Modi is going to stay for next 10 years or so
So expect war in next election year 2023
Good luck to the Indian economy if he stays for the next 10 years. The only winners are Ambanis.
Its all about preparatory work for war..the reason why sudden eagerness on weapons sytem
It is quite possible that there would be war. Modis arming patterns and political behaviour is similar to the WWI and WWII belligerents.
Their goal will be a quick short decisive air dominance obtained by IAF over PAF
That would immediately cross our nuclear threshold. If one, two, or all three armed services cease to exist or are put in a position where they are no longer able to function effectively we would most definitely go '
ballistic.'
A second option is naval blockade but for that the prerequisite is quick air dominance othweise any such attempt will lead to sinking of IN ships
This is something we should have been looking into in the past two or three decades. The amount of attention paid to the PN is ludicrous. PN's bravery during the 1965 war was only second to that of PAF. But instead of commending it the service was thrown under the bus immediately after the war. Now we are looking at a service that can be immediately overwhelmed by IN with its current fleet levels. It's for the first time that PN is getting first-hand surface ships instead of obsolete second-hand British or American ships. But we still have a long way to go. We can have PLAAN establish itself in the Arabian Sea to prevent any sort of a blockade. But that reminds me of Task Force 74 of the US Navy's 7th fleet. Nothing came of it. Our best bet thus is classical maneuvering in a manner that such blockade would lead to the closure of Strait of Hormuz, thereby cutting off India's own trade and oil supply from the Middle East and also invite immediate international intervention.
In the case of naval force depletion ... well ... we go '
ballistic.'
So all hands on deck for IAF
The recent comitment for another 36 rafales speeding up of mirages upgrade along with finalizing the LCA suit
I am looking at the next 10 to 15 years at least for maturing of this. Rafales would a major threat (perceived) in the mid to long run and we shouldn't be taking them lightly. LCA, however, is neither here nor there unless we see something definite. IAF doesn't seem too keen on the machine. Most of the weapons have not yet been integrated on to the current versions of the aircraft, the price difference between MK1 and MK1A has increased exponentially. Going by this MK2 would be even more expensive yet relatively underpowered compared to IAF's future second-tier aircraft like Mirage-2000 and MiG-29.
It will be fool to under estimate this willingness
What happened in feb was a simple miscalculation by IAF wont happen again
After modi winning it should have been placed alarm bells and military should seriously look at beefing airdefense and airforce
Alarm bells, drums, shooting, and shouting, etc ... all might have gone off. But we have to look into our pockets. But, indeed, if there is one sector that we need to look into on an emergency basis its the air-defense, both in terms of capability/technology and doctrine/usage.
