Yep, or like hassan al somali with his incessant claims of encirclements and pockets just around the corner!
It does seem the ukranians are meeting heavy resistance from the russians in Kherson. I do wonder how long the russians can keep this intensity of fire support going considering their degraded supply lines and how often their ammo depots are being hit.
Strategically, kherson looks tricky for them to defend.
From the look of it, Ukraine does not want to flatten Kherson, which is what the Russian did to almost every city they captured.
From the limited information I got, the planning for Ukrainian Armed Forces seems like try to encircle Kherson from 3 routes, T1501 from the West, M14 from the North and E58 from the East. The force converge in Kherson.
Russian 3rd Army already being pin as all of the bridge behind them are destroyed or damaged. Which mean if Ukraine want, they can just keep firing HIMARS into Kherson and take out as many Russian position they want, but judging from the language both Zelenskyy uses and High Command of AFU, it seems like Ukraine wanted to encircle the Russian force and make them retreat. There is pretty much no way for the Russian to hold indefinitely, to do that, they will need to have at least 1 of the bridge functioning. And once the 3 pronged met and converge in Kherson, that's pretty much game over for the Russian.
The problem is, to pull that off, Ukraine would need at least 2 times the Russian force, Russia has around 20k troop in the area, Ukraine is very tight lip about their formation, but general estimate usually put Ukrainian force at 5 to 6 Brigade, which is roughly 30,000 men. That is not enough to take on the defender. Unless Russia willingly retreats, this counter offensive is going to take a long time to complete. But all in all, unless Russia somehow manages to fix one of the bridges, I don't see how Russia can hold on indefinitely, they may be able to hold until winter came, but once fighting season start again next year, it will still be the same, their position is going to get pounded by HIMARS. And they would have problem bringing in reinforcement.
My point was that one Javelin launcher doesn't mean 1 missile, one launcher can have many missiles.
CLU is not a launcher......CLU is like the trigger of a firearms. The launcher is the tube that hold the missile.
