IceCold
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Well i do not think situation will be that grim however one can also not ignore the fact that you needed IMF bail out....Anyways let me share my thoughts on points...
We needed a bail out package because first there was a world wide economic plunge and second Pakistan was and is involved in WOT which is costing her dearly. Do you still think we will continue with it once US sanctions us?
This is exactly what i am challenging....Let me share my thoughts as per points...
1) Sorry to say but this is wishful thinking...What do you mean by "we have suffered them before and we can suffer them again"....Firstly you yourself is saying that you suffered during the time sanctions were put on...Secondly you are already assuming that sanctions would be lifted....whereas unless and until you don't agree to US terms you are going to be under Sanctions...Not only that it would be followed by Arms embargo and what not...Thirdly are'nt you missing India here??? At the time when her economy is booming, all the major defence dealers(Russia, US, Israel, EU) lining to sell state of art weapons it is suicide for Pakistan to come under any economic sanctions...
PAF has already lost a decage due to last Arms embargo viz-a-viz IAF and anything more would definitely be a deathning blow to your Parity....
By suffering i mean when Pakistan was put under sanctions during the 90s and then even more sanctions when we tested nuclear weapons. We survived. What makes you think we wont this time and i am not assuming that sanctions would be lifted anytime soon. As for PAF we dont need US for that anymore (JF-17, FC-20). Do you really think 18 handful of those F-16s is the only thing PAF is relying on?
2) Here you are relying on Chinese Veto...Not that i am implying that you all weather friend won't come in to help however just to given you an example China did not supported you stand during Kargil and when it comes to terrorism the pressure would be immense on them.... I must say you need to have steel balls to oppose a group consisting of both US and Russia...I hope you agree....
Kargil was a different story altogether. You cannot compare apples with oranges. Do i need to remind you that just before JUD was about to be declared a terrorist outfit China asked Pakistan what do they want? It was us who asked Chinese to back off during that otherwise JUD would never ever been declared a terrorist outfit. Here you are talking about a whole country, one with whom China has a long term strategic interest and partnership. It would be naive for anyone to believe otherwise.
3) Already said that on the facade your Parliament opposes these attacks...So for a common man these are happening without the consent of your political class...Anyways did you just said that You would retaliate against Armed Offensive by America?? I am sure you know about their capabilities....Sir with all due respect we are just third world contries and not even in our dreams can win an armed conflict against Americans...Any retaliation against Americans means long term destruction followed by years of instabality....
I did not speculated, it actually did happened before. Infact the situation became so tense that the US had to send its envoy to cool things down. The armed forces of Pakistan had clear orders to take down anything that violates Pakistans airspace. Why do you think none of those cowboys style stunts were never performed again by the US after that incident and now there is more cooperation and more intelligence sharing w.r.t drone attacks.
It would better to join them and get rid of terrorist who are hell bent of bringing Pakistan to the verge of collapse instead of retaliating to American onslaught.....please don't mind but such talks about retaliation make sense when the opposing Party is India but when American's are your opposing party either agree with them or be ready to become another Iraq....
Not without a heavy price and US is in no position to make Pakistan another iraq, just look at the economy, do you really think they are going to risk it all and go for an all out war with Pakistan. There is no chest thumping, i am stating plain hardcore facts. At most what we can expect is US will ask India to mobilize its forces on the border to built pressure on Pakistan or even initiate a limited conflict but in doing so it will bring a whole set of new problems for the allies in Afghanistan as it will give Pakistan the legal justification to withdraw all its forces and place it on with India. As for the border with Afghanistan, Taliban will take care of that once Pakistan starts to look the other way.