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Source: trust me broRussia is making steady progress
only 50% of the NATO weapons are reaching the front line
and the ones reaching front line have a life expectancy of 7-10 days
the Soviet Steamroller is crushing eveything in its pathway inch by inch metre by metre
all the old Soviet equipment is now gone Ukraine needs to transition to the NATO weapons
this will take time and money and Ukraine has neither
so Russian will move on deeper into Ukraine
will Ukraine counter attack and take back the lands Russia has seized? I highly highly doubt it
Well, I doubt that would work.
The Russian has expanded A LOT of ammo, like a lot. It's estimated 20000 rounds of 152 a day, that's 600,000 rounds a month, this war has gone on for more than 4 months which mean it's around 2.4 mil rounds fired by now, and I have not counted Missile, Rocket and so on.
I don't know the scope of Russian arms cache but I don't think they have that many rounds store in Crimea (Kupiansk was captured so they cannot be prepared for it) but I would not think they have store any more than 1 millions rounds in the entire Crimea. That net flow would have captured by Western Intelligence.
They may still have arms cache lying anywhere, but I doubt the Russian fought this war without stuff coming from Russia