Viet
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More weapons, more economic sanctions. The West will squeeze Russia to the point Putin won’t be able to pay the Wagner hooligans. Russia hydrocarbons will halve this year to $180 billion. If price cap on oil sinks lower to, let’s say to $30 then will be more interesting. Reducing Russia exports revenues by 50 pct every year as long as the war continues.Ukraine needs overwhelming fire power. Either with low/medium accuracy thousands of cold war era howitzers. Or high accuracy tens of thousands of guided rockets/missiles. Or high accuracy tens of thousands of drone bombers. Or combined with lesser numbers.
Early in the war, Ukraine needed shoulder fired anti-tank weapons. That quickly changed to firepower for breakthrough. Those shoulder fired weapons are keeping a mechanized/tank invasion of Ukraine at bay. Though with the new human wave attacks, when Russia gets to a critical amount of troops, Russia could possibly defeat the Ukrainian lines with a combined infantry and vehicle attack.
Winning Bakhmut does not matter. Your tactics must be to punish the Russians for their attacks with heavy losses to Russian infantry and heavy weapons/equipment. And not much loss to Ukrainian soldiers and equipment. This is where artillery, drones and rockets help. You are killing the enemy with no loss to your own. A war of attrition on the Russian side as Russians send more doomed Russians to the front.
And hold Ukrainian positions as long as possible without loss of equipment or encirclement. To be able to fight again.
EU must rearm. They are 11 months behind schedule.
the western economies will take a hard hit. But hey, let’s see who goes bankrupt first.
Breakingviews - Trying to bankrupt Russia could backfire
Sanctions on Russia are back under discussion. Eleven months after President Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine triggered a barrage of economic reprisals from the United States and its allies, some are pushing for further restrictions on oil and gas exports. But doing so would carry big...
www.reuters.com