okay, but I prefer your thinking and comment on climate change migration. Even with nothing else climate change is going to start some nasty mass migrations. But you know that already as do a bunch of people in govts, corps and the military.
I agree. Which is why I don't buy the argument from Bangladesh that there is no cross border migration from their country into India, because their social indices is better, and their GDP is better.
1. Climate change is going to drown Maldives that has a higher per capita annual income :$6000. But Maldives population is only 300,000 and they are wealthy enough to buy real estate in Australia.
In the early 1980s, the Maldives was one of the world’s 20 poorest countries, with a population of 156,000. In 2012, with a population of more than 300,000, it is a middle-income country with a per capita income of over $6,300.
www.worldbank.org
2. Wealth distribution in Bangladesh is skewed, with the chief concentration in the cities. There is evidence that the economic numbers may have been manipulated :
Questions have been raised about the competence of BBS. There have also been allegations of political interference in modifying and fabricating data and information generated by BBS
en.prothomalo.com
3. Even if we believe the GDP and socio-economic numbers, the migration from Bangladesh has been going on for decades. It is unlikely that the slow down over a few months ( due to a higher GDP) will make any difference to the 12 million already in India. With the climate change the migration will only increase.
4.,I don't buy the argument that India's anti-infiltration stance is communally oriented though the current regime finds it a useful propaganda tool. All governments, Secular, Centrist, Left Wing , Right Wing have taken the same administrative positions on the influx but none of them has found a solution.
5. The most damning evidence is the statement of the Bangladeshi Border Guards Chief itself, who warned his own countrymen not to
enter Indian at the risk of being shot. There is a population movement whatever the reasons.
In a bid to stop border killings, Border Guard Bangladesh Director General, Major General Md Shafeenul Islam on Sunday called on residents of frontier areas not to trespass into Indian territory
en.prothomalo.com
By contrast Pakistan is lower on the social indices than both India and Bangladesh. Pakistan has a tense border with India .
India complains about infiltration of militants along the LOC. There is heavy cross firing.
But NO Indian politician has said there are 12 million illegal Pakistani nationals in India. Both India and Pakistan have a heavily guarded well patrolled international border which is largely peaceful except for occasional smuggling activities. The LOC of course is hot, but even here there is no large scale population movement.
So I tend to believe the Indian side of the story so far as Bangladeshi population migration is concerned. If India's stance was really communally motivated, it would have raised the same allegations on Pakistan, claiming that
all Kashmiri Muslims are Pakistani infiltrators, and they need to be sent back to Pakistan. India could have initiated a huge genocide like Myanmar did to the Rohingyas, and drive 8 million Kashmiri Muslims into Pakistan. So far it hasn't done that though that possibility is still there.
So I take the Bangladesh GDP story with a grain of salt.
If the BSF stops shooting, that will be the final proof that infiltration from Bangladesh is a myth.
Thank you. I am very much a Pakistani.
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