregard their soldiers lives, and know that they will collapse anyways.

3.5 month have passed.

Following corrections are needed to be done:

What we have found so far: Russia fights on the cheap. They expend tons of ammo per day, but nearly all of that is very old Soviet stock. T62 probably has lesser value today than an NLAW rocket used to blow it up. DPR cannonfodder, and forcefully drafted Russian minorities also cost them close to nothing. Winter will be a big trial for them.

Ukraine aims to raise armed force of 1m with tooth to tail ratio of 50%. It will be 80k-100k trained soldiers, and 200k ok soldiers, and 200k bad soldiers.

What is Russian warplan? DPR force is down to 20k troops to injuries, desertion, and kias. Intense recruitment under a gunpoint is used to restore numbers, and they die in horrific numbers.

Russians also brought 40k-50k total manpower reinforcements to compensate for horrific losses of their best troops. Hastily recruited "volunteers," and gangpressed youth can't operate weapons, so they will only be used as infantry.

So, they are facing 80k Russian regulars, and at most 60k DPR/LPR + mercenaries. This way Russia has partially recovered the infantry losses, but specialist losses are still there. My assessment, since they are saving infantry, and are using mercs + DPR to storm cities, regular Russian forces are still very short on normal infantry. My guess, in total, Russian side has less than 50-60k infantry resource.

Their personnel resupply options are also very strange. They are mostly recruiting middle aged men from social bottom, so we have to expand their recruitment pool seeing that their "military age male" definition now spans into fifties.

Another very interesting observation is that how much of them were a net-drain on Russia, or close to no economic contributions. Russia has quite low labour force participation rate.

Gang pressing mostly happen outside of big cities news tell. So we are not seeing Russians trading labour force for soldiers yet.

I would say they will last 12-16 months before they have to think if they can go all in. Their total mobilisation pool now stands at 1.2m thanks to middle aged men. They already drew 200k out of it, and got 80k irreversible losses KIA+irrecoverable WIA.
 
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good question on Suffering : the russian losses were certainly high, but since we had zero information about the ukrainian ones (must be journalism deontology) that didn't tell anything about the reality of the military situation the russian operation was ill-prepared but that doesn't mean they won't win the war (at least on a military level
 
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good question on Suffering : the russian losses were certainly high, but since we had zero information about the ukrainian ones (must be journalism deontology) that didn't tell anything about the reality of the military situation the russian operation was ill-prepared but that doesn't mean they won't win the war (at least on a military level

Ukrainian side: 100k WIA+KIA civilians, and military combined.
 
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The New York Times reported that Ukraine citizens in Kherson gave coordinates of a Russian base of operations to Ukrainian artillery about 12 miles from Kherson, and the base was completely destroyed killing about 200 Russian soldiers and mercenaries.

This was only a few days ago.

good question on Suffering : the russian losses were certainly high, but since we had zero information about the ukrainian ones (must be journalism deontology) that didn't tell anything about the reality of the military situation the russian operation was ill-prepared but that doesn't mean they won't win the war (at least on a military level


The Russians are losing at least 200-300 soldiers per day. Their losses are catastrophic.
 
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As other noted, the West has stalled with arm deliveries at the most critical moment, and gave Russian enormous advantage in firepower which they used to kill a lot of the most experienced part of Ukraine military in Donbas.

Russian side losses are huge in Donbas, but they are not losing their specialists there. Ukraine on other hand cannot realise its numeric superiority there because they are so inferior in long range, raw volume of fire, and geography.

In other words, Russian strongest side met Ukrainian weakest one.

Warfighting power of the infantry is worth comparison: DPR+mercs are actually outperforming infantry of regular Russian forces no matter how bad it still is. Russian regular infantry is very bad.
 
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Ukrainian side: 100k WIA+KIA civilians, and military combined.

back in February, they said Russia could maintain its war for two weeks before starting to run out of equipment. Problem is, like the Russian peoples, we are also lied to
 
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