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SOURCE: THE WEEK

8-Admiral-Sunil-Lanba.jpg

As chairman of the chiefs of staff committee, Admiral Sunil Lanba’s purview is not confined to the waters. Recently, he was spotted on the Arunachal Pradesh mountains, getting briefed by the Army on the deterrence posture across the northern frontier.

And having recently operationalised India’s first nuclear-powered and nuclear-armed submarine, Lanba is now looking forward to the Indian Navy getting a follow-on boat to this submarine and also one more home-built aircraft carrier. In an interview on the eve of the Navy Day, Lanba spoke to THE WEEK on these and other issues concerning India’s maritime posturing. Excerpts:

The Indian Navy recently operationalised the nuclear submarine INS Arihant. What does it signify?

I don’t have anything more to say than what the prime minister said. We have successfully completed the first deterrence patrol of INS Arihant this year. With this, we have operationalised the third and the most survivable segment of the country’s nuclear triad. And that is a quantum jump in our deterrence capability.

China is beginning the sea trials of its first home-built aircraft carrier. We have had a lead of several decades over them in carrier operations and carrier construction. Are we beginning to lose the edge that we had? Can you update us on the status of India’s Indigenous Aircraft Carrier (IAC)?

Let me assure you that as long as our capability induction plans fructify, we will continue to have an advantage in carrier capability. Yes, it is true that China is making rapid strides in their aircraft carrier projects. As per the current reports, the PLA Navy aspires to have four carriers by 2024. In the same time frame, we would have two operational aircraft carriers. With synergy of efforts between the Indian Navy, shipyard and industry, we have embarked on the ambitious project of building and delivering an indigenous aircraft carrier, IAC-1.

When is IAC-1 going to be ready?

It is being built at Kochi and has entered the trials phase. The hull has been completed and the ship is in advanced stage of outfitting. Ship construction has entered into the trial phase with commencement of machinery trials from mid-2018. During the machinery trials, the equipment, machinery and ship systems would be evaluated in harbour, followed by sea trials. The sea trials are expected to commence by early 2020.

And the next aircraft carrier?

Capability assessment for building IAC-2, a CATOBAR carrier of 65,000 tonnes, has been undertaken. India can design and build it. The matter is under deliberation at the ministry for accord of acceptance of necessity (AoN).

Can you share your vision about our carrier force in the next 10 to 20 years?

The Maritime Capability Perspective Plan envisages a force level of three carriers to ensure that at least two carrier battle groups are available for operations at any given time. With INS Vikramaditya already inducted, the planned induction of IAC-1 in 2021 would ensure that we have the minimum force levels required. Further, the case for IAC-2 is being progressed to meet future requirements.

What is your vision about the Indian Navy’s strategic role in the Indo-Pacific?

The Indian Navy’s role in the Indo-Pacific is complementary to the national idea of this region. Our prime minister has stated that India’s vision for the Indo-Pacific is that “it stands for a free, open, inclusive region, which embraces all in a common pursuit of progress and prosperity”. Accordingly, the Navy works in close coordination with friendly naval forces in the region to realise this goal.

But do we have the capability to actually operate in the extended oceanic perimeter from Malacca to Aden and the African coast? Aren’t we biting off more than what we can chew?

Look, our maritime footprint has grown significantly in recent times. It spans the expanse of the Indo-Pacific at present. As we further realise our maritime economic potential through initiatives such as Project Sagarmala and the Blue Economy, this trend is likely to intensify.

Also, we have adopted the mantra of SAGAR or Security And Growth for All in the Region. Accordingly, we work in close coordination with our maritime neighbours to provide the assistance in terms of deployments as well as capability- and capacity-enhancement initiatives. So, it is necessary for us to maintain presence in the our areas of maritime interest. Since last year, we have increased the deployment of mission-ready ships and aircraft in critical sea lanes of communication and choke points in the region.

We also undertake regular interactions with friendly navies and maritime security forces to develop a high level of trust, understanding and interoperability. This serves to enable efficient and effective coordination of responses to any shared challenge to security. I assure you the Indian Navy has the capability to undertake the missions it has embraced. And, as our capability development plans fructify, our ability to sustain and expand these deployments will also increase.

India has recently signed logistics arrangements with several countries. How are these arrangements going to help in the Indian Navy’s operations? How far has it impacted the Indian Navy’s mission-based deployment?

To begin with, our mission-based deployment philosophy involves deploying ships and aircraft in our areas of maritime interest on a near-continuous basis. In order to sustain operations at enhanced ranges, there is a requirement to provide operational logistics support to ships and aircraft in their respective areas of operations. Towards this, fuelling of Indian Navy ships by US Navy tankers is being regularly undertaken in the Gulf of Aden. This has reduced the number of operational turnarounds at ports, thereby facilitating more operational time at sea while also reducing the overall cost of deployment. In the near future, we would also undertake such logistic exchanges—fuel exchange, stores, equipment repairs etc—with other navies through inter-governmental agreements.

Submarines was another area we had a march over most Asian navies. However, with our submarine fleet getting depleted and replacements being delayed, how long do you think we can maintain the lead? Can you give a timeline for the Project-75 India submarine programme?

