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Foreign companies pulling more money out of India

MUMBAI: Foreign direct investment, the sort of sticky long-term money India craves to fund its current account deficit and build up its infrastructure, may not be so stable after all.

According to a Nomura report, multinational companies have been pulling money out of India at an accelerating rate, moving $10.7 billion out of the country in 2011, up from $7.2 billion in 2010 and just $3.1 billion in 2009.

Outward flows are bad news for a country that this week saw its rupee currency hit a new record low as investors worry about its hefty fiscal and current account shortfalls, slowing economic growth and policy gridlock.

Still, corporate funds continue to enter India even as existing investors exit. Inbound foreign direct investment surged 88 percent to a record $36.5 billion in the fiscal year that ended in March, according to official data.

"Global deleveraging may have forced companies to sell their Indian assets and repatriate funds to their home country," Nomura analysts wrote in the Friday note.

"At the same time, domestic push factors such as slowing potential growth, the high cost of doing business and regulatory uncertainty have weakened the investment climate, likely causing this erosion. This is not a good sign."

Telecoms companies Etisalat of Abu Dhabi and Bahrain Telecommunications Co are leaving India after their mobile phone licences were among those ordered cancelled by an Indian court amid a corruption probe.

New York Life recently exited its 26 percent stake in an Indian insurance venture with Max IndiaBSE 0.03 % for $530 million, while U.S. mutual fund giant Fidelity Worldwide Investment recently struck a deal to unload its India unit to local company L&T Finance Holdings.

Foreign companies have been increasingly frustrated by regulatory uncertainty and a lack of reforms. Rules that would allow foreign companies into the supermarket and airline industries are stalled.

Vodafone, the world's biggest mobile carrier, has repeatedly clashed with authorities in India, which is trying to collect more than $2 billion in taxes from it through a retroactive law change, even after India's highest court ruled in the company's favour.
Vodafone, the biggest overseas corporate investor in India, has said it will not walk away.

The Nomura report said the services, manufacturing and real estate sectors probably saw "the maximum outflow".

Foreign companies pulling more money out of India: Nomura - The Economic Times

see the date before you post. It is 25 May, 2012.

This is the latest on FII inflows into India

FII inflows in India in 2012 run past emerging Asian economies excluding China - Economic Times

Sep 18, 2012
 
India's steel output rises in August amid global slump

Global steel production fell slightly in August, the global industry body said on Thursday, but deeper cuts are necessary, especially in top producer China, to tackle falling prices as demand remains poor. India's production was up 2.6 percent to 6.4 million tonnes.

India's steel output rises in August amid global slump - Reuters
 
Sensex closes at 1-year high, zooms 404 points on further reform hopes
Last Updated: Friday, September 21, 2012, 16:59

Mumbai: The Sensex on Friday closed at one-year high of 18,752.83 surging by 404 points as the stock market gave thumbs up to UPA government's resolve to push ahead with economic reforms on the back of continued support from the Samajwadi Party.

After opening 62 points higher, the BSE benchmark index built on the initial momentum as foreign fund flows gushed in with the government yesterday notifying its decision to allow FDI in multi-brand retail, aviation and broadcasting sectors.

Soon after, the Sensex intra-day zoomed over 517 points to 18,866.87, a new high in 14 months, on reports that Samajwadi Party has pledged to continue support to the government on a day Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress pulled out of UPA.

Power, capital goods, metal and bank stocks led Sensex's rise. Finance Minister P Chidambaram's announcement of slashing withholding tax on overseas borrowings to 5 percent from 20 percent and approval to Rajiv Gandhi Equity Savings Scheme (RGESS) to encourage first-time retail investors to invest in stocks, also lifted the sentiment.

The 30-share Sensex finally closed at a 52-week high pf 18752.83 points, up 403.58 points or 2.20 percent, with 26 constituents led by ICICI Bank, L&T, HDFC Bank, Reliance and ITC ending higher.

Today's rise was the second biggest single-day gain by Sensex after September 14 this month. Across broader market, over 1,800 stocks closed with gains driving up investor wealth by a whopping Rs 1.27 lakh crore.

"Sensex ended the week at 52-week highs on the back of a 2 percent gain...This was a result of the fiscal reforms announced last week and also in current week.

FDI in aviation and multi-brand retail were notified without any delay. Concerns about stability of UPA government were also largely addressed," said Dipen Shah, Head of Private Client Group Research, Kotak Securities.

The NSE 50-share Nifty index shot up by 136.90, or 2.46 percent to 5,691.15 after rising to day's high of 5,700.

Meanwhile, the rupee rose to its highest level in more than four months gaining 1.9 percent to 53.37 a US dollar.
 
This FDI euphoria will be short lived. Take my word..

The diesel price will have some long time benefit which will help reduce the fiscal deficit.
 
How is the nationwide strike going?:azn:


Its actually quite normal for us

Normally the opposition calls for a Nation wide strike once or twice a year to show that it is still relevant ,
Normally the impact is seen only in opposition ruled states
 
This FDI euphoria will be short lived. Take my word..

