Peregrine
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HIIMHO, the follies of your arguement
1. Over estimation of Pakistan's nuclear status. Doesnt mean squat to USA. You dont have a delivery mechanism to hit them. As a matter of fact its much more easy for US to hit Pakistan than it was to hit iraq.
2. Overestimation of your relations with China. China will never (atleast next 20 years or so) raise a finger to protect Pakistan from USA. The most important thing for China is its economy and it will never endanger it by going up against USA. Pakistan is a tool for China against India and that's pretty much it..In USA China equation, Pakistan has no place or role..
T-Faz has summed it well, but to add a few more
many of you are under the impression that Pakistani BM's are of Chinese origin, then in this case what makes you say that Pakistan will not have a DF-21 variant? you are also ignoring the submarine factor its a huge debate but research on it and then you will know what i mean.
not only Pakistan can inflict heavy damage on US forces in Afghanistan but also in Iraq, China supporting Pakistan against India is just your subjective judgment of this relation, for China access to middle east is very significant and China cannot lose this doorway to middle east to the Americans, Proof Gawadar. i hate to break it to you but India is on the least priority for China when it comes to Pakistan's geographical proximity to Arabian sea.