Ok point nicely carried..
But That's where you are wrong ...india in current scenario can not attack neither China or Pakistan because of their nuclear arsenal ..But in Bangladesh case they have no worry of any backlash.. So how will Bangladesh be able to sustain their airforce and naval attacks..How they can plan their land attack..is it possible
This entire thread is very childish. I do not see a situation where there can be a war between BD and India. As the adage goes democracies do not go to war against one another. However having said that without doubt BD has a plan for such an eventuality and has always planned for it.
A war is fought on many stages beyond the battlefield. BD recognises it faces an enemy in India that is many times larger. As such we have sought alliances with global powers that stands against India. This was so post Mujib through to the 90's where BD aligned itself with US. As US itself has realigned itself after the collapse of USSR by closing ranks with India BD has smoothly shifted to an alliance with China.
BD has specifically ensured it is part of the global economy and has vast linkages accross economic, social, diplomatic, people to people, educational arena. These soft linkages will have their part to play.
BD from its perspective will seek to avoid any conflict but will fight if needed should it deem the situation to be an existential crisis.
BD planners would have run various model and have war gamed many scenario but the gist in my opinion is as follows:
BA - Will shoulder the entire responsibility for the war. Their first aim would be to take the chicken neck and establish a corridor between BD and china. The secondary objective would be to pacify seven sisters. It is likely the first objective would be difficult to achieve but seven sisters will fall. BD will face a one front war.
BA would expect the politicians and the world bodies to agree deescalation means by this point, as any advantage would be short lived as BA would not want to be holding any Indian territory in the long run
Ultimately one would expect India to move into BD proper as BA fall back probably everywhere except the shilguri corridor to keep IA occupied and keeping a supply route open.
BA would fall into standard people resistance mode which is our primary strategy.
India will defeat BA formally on its soil but once in BD they will not be able to control it. They will bleed for every inch of BD and for every day they stay. There will be no victory for IA. BA won't be surrendering like the PA which essentially at that point was a foreign force.
BAF - will have a very short window where it would have operational freedom given IAF numbers. BAF will be have several days at maximum. Their primary effort would be to do as much damage as the can to Indian assets in the BoB and in the seven sisters state. They will provide as much support as possible to the BA and then seek to fly and escape to china. Our transport asset would relocate with the heads of service to Malaysia and Indonesia as per arrangements that exists from the Pakistan era.
BN- will do what it can to damage IN and whilst it will remain operational for weeks it will not be able to hold the line. Like the BAF it will disengage to save the assets by sailing to safe ports east.
From an Indian perspective a conflict with BD derives no benefit. First whilst it can win the initial battles it can not do so without reducing its strength in other potential theatres of war where they face enemies like china who are significant more stronger than India or Pakistan where they are on par. Reducing assets there significantly reduces indias overall security.
Secondly if they are able to establish any territorial control which is doubtful.... the losses would be significant and continuous to hold a country of 170m. It takes a half of Indian forces to keep Kashmir with negligible population.
India is not US it's not even Russia, BD is not Crimea. We have a solid foundation as a nation and against external foes the internal political differences will vanish. India has not cultivated friends in the region. It was successful in 1971 because the people of BD desired independence. A war against BD Indian forces will face BD forces and its people with singular purpose to thwart its ambitions.
There is no scenario where a conflict leaves BD or India in a better position so it will not happen.
BD can survive a war with India and come out the other side whatever happens. For India it needs to be a a short sharp war, if it becomes one of occupation like USSR in Afghanistan it will end the Indian union as the cost in money and manpower it can not afford.
A war takes a lot of effort and without clear strategy and goals one should not entertain such moves. One can very rarely control events once it's in motion. Bonafide global powers have always been defeated by people's army and the story is always the same.... an invader can not stand long when the people are united.... in this instance the difference in power that India can bring to the BD theatre whilst keeping china and Pakistan in bay is not that much. Victory even rudimentary for India is not certain.
