Do you
REALLY believe that ?
The Korean War again ? We have Russian pilots who admitted that they flew wearing Chinese uniforms.
But here is what you can bet on and it will be a rude shock to you...
You will lose, but why you will lose is because of the human factor, not of the technology involved, although technology will contribute to your defeat. China have a conscription policy. Yes, the PLA does have the picking, but essentially the PLA is a conscription service.
https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/natsec/RL32965.pdf
What is the PLA's reenlistment rate ?
In the civilian world, a 'generation' can be classified in two ways: physical and cultural.
A physical generation is about 40 yrs, which includes the best period for child bearing, not child rearing, with post-30 yrs of age having the highest health risk.
A cultural generation is about 70 yrs, which includes the physical yrs and when the person can no longer have and raise children but can still contribute to the country in other ways, such as paying taxes, being active in politics, or running a business.
In the military, a generation is about 20-30 yrs, with serving beyond 25 yrs a rarity. Upon enlistment, and using the words 'enlistment' and 'recruit' broadly to include commissioned and non-commissioned ranks, a recruit is not a contributor for about one yr. There is at least a couple of months for boot camp and if there are any technical knowledge requirement, add a couple of more months. So if the service term is 2 yrs for a non-comm, a soldier/airman/sailor will not even begin to have any positive contribution to his/her branch until he/she is fully assimilated into the assigned unit, which means at the start of the second yr of service. If the person know his obligation will be done in one yr and he will be free to start a new career, have a family, travel, etc., why bother to reenlist ?
Have
YOU or any of your fellow Chinese here completed your 2-yrs ? No ? Why not ? You were not selected ? Why not ? So what make you guys think you know anything about the military in general when you have not been a contributor at all ?
In a 4 yr service term in the American all-voluntary military, a person will be able to contribute for at least two yrs. If there is a reenlistment for another 4 yrs, the person's contribution rises exponentially because of increased experience and gained knowledge from the previous term. Eight yrs of service in any civilian organization and the person is considered a highly valuable employee. With today's increasing dynamic workforce, 8 yrs of employment make the person even more valuable. For the military where the work environment requires deployments to uncomfortable locations, dangerous conditions, or even death, a voluntary extension of contract make any soldier/airman/sailor a formidable opponent to any potential adversary. After my 10 yrs, I continued to contribute to the defense of the US as a civilian employee in the aviation defense sector for nearly another 9 yrs.
You guys who have never served a single day in the PLA will never understand what I am talking about. That is why you are so focused on the 'shiny new toy' aspect of weaponry and not the humans that are required to man and support them. You guys are very good at posting pictures and citing specs but not at explaining how they can be used to their maximum effectiveness. To explain how to use a squad automatic weapon (SAW) you need to at least have basic training of it -- post boot camp -- and to be the assigned bearer of it in a unit. To be a master of it, you need to carry it beyond 2 yrs.
Your PLA is corrupt and inefficient up and down the ranks, from the lowest one-striper all the way to the top generals and admirals, who sells assignments and ranks like snacks at sporting events.
China’s Antigraft Drive Exposes Military Risks - WSJ
It has been going more than 10 yrs, if anyone is willing to put mind to the issue. The pervasiveness is now noticeable but you can bet whatever paltry annual salary you have that such trade in ranks and assignment have been going on much longer. A family can cobble up enough bribe money for their son to have an office job for his 2 yrs when the man maybe smart enough to be the next Chinese version of 'Top Gun' or skilled enough as a sharp shooter for the troops. What a contributor to national defense this man could be ?
For the few Americans on this forum who have served for at least one 4 yr term, we do not underestimate the PLA at all. If anything, we take the PLA very seriously as an adversary. But precisely because we have served for more than one term of service, we do understand the significance of the human factor in any military. Each of us have been there, from when we were new recruits requiring a lot of hand holding to when we became independent contributors to our respective branch of service.
Your PLA will lose a fight against US.
and people won't put money on it because they'd know they'll lose!
