İn the end Armenia will give Zengazur corridor with its own decision, When normalization progress with Turkey is over and we open closed borders to them.. Armenians are not Pro Russian or Pro Iranian, they are Pro EU and only thing that keep them away from EU is us keeping land connection to Europe closed for Armenia.
It is true that the current Pashinyan administration is leaning towards not just the west but also Isra"el". After all it was brought to power through a classical CIA-sponsored, fake "color revolution". By virtue of this, it might as well be inclined to give away Zangezur.
This said, many key players wouldn't be seeing eye to eye with him in this regard. The first one being Armenian people themselves, as well as the Armenian opposition. Pashinyan would be walking a very tight rope, as any such decision to cede Armenian land to the Azarbaijanis will be guaranteed to trigger strong reactions domestically. He'd be seen as a traitor (which he already is in large segments of the Armenian public), so there's no guarantee he could successfully pull this off.
Moreover you say Armenians aren't pro-Iran nor pro-Russia, let's assume this is true. Above all however, they are anti-Turkish minded. There's so much bad blood between them, it's not going to be washed away as simply as that.
Then, two major regional actors, Russia and Iran, will also oppose Pashinyan ceding Zangezur to Baku, and will step in to counter it if necessary. Remember Iran using proxies can easily destabilize whatever transportation infrastructures traversing Zangezur. Much of the benefit Baku hopes to derive from it will instantly evaporate. China in particular will never use Zangezur as part of the OBOR east-west route if frequent attacks take place on the road and the railways. Geopolitical tensions alone and the risk of sabotage would be dissuasive enough to Beijing.
And I'm not worried about any war between Iran and Azerbaijan too because I'm sure we will also do something about İsrael's influence in Azerbaijan because a weak Iran means strong PKK-PJAK and more trouble for us.. And its vise versa for Iran too
Iran will not rest until the issue of zionist presence and mischief in the Republic of Azarbaijan is solved. Diplomacy would be the most constructive way forward to that effect, for all parties involved. Saudi Arabia managed to sit at a table with Iran and consequently halted its fruitless attempts at fighting the Islamic Republic at the behest of western and zionist imperialists. The Aliyev regime should take inspiration from that.
If the regime in Baku decides otherwise however, there definitely will be a response from Iran. Even if Iran chooses not to opt for outright use of Iranian ground forces.
This has been mentioned before on PDF,but many of the Iranian members,who are Azeri ethnic themselves,argued about it.They claimed that's not the case. I think some of the guys were
@aryobarzan @Dariush the Great @Shapur Zol Aktaf @Muhammed45 @SalarHaqq @Hack-Hook @Arash1991 Maybe I'm wrong about some of these,but many were Azeri ethnic
My family is comprising Azari-speakers as well, yes. All 1000% loyal to Iran, realizing how Iran is and has always been their homeland, and how they are an Iranian people indeed. The very term Azar is Iranian, meaning fire.
In case of full fledged military conflict, Iran would rapidly wipe the floor with Baku.
A fair amount of Baku citizens actually realize it. Here's an example:
The maker of the above video seems to be Azari-speaking Iranian too.