the production capicity is being increased.
we have tree production lines at PAC, currently one is dediceted to JFT. the second was busy with Mirages and F-7PG and third one for regular refits and over hauls.
now with the JFT gradually growing in number and a fourth production line being set up, JFT will be done in two parallel production line.
after 2013~2014 we may even see a third line that is currently under mirages/F-7PG given to JFT with all the overhauls moved to one single line as the load and numbers of mirages and older F-7 will start to decrease.
Some good points but sir please keep in mind if adding production lines is so easy then HAL would have added more lines just to churn out more and more MKI's especially when IAF is operating below her santioned squadron force, no??? A country whose economy is growing at about 9% and projected to grow at same pace for decades can certainly find out money for creating "n" number of production lines, no???However that is not the case...The increase is there but is gradual....Please note that there are host of other complexities that are involved and talking about all of them is not feasible here...However on a very high level there is a very sensitive relation between demand and supply which needs to be very carefully examined otherwise it leads to lot of wastage, something that poor south asian countries cannot afford especially Pakistan with economy in such a bad shape....Just to give you a hint, one has to put in lot of money to set up another production line and one has to ensure they have enough orders in hand to keep this additional production line working for considerable amount of time(years) to cover up for the amount invested...My request please ponder on those lines as well.....
It is almost end of 2010. PAC have another 5 years to completed the order(though i am not sure if order has even been put). As of now PAC is producing around 10-12 fighters a year....It will take a couple of years to incresae the capacity to 20-22...So if we do some simple maths with being a little optimistic
12 * 2 = 24
22 * 3 = 66
that brings the total to 90. So starting from now with optimistic targets by 2015 PAC can produce an additional 90 JF17's....which makes them 60 short of the number we are talking about...Now add the numbers that you already have and see how much work needs to be done....Please note that here we are assuming that eveything related to avionics package for block II will go smooth...
Now i would appreciate if you help point out flaws in my analysis and suggest how 150 is achievable and that too with ease!!!....
So let me repeat again what i have said on previous posts...reaching a number of 150 by 2015 is not as easy as members are making it to be...Is it not at all feasible, heck no way, is it very difficult, YES absolutely...
150 mark is not a problem, the thing is that will be see upgrades for every subsequent block as planned. for block II, which might well be just one year away there are no real upgrades being made public as yet. based on my talk with some frineds at PAC it may only see mid air refueling probes as a development alongside. the KJ-10 is reported to be on board already..
Good luck with that...Though avionics package has not been closed yet i believe concrete news will come out soon...but keep in ming closing on avionics package is one thing but churning out fighters with the package is another dimension...Anyways my best wishes on that....
i hope to see some real steps forward in block III with chines engine and AESA radars developing fast.
better engine might also yeild in more hard points that will be a minor structural change and will require testing..regards!
I would say let's get the block II running first....AESA radar on a fighter is a very complex engineering and apart from Americans no one has cracked it yet to a level that one can feel comfortable about it....Here you are talking about structural changes as well...No matter all this is achievable but i am sure you will agree all of these are time consuming as well as unpredictable jobs