EasyNow
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It is not easy to come to a correct conclusion about who were behind the Pilkhana murders and who had more stakes in the chaos that was unfurled on 25/26 Feb 2009. There were conflicting reports at the time.
1) One group claim that Indian RAW and BAL are behind the revolt and killing of the BA Officers deputed to the BDR.
2) Another group says with a meek voice, it was Pakistan ISI and BNP who plotted the revolt and the subsequent killings.
3) Both BNP and BAL knew of the BDR grievances of low salary and less amenities comparing to army Jawans, because its NCOs talked with the central leaders of both the parties before the election, thinking whichever party came to power would look after the issues.
No. 1) Theory
1-a)Proponents say that Pilkhana was a revenge for BDR killing of IA troops in the 2001 Padua border war. 3 BDR troops were killed. 14 IA bodies were found in BD soil. Some say, another 83 IA troops were killed, whose bodies were carried away by the fleeing IA soldiers as per army training.
1-b) Questions remain to be answered,
- Reason of a border war and kilings is childish considring its consequence. So, what other substantive reasons were there for GoI/RAW to stage a failed revolt?
- Why SHW/BAL would stage a revolt that could have caused a military takeover, unseated them and could have killed them?
So, RAW involvement seems to be feeble when I think in this line, although, in those days I used to think of a RAW connection because of killing at the border.
2) 2nd Theory. It says of BKZ/BNP and ISI connection, which does not find many supporters. BKZ govt (2001 - 2006) had good relationship with Pakistan and Saudi Arabia. Even China was not given that importance let alone Russia, Japan, India or USA.
2-a) BNP lost the election miserably. So, one can assume a BKZ/BNP & ISI connection in organizing a revolt that could have resulted in the topling of AL govt by a military uprising. BNP had nothing to lose if failed, although BKZ did not foresee of a possible Constitutional revision that would prevent her from taking Office anytime soon.
2-c) BNP arranged the revolt which could have also killed SHW and a subsequent army takeover. But, SHW cancelled her visit to Pilkhana of 25 Feb. 2009 one day before, perhaps she had an DGIF information of a possible revolt. So, BNP/ISI could have easily stopped such a revolt that would not kill SHW and topple the govt.
2-d) Rumor mongers say of a white Van/Wagon that entered the gate when Officers/BDR troops were in the Darbar Hall. It waited across the road facing the main entrance of the Hall. When the Jawans came out of the Hall with the lined up Officers in the front, firings from the wagon killed Major General Shakib. This started the killing spree that took more than 60 lives. The Wagon escaped through the gate after initiating the killings.
3) 3rd possibility: The revolt took place because the army Officers were not listening to the desparate pleas for rectifying the BDR grievances. So, it can also be said the mutiny and killing had nothing to do with BAL or BNP. It just ppened out of dissatisfaction of the BDR troops.
I tried to explain each of the points and I believe in the 3rd Theory. It just hppened without outside interference by BAL, BNP, RAW or ISI.
Source: https://defence.pk/threads/peelkhana-massacre-and-indian-raw-involvment-–-assault-on-security-and-sovereignty.436667/page-2#ixzz4CsM6t3Ye
I tried to explain each of the points and I believe in the 3rd Theory. It just hppened without outside interference by BAL, BNP, RAW or ISI.
I lean towards theory 3. Reality is usually more mundane than the idea of 'illusive powers' behind all our problems. Rather than a long planned conspiracy, it was a long-brewing rebellion.
The HuT is also a possible factor but only in terms of brewing dissent. As they are active in recruiting armed forces personnel.