AShkan
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I don't believe their will be an attack by U.S. on Iran for political reasons. However, I do believe U.S. can defeat Iran perhaps not as easily as Iraq but swiftly. Granted, Iran has made major improvements in their military capabilities but most are for propaganda purposes. @sultan, the only deterrent (militarily) which I can see from Iran side is its capability to move the war to other area like Israel and its long range missiles threatening the region, however inaccurate or outdated they might be. On an invasion scenario, Iran will have no chance in withstanding the attacks made by U.S.
There was no miscalculation in invading Iraq from both militarily and financially point of view, the same as Kuwait. Both countries our paying their debts by their cash reserves, oil or other ways.
@RAPTOR As for people holding the invasion, well I doubt that very much as well and the reason is the tribal factor. During Iran Iraq war, the Iranian side Kurds were fighting the government as well, so there was no unity there. Now, the Kurd potential is still there and taking into account the undermining of the Iran government towards the Sunnis in the country. KSA is pumping funds into the southeastern province of Sistan & Baluchestan; hence, an increase in the population of Sunnis in that region by 35%, prompting the government to counteract the problem by promoting child birth within the Shiat. The threat of ISIS, as it lays dormant in Iran while they target the unhappy, mistreated, under privileged Sunni population due to the incorrect views of the regime. Instead of viewing the Sunnis, Armenian, Jews, Zoroastrians, etc. as Iranians and providing them with the same; however, little and minimal rights, they look at them as potential minority threats, which in the long run will become a problem for the government. It is only recent that the local police in S&B province began hiring some 500-600 Sunni men.
Politically, a stable but contained Iran serves U.S. interests quite well for the time being and the new threat of ISIS may be an issue that will closer the relations between Iran and U.S. After all, undoubtedly Iran if not the only but the best natural friend the U.S. has in the region!! But they only want Iran to behave the way U.S. likes it.
There was no miscalculation in invading Iraq from both militarily and financially point of view, the same as Kuwait. Both countries our paying their debts by their cash reserves, oil or other ways.
@RAPTOR As for people holding the invasion, well I doubt that very much as well and the reason is the tribal factor. During Iran Iraq war, the Iranian side Kurds were fighting the government as well, so there was no unity there. Now, the Kurd potential is still there and taking into account the undermining of the Iran government towards the Sunnis in the country. KSA is pumping funds into the southeastern province of Sistan & Baluchestan; hence, an increase in the population of Sunnis in that region by 35%, prompting the government to counteract the problem by promoting child birth within the Shiat. The threat of ISIS, as it lays dormant in Iran while they target the unhappy, mistreated, under privileged Sunni population due to the incorrect views of the regime. Instead of viewing the Sunnis, Armenian, Jews, Zoroastrians, etc. as Iranians and providing them with the same; however, little and minimal rights, they look at them as potential minority threats, which in the long run will become a problem for the government. It is only recent that the local police in S&B province began hiring some 500-600 Sunni men.
Politically, a stable but contained Iran serves U.S. interests quite well for the time being and the new threat of ISIS may be an issue that will closer the relations between Iran and U.S. After all, undoubtedly Iran if not the only but the best natural friend the U.S. has in the region!! But they only want Iran to behave the way U.S. likes it.