Well, i was not in charge...
Then what's the point??
Well, even the understated numbers of cocainsky were much higher than the numbers you tried unterzujubeln (cant find english expression - no its not cheer) some posts ago.
I never made any prediction on casualty; I did make a point by giving a ballpark figure. And no, that figure if I remember is actually build on when Zelenskyy said they were suffering 200 killed a day, and that is the "HEIGHT" of Russian offensive when they were trying to take Severodonetsk, which is back in June/July when the war was only 6-month-old. The calculation back then was about 100,000 casualties, because 200 a day killed, by June 30 the war is 126 days old, with 200 killed a day at max point, that's 25,200 deaths, again, 1 to 3 deaths to wounded ratio, which mean you will have 75000 wounded, thus 100,000 casualties.
Russia has "thrown pretty much everything non-nuclear at the front" in its bid to advance in Ukraine's eastern Donbas region.
www.cbsnews.com
Even if we are talking about now, 349 days of war, if we still use that high tempo number of 200 days killed, the death toll would be 69800 killed again with 1 to 3 KIA/WIA ratio, you get 200,000 wounded which mean you are talking about 260,000 casualty if EVERYDAY is like when Russia attacking Siverodonetsk, which have not seen since then. Which mean if we go by the traditional estimation, even with Zelenskyy appalling number, it would not be more than 300,000, which is roughly the same number of Russian request for mobilised soldier.
But again, that is just ballpark figure using the highest ceiling. Not any estimation at all.
Well, i estimated till today:
So i dont know from where you came up with "1.3 million casualities"
I misread you said 150,000 recover with 150,000 extra casualty, so when I did my calculation that's 350,000 + 800,000 + 150,000.
But even if it's 1.15 millions, that wouldn't really change much, because it only bump it back to 310k soldier left, instead of 200,000-, again, going back to the original figure you claimed 460,000 + 1,000,000 reserve, it's still 1.46 millions. So are you saying that 1.46 million can push back Russian Assault with 300,000 mobilised soldier with 2 Successful Counter Offensive meanwhile have the number to hold off Northern and Southern Border if they had suffered 1.15 millions casualty??