What's new

Indian Political Corner | All Updates & Discussions.

. . .
@Hindustani78 U don't like Shri Narendra Modiji just b'coz he is a Chaiwala & belong to a Neechi Jati??? PATHETIC.

It seems that EDUCATION doesn't change the feudal mindset prevailing in India.
 
.
Good Evening India on a historic day of polling

0154964-620x320.jpg

Can May 7th really create history? Although it still sounds unbelievable that Gandhi Scion, Rahul, may end up losing the family pocket borough of Amethi, hard data suggests the impossible. In fact, the contest seems to be so mundane, it is almost like any other seat wherein ordinary mortals are contesting. Rahul is tied up in a 4 cornered battle where BSP seems to be at number 3 instead of AAP owing to its more than good performance among Dalit voters.

Making a constituency specific projection always has the attendant risks as compared to making overall projections for a state as errors cancel each other out in larger geographies. Yet, we are bravely going ahead with our seat specific projection based on a sample-size of 609 spread across 3 assembly segments of Amethi district. Whatever happens on 16th May, one thing is absolutely clear, Amethi is now a tough fight and the memory of a 3.7 lakh margin just 5 years ago now feels like a distant dream.

How has BJP’s Smriti Irani made such a leap of faith in such a short time? One of the theories is that Amethi was weary of Rahul Gandhi’s track record which was exploited by the AAP to begin with but the campaign fizzled out after a few weeks and BJP then moved into the vacuum to take full advantage of a prevailing anti-incumbent mood in the Gandhi constituency. Possibly the last straw was the Modi rally on Monday which was attended by well over a lakh people while most of Rahul and Priyanka’s public engagements here in Amethi were small affairs with self-help groups running into a crowd of a few 100s. This Modi rally possibly gave the impossible belief to ordinary BJP workers and also voters about a historic verdict for change and development.

The signs were there since the weekend before the polls when our pre-poll surveys started
hinting at large-scale undecided voters on the eve of the elections and our ground staff started to report a strange nervousness among the local Congress workers. Another sign of nervousness was betrayed by Priyanka Gandhi who started to react to all kinds of comments by Narendra Modi sensing a certain level of disenchantment among the voting public.

Could Smriti Irani actually trump Rahul? The possibility is now clearly demonstrated by our data from the ground, although it must once again be stressed that this is just the raw data without extrapolating adequate social swing weightages. This also doesn’t take into account any externally mitigating circumstances like booth capturing etc. This raw data is indicative of a Rahul defeat in a similar fashion as Delhi Chief Minister Sheila Dixit lost the December 2013 polls (which was first projected by us on the day of polling).

ScreenHunter_49-May.-07-20.51.jpg


What could be the ramifications of such a historic verdict on Indian politics? For one, Congress party would never be the same again. Both Rahul as well as Priyanka would have lost all their mystique and charisma in just one election which would make the dynasty that much more untenable to survive this kind of a defeat. Indian democracy would have matured to a whole new level wherein performance would then become the sole criteria of voter’s judgement rather than any emotional appeal. One defeat could mean many positives for Indian democracy and one man must be given full credit for engineering the impossible in Gandhi-Nehru land – Amit Shah.

Uttar Pradesh

On the whole, UP today voted for a BJP sweep. All the talk of the break in the upper-caste vote bank of Brahmins and Thakurs, the rise of the BSP as a force in eastern UP etc. proved to be false alarms as vote consolidation behind BJP was total while the opposition vote was scattered. The only real challenge against BJP is coming from the Samajwadis with their MY (Muslim-Yadav) combination, but they are so far behind that they may hardly cause a dent in the BJP’s armour. As of today BJP is heading towards a 55+ seat tally in UP and may even increase that in the next phase.
ScreenHunter_48-May.-07-20.51.jpg

Himachal Pradesh

Details from this hill state are still sketchy, but early numbers suggest that BJP is ahead in two seats and Congress is ahead in 1 seat while another seat is seeing a tough battle. We shall analyse the numbers more closely over the next two days to come up with a clearer projection.

Bihar is the other state we were tracking but cannot take the risk of divulging the numbers at this point of time as overall percentages are seemingly deceptive in Bihar and we need to make a deeper study, but there are some interesting pointers in terms of Muslim voters who seem to have made another turn this time. In Seemandhra, we did not directly track the polls and will be getting full numbers from third party source which will be analysed over the next 48 hours

aap se jyada BSP ka vote share jyada hai :D

kavi ki mahenat gai pani main .
 
.
Going to Voting Machine Not Allowed, Says Election Commission After AAP Tweets Against Rahul Gandhi

Among several pictures that the Aam Aadmi Party tweeted today complaining about what it alleged was violation of election rules by Rahul Gandhi as his constituency Amethi voted, was one that showed him in a poll booth, seeming to look down at an Electronic Voting Machine or EVM. AAP tweeted, "Is the candidate allowed to go to the polling machine?"

The Election Commission said this evening that "Going to the EVM is not allowed."

Deputy Election Commissioner Vinod Zutshi also said that the panel was "yet to see this....it's a speculative situation. Rules are very clear. We will wait for reports."

In another picture AAP tweeted, Mr Gandhi stood talking to some people in a booth. AAP asked, "Does the election commission allow candidates to stand and chat inside polling stations?"

A huge debate raged on social media through the day on who is allowed in a polling booth and how.

AAP also tweeted a video recording of what it alleged was a both-capturing attempt. It did not say by which party, but in a series of other tweets made specific allegations.

Early on Wednesday morning, the party complained against Mr Gandhi for moving around in a large motorcade. "We have complained to the Election Commission, he was using 24 cars," said Kumar Vishwas, whom Arvind Kejriwal's party has fielded against Mr Gandhi in what has hitherto been seen as one of the safest seats in the country for the Congress.

That Mr Gandhi was in Amethi on polling day and out touring a constituency he has effortlessly won since 2004, was interpreted by his rivals as an acknowledgement that he faces a tough contest this time. AAP claimed credit. So did the BJP. "Kam se kam zameen par to aaye (At least his feet have touched the ground)... He realizes that Amethi is a tough fight," said the BJP's Mukhtar Abbas Naqvi.

The BJP's Smriti Irani complained about the presence of Prinyanka Gandhi's political secretary Preeti Sahay at an Amethi polling booth. AAP tweeted its protest. Ms Sahay was asked to leave Amethi in compliance with election rules,

On a day of complaints in Amethi, even Rahul Gandhi complained about the lotus drawn on the blackboard of a village school that was being used as a polling station.


Going to Voting Machine Not Allowed, Says Election Commission After AAP Tweets Against Rahul Gandhi | NDTV.com

Will EC file an FIR?
 
. . . .
Oye Amethi ka kya scene hai ?

I want to see rahul baba defeated chaahe koi b ho smriti irani ya kumar vishwas :D
 
. .
@Hindustani78 U don't like Shri Narendra Modiji just b'coz he is a Chaiwala & belong to a Neechi Jati??? PATHETIC.

It seems that EDUCATION doesn't change the feudal mindset prevailing in India.

Just stop all these talks which doesn't have any base. May be its you who thinks so and thats why highlighting these things. Why this extra coverage for Mr Modi i really cant understand.
 
. .
YES. Hindustanis will remain in Hindustan only, but all Bangladeshis will be humiliated & kicked out of India in no time.

@BDforever & @levina are already Packing there bags.

You are not capable of deciding who are Hindustanis and on what you want to decide who are Bangladeshis ? o_O
 
. .

Latest posts

Pakistan Defence Latest Posts

Back
Top Bottom