Iranian Chill Thread

[sha ah]

Before the Coronavirus epidemic was a thing, Iran was exporting atleast 700,000 bpd, maybe 1 million or slightly more. What you see on paper is one thing and what countries and traders do behind closed doors is another. Of course the grey market / black market has a limit, but when prices were at $50/$60 a barrel, Iran could entice buyers with steep discounts.

Now after the Coronavirus, if you think about it logically, the number should obviously be much lower but like I said various countries are probably hording as much cheap oil as possible at the moment. At these prices I'm guessing that China, among others are building storage facilities just to store more and more cheap oil. It makes sense since at these prices, what are you going to lose ? The issue is that at these prices, eventually storage facilities will be full and with prices being so low, like today $10 per barrel for WTI, at the end of the day the oil does cost money to produce and how much lower can Iran go ? Let's say it costs Iran $5-$8 per barrel to produce, then realistically what price can Iran offer consumers in order to convince them to take the risk of dealing with them ? I mean yes Brent Crude is still 19.22 and I'm pretty sure Iran bases its oil price on Brent, but still.

Well, yeah. I said that Iran produces more than 2.5 million barrels per day to correct what you had said about Iran producing 700,000 bpds.

Anyway, you can't say that because at some point in recent years Iran allegedly exported 1.2 million bpds to China then it has to be the same this year. Our oil production is decreasing as you quoted from Radio Farda. Bijan Zanganeh has confirmed that our oil production is decreasing. We produced almost 5 million barrels per day before Trump reimposed US unilateral sanctions. Now we are producing fewer than 3 million barrels per day. And our oil consumption differs season by season and year by year. For example, after the gasoline reform plan in October, our gas consumption decreased and obviously that affects our local oil consumption as well.

And selling oil on the land is too difficult. Oil tankers can carry millions of barrels safely. What kind of container trucks do you want to use that can handle anything like that? How many of them do you need? I don't think it's feasible. Maybe 50,000 barrels per day can be sold like that, but not hundreds of thousands of barrels.

Selling 2 million barrels per day is completely impossible even before covid-19, considering our capacities and our local consumption. Japan, South Korea, all European countries (Italy, Spain, Greece, etc.), Singapore, Malaysia, even India and Turkey have stopped buying Iranian crude oil. Most Chinese refineries have switched to Saudi Arabian oil and Iranian oil is not their top priority anymore. Even 700,000 barrels per day is too optimistic. The real number is probably between 200,000 to 500,000. But as I said, nobody knows for sure.

 

[yavar]

https://defence.pk/pdf/threads/syri...les-over-damascus.663300/page-4#post-12277872

Here's one, not only did it miss, but it also didn't explode
View attachment 627835

this is another one for Iranian members to learn not to bother
he posted Pic of fuel tank and body BM missile which after warhead separation landed, in place which has landed there is no sign REV.

the retard says explode,

one should tell the retard if the missile explode it will burn the body and fuel tank, the piucture is so clear so ..............

Now with the oil prices being negative, the Iranian terror regime is under more and more pressure.

Really?? We produce 200,000 barrels day before price drop to Zero so explain here what has it change ? How is it effecting Iran ?? Please give us some number and figures??

General (Ret)

This guy is mentally retarded

Just watched video from 9:30

Quote “ Boko Haram means the holy book which means Quran
“End quote


The guy well know lier retard,

But Israeli members here try to make post about iranian General.


But by making foolish post the reality on ground will not change.

 

[QWECXZ]

Before the Coronavirus epidemic was a thing, Iran was exporting atleast 700,000 bpd, maybe 1 million or slightly more. What you see on paper is one thing and what countries and traders do behind closed doors is another. Of course the grey market / black market has a limit, but when prices were at $50/$60 a barrel, Iran could entice buyers with steep discounts.

Now after the Coronavirus, if you think about it logically, the number should obviously be much lower but like I said various countries are probably hording as much cheap oil as possible at the moment. At these prices I'm guessing that China, among others are building storage facilities just to store more and more cheap oil. It makes sense since at these prices, what are you going to lose ? The issue is that at these prices, eventually storage facilities will be full and with prices being so low, like today $10 per barrel for WTI, at the end of the day the oil does cost money to produce and how much lower can Iran go ? Let's say it costs Iran $5-$8 per barrel to produce, then realistically what price can Iran offer consumers in order to convince them to take the risk of dealing with them ? I mean yes Brent Crude is still 19.22 and I'm pretty sure Iran bases its oil price on Brent, but still.

You do realize that selling one million barrels per day is not something that can go unnoticed. Right? Your argument about 'what you see on paper is one thing and what trades do behind closed doors is another' is not correct. Iran has 54 oil tankers to deliver our oil to our customers. Depending on the destination, it takes 2 to 4 weeks to deliver our oil. All of our oil tankers can be tracked by satellites. So, it's easy to estimate how much oil Iran exports. And you can't export enough oil on the ground. That is why countries buy these mega huge vessels for transporting oil.

 

[Slav Defence]

Happy Ramdan Kareem
How is everyone here?

 

[Philosopher]

Happy Ramdan Kareem
How is everyone here?

Happy Ramandan!

Doing well, wishing everyone a safe journey through this current pandemic. Hope you are staying safe.

 

[Slav Defence]

Happy Ramandan!

Doing well, wishing everyone a safe journey through this current pandemic. Hope you are staying safe.

Alhamdullilah

 

[Aspen]

Ramadan Kareem!

 

[Mithridates]

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[skyshadow]

Happy Ramdan Kareem
How is everyone here?

Ramadan Kareem!

Ramazan Karim InshaAllah , all i know is AZAN is in 1 hour

 

[skyshadow]

 

[Messerschmitt]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1255893642725777409

 

[Philosopher]

@Mithridates Dadash, havest bashe ban nashi. Man comentemo unja pak kardam chon mod ha daran un threadro nega mikonand . Beyareshoon ye threade dige bad barashoon migim.

 

[Mithridates]

@Mithridates Dadash, havest bashe ban nashi. Man comentemo unja pak kardam chon mod ha daran un threadro nega mikonand . Beyareshoon ye threade dige bad barashoon migim.

off topic ro ban nemikonan, tohini ham beheshon nakardam. ban ham bokonan arzeshesh ro dare.

 

[Philosopher]

off topic ro ban nemikonan, tohini ham beheshon nakardam. ban ham bokonan arzeshesh ro dare.

Alan in modeshoon miyad bet rate a manfi mide. Ina miyan alan khodeshoonro victm neshoon midan. In quote hashoon has dari reply mikoni? boro toye ye thread dige beshoon reply kon.

@Mithridates Toye section khodeshoon nazar chon modeshoon mitone banet kone. Toye middle section, yea thread peyda kon.

 

[Mithridates]

Alan in modeshoon miyad bet rate a manfi mide. Ina miyan alan khodeshoonro victm neshoon midan. In quote hashoon has dari reply mikoni? boro toye ye thread dige beshoon reply kon.

@Mithridates Toye section khodeshoon nazar chon modeshoon mitone banet kone. Toye middle section, yea thread peyda kon.

haji velesh kon pas, gozashtam thread khodeshoon, beram pak konam ta be gha naraftam