The diesel price will have some long time benefit which will help reduce the fiscal deficit.


yeah right , just like the FDI euphoria of 1991 , OH WAIT Indian GDP has gone up by 5 times since 1991 Reforms

By the way this FDI reform will bring in 16 Billion USD investments to Retail Industry , 5 Billion USD investment to Aviation industry , in the next 1 yr

While increasing diesel Prices will save the government 8 Billion USD, which the government hopes to spend on improving the Railways

Text of Prime Minister's address to the nation

New Delhi, Sep 21 (IANS) Following is the text of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's address to the nation:

"My dear brothers and sisters,

I am speaking to you tonight to explain the reasons for some important economic policy decisions the government has recently taken. Some political parties have opposed them. You have a right to know the truth about why we have taken these decisions.

No government likes to impose burdens on the common man. Our government has been voted to office twice to protect the interests of the aam admi.

At the same time, it is the responsibility of the government to defend the national interest, and protect the long term future of our people. This means that we must ensure that the economy grows rapidly, and that this generates enough productive jobs for the youth of our country. Rapid growth is also necessary to raise the revenues we need to finance our programmes in education, health care, housing and rural employment.

The challenge is that we have to do this at a time when the world economy is experiencing great difficulty. The United States and Europe are struggling to deal with an economic slowdown and financial crisis. Even China is slowing down.

We too have been affected, though I believe we have been able to limit the effect of the global crisis.

We are at a point where we can reverse the slowdown in our growth. We need a revival in investor confidence domestically and globally. The decisions we have taken recently are necessary for this purpose.

Let me begin with the rise in diesel prices and the cap on LPG cylinders.

We import almost 80 percent of our oil, and oil prices in the world market have increased sharply in the past four years. We did not pass on most of this price rise to you, so that we could protect you from hardship to the maximum extent possible.

As a result, the subsidy on petroleum products has grown enormously. It was Rs.1 lakh 40 thousand crores last year. If we had not acted, it would have been over Rs.200,000 crore this year.

Where would the money for this have come from? Money does not grow on trees. If we had not acted, it would have meant a higher fiscal deficit, that is, an unsustainable increase in government expenditure vis-a-vis government income. If unchecked, this would lead to a further steep rise in prices and a loss of confidence in our economy. The prices of essential commodities would rise faster. Both domestic as well as foreign investors would be reluctant to invest in our economy. Interest rates would rise. Our companies would not be able to borrow abroad. Unemployment would increase.

The last time we faced this problem was in 1991. Nobody was willing to lend us even small amounts of money then. We came out of that crisis by taking strong, resolute steps. You can see the positive results of those steps. We are not in that situation today, but we must act before people lose confidence in our economy.

I know what happened in 1991 and I would be failing in my duty as Prime Minister of this great country if I did not take strong preventive action.

The world is not kind to those who do not tackle their own problems. Many European countries are in this position today. They cannot pay their bills and are looking to others for help. They are having to cut wages or pensions to satisfy potential lenders.

I am determined to see that India will not be pushed into that situation. But I can succeed only if I can persuade you to understand why we had to act.

We raised the price of diesel by just Rs.5 per litre instead of the Rs.17 that was needed to cut all losses on diesel. Much of diesel is used by big cars and SUVs owned by the rich and by factories and businesses. Should the government run large fiscal deficits to subsidise them?

We reduced taxes on petrol by Rs.5 per litre to prevent a rise in petrol prices. We did this so that the crores of middle class people who drive scooters and motorcycles are not hit further.

On LPG, we put a cap of 6 subsidised cylinders per year. Almost half of our people, who need our help the most, actually use only six cylinders or less. We have ensured they are not affected. Others will still get six subsidised cylinders, but they must pay a higher price for more.

We did not touch the price of kerosene which is consumed by the poor.

My Dear Brothers and Sisters,

You should know that even after the price increase, the prices of diesel and LPG in India are lower than those in Bangladesh, Nepal, Sri Lanka and Pakistan.

The total subsidy on petroleum products will still be Rs.160 thousand crores. This is more than what we spend on Health and Education together. We held back from raising prices further because I hoped that oil prices would decline.

Let me now turn to the decision to allow foreign investment in retail trade. Some think it will hurt small traders. This is not true.

Organised, modern retailing is already present in our country and is growing. All our major cities have large retail chains. Our national capital, Delhi, has many new shopping centres. But it has also seen a three-fold increase in small shops in recent years.

In a growing economy, there is enough space for big and small to grow. The fear that small retailers will be wiped out is completely baseless.

We should also remember that the opening of organised retail to foreign investment will benefit our farmers. According to the regulations we have introduced, those who bring FDI have to invest 50% of their money in building new warehouses, cold-storages and modern transport systems. This will help to ensure that a third of our fruits and vegetables, which at present are wasted because of storage and transit losses, actually reach the consumer. Wastage will go down; prices paid to farmers will go up; and prices paid by consumers will go down.

The growth of organised retail will also create millions of good quality new jobs.

We recognise that some political parties are opposed to this step. That is why state governments have been allowed to decide whether foreign investment in retail can come into their state. But one state should not stop another state from seeking a better life for its farmers, for its youth and for its consumers.

In 1991, when we opened India to foreign investment in manufacturing, many were worried. But today, Indian companies are competing effectively both at home and abroad, and they are investing around the world. More importantly, foreign companies are creating jobs for our youth -- in Information Technology, in steel, and in the auto industry. I am sure this will happen in retail trade as well.

My Dear Brothers and Sisters,

The UPA Government is the government of the aam aadmi.

In the past eight years our economy has grown at a record annual rate of 8.2 per cent. We have ensured that poverty has declined much faster, agriculture has grown faster, and rural consumption per person has also grown faster.

We need to do more, and we will do more. But to achieve inclusiveness we need more growth. And we must avoid high fiscal deficits which cause a loss of confidence in our economy.

I promise you that I will do everything necessary to put our country back on the path of high and inclusive growth. But I need your support. Please do not be misled by those who want to confuse you by spreading fear and false information. The same tactics were adopted in 1991. They did not succeed then. They will not succeed now. I have full faith in the wisdom of the people of India.

We have much to do to protect the interests of our nation, and we must do it now. At times, we need to say "No" to the easy option and say "Yes" to the more difficult one. This happens to be one such occasion. The time has come for hard decisions. For this I need your trust, your understanding, and your cooperation.

As Prime Minister of this great country, I appeal to each one of you to strengthen my hands so that we can take our country forward and build a better and more prosperous future for ourselves and for the generations to come.

Jai Hind.

http://in.news.yahoo.com/text-prime-ministers-address-nation-144745790--finance.html
 
India's growth will be 6.7 percent this fiscal: Rangarajan

Chennai, Sep 24 (IANS) India's growth rate for this fiscal will be 6.7 percent as the monsoon has turned out to be better than expected and the growth would pick up during the second half of the year, a top economist said Monday.

"Our forecast was that the growth rate will be around 6.7 percent which is slightly better than last year. I think the growth will pick up in the second half and indications are there," C. Rangarajan, chairman of the economic advisory council to the prime minister told reporters here on the sidelines of the Annual Day celebrations of the Madras School of Economics.

He said the performance on the farm front will be better than what was expected earlier as the monsoon has turned out to be better than expected.

Global ratings agency Standard & Poor's Monday said it has lowered India's economic growth forecast by one percentage point to 5.5 percent for 2012 due to deficient rainfall, a lingering crisis in the Eurozone and weak recovery in the US.

According to Rangarajan, economic reforms are a continuing process and progress should be towards fiscal consolidation.

He said the country should work towards restraining the current account deficit.

On subsidies, Rangarajan said they should be watched and kept at around two percent of the gross domestic product (GDP).

He said the subsidies should be targeted so that the intended sections are benefitted.
 
Engineering R&D outsourced to India to touch $42 billion by 2020

BANGALORE: At least $42billion worth of research and development work product engineering will be outsourced to India by 2020, marking a growth of at least 14% every year from now, according to a recent study by Zinnov Management Consulting.

"The Indian captive landscape has grown to 874 centers as compar
ed to 836 in fiscal 2011. Even in the Telecom sector for that matter, deregulation in India and China is fueling the future growth prospects," said Pari Natarajan, CEO at Zinnov.

However, India will face stiff competition from service providers in Russia and China, according to Zinnov's study Engineering R&D: Advantage India, results of which were released on Monday. India, will remain leading offshore destination for such work, with a market share of 22%, according to Zinnov.


Engineering R&D outsourced to India to touch $42 billion by 2020: Zinnov - The Economic Times
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GE Vice Chairman: Foreign Firms Will Invest In India


Foreign firms will be more keen to invest in India now that the government is acting on promises to allow for foreign direct investment in major industries, like airlines and retail for starters. That’s the view of General Electric (GE) vice chairman John Rice, who said during an American Chamber of Commerce meeting in Singapore this weekend that, ”We are optimistic with the announcement (of new reforms) and hope the government follows through and demonstrates that India is a place where you should invest and the companies like ours will invest.”

It’s already starting, and India hasn’t even opened the flood gates yet to foreigners.

Late last week, Walmart’s joint venture partner in India, Bharti Enterprises, announced that Walmart would bring an undisclosed number of stores to India over the next 18 months following the government’s liberalization of the sector to outsiders.


http://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapo...-chairman-foreign-firms-will-invest-in-india/
 
Standard and Poor’s (S&P) warned that India GDP could drop below 5%

Sep 25 2012

New Delhi: Within a week of the dramatic policy changes announced by the government, the international rating agency Standard and Poor’s (S&P) scaled down the country’s growth projections and warned that in the worst-case scenario it could even drop below 5%, signalling that more needs to be done to fix what’s wrong with the economy.

S&P cuts India GDP growth forecast to 5.5% - Livemint

Its an engineered headline to pressurize Indian political opposition to tone down its anti FDI rhetoric..
 

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