We have a strength of 15 submarines, which includes the nuclear-powered submarine INS Chakra (SSN), the 1st Kalvari class Scorpene submarine, nine Sindhughosh class submarines and four Shishumar class vessels. The second and third Kalvari class submarines are undergoing sea trials. They are likely to be commissioned by end-2019. Yes, there have been delays in procurement of new-generation P-75(I) submarines, but we have maintained the force levels through life extension of in-service platforms. Our current submarine strength provides formidable combat potential.

What is the status of the P-75(I) project?

It is being progressed under the strategic partnership model (SPM) as promulgated by the government in the Defence Procurement Procedure, 2016. The expression of interest documents for shortlisting of strategic partners and foreign manufacturers are likely to be issued by end of this year, followed by the request for proposal (RFP) by mid-2019. We will continue to retain significant underwater capability subject to our acquisitions remaining on track.

Where have we reached on the procurement of deep submergence and rescue vessels?

The first DSRV system was delivered to the Indian Navy in mid-this year, and the second is scheduled for December. Both will attain initial operational status next year, after completion of their sea-acceptance checks. Full operational capability, post build-up of experience and expertise on this complex system, is being targeted for early-2021. It is not only a valuable Indian Navy capability but is also an important national and regional asset. It provides the Indian Navy with the ability to undertake submarine rescue up to a depth of 650m.

How has ‘Make in India’ helped the Indian Navy? Can you tell us about some of the specific Make-in-India programmes that are fructifying for the Navy? And how are our own indigenous development programmes, such as the LCA Navy, faring? We would like to have from you an overview of the Navy-specific development and manufacturing scene.

The Indian Navy has been at the forefront of the ‘Make in India’ campaign. The Navy’s indigenous drive over the last few years has resulted in achieving a substantial quantum of indigenisation. We have been constantly interacting with the DRDO, the public sector undertakings and private industry to promote and nurture the indigenisation drive. Over the past 10 years, a number of important systems and equipment, spares and sub-assemblies have been developed.

Any specific example?

A specific navy programme has been the development of marine-grade steel to build ships and submarines. We now build all our ships with steel made in India.

The sustained impetus of indigenisation has resulted in a continuous increase in indigenous content in our ships from 42 per cent in the 90s to about 90 per cent now. The ship-building material, equipment and systems on board a warship are classified into three categories—’float’ comprising material, design and systems required to keep the ship afloat; ‘move’, which includes systems required to propel the ship, and ‘fight’ component consisting of weapons and sensors. We have achieved self-reliance and indigenisation of 90, 60 and 50 per cent, respectively, in these three categories.

And Make in India?

We are progressing ‘make’ projects through DPP2016, as well as projects through DRDO’s Technology Development Fund and Defence Procurement Manual, 2009. We also have a roadmap for indigenisation called ‘Indian Naval Indigenisation Plan 2015-30’.

Based on the inputs from industry and industry bodies like CII and FICCI, we constantly refine our plans to enable enhanced industry participation. As a long-term plan, we have taken up a case for establishing a full-fledged indigenisation establishment called Centre for Indigenisation and Self Reliance (CISR) in Delhi. This centre will evolve as a professional hub for steering all indigenisation activities of the Navy.

We accord high priority to developing indigenous shipbuilding capability. Currently, 34 ships and submarines are under construction, of which 32 are being built in various Indian shipyards. Further, acceptance of necessity has been accorded for 53 ships and six submarines. Almost all of these will be constructed in India.

But you have said no to the LCA Navy variant of the Tejas fighter.

No. We have always supported the LCA programme since its inception and provided financial support, specialised manpower and other important resources. However, there have been some delays in respect of carrier-compatibility tests of these aircraft. As the LCA cannot fructify in time to meet the requirements of IAC-1, alternate acquisition options are being pursued.

LCA Navy Mark 1 has been designated as a technological demonstrator and, during its developmental journey, it will achieve and prove niche technologies such as the arrestor hook system, lightweight strengthened undercarriage and carrier-compatibility testing. These technologies will be incorporated in the Mark 2 version, which is currently in design phase. The Mark 2 would thus form the stepping stone for a credible indigenous deck-based fighter in the coming years.
 
The title is misleading.

Yes India does have more experience in carrier operations and combat than China. However China will have four carriers by 2024 as per the article compared to India's two. China will then have 6 by the 2030's, two type 003's are being built at the same time.
There will be no edge, and with the PLAN being several times bigger than the IN, the gap is massive.
 
Last edited:
why dint they mention whole navy?
.
i mean ships ,submarines etc . do aircraft carriers moves alone ? noo .
.
sounds like a feel good interview for indian consumption only .
.
in 2030 China most probably have fleets specially for indian Ocean and they will be patrolling from south China sea to dijibouti or Gawadar .
 
SOURCE: THE WEEK

8-Admiral-Sunil-Lanba.jpg

As chairman of the chiefs of staff committee, Admiral Sunil Lanba’s purview is not confined to the waters. Recently, he was spotted on the Arunachal Pradesh mountains, getting briefed by the Army on the deterrence posture across the northern frontier.

And having recently operationalised India’s first nuclear-powered and nuclear-armed submarine, Lanba is now looking forward to the Indian Navy getting a follow-on boat to this submarine and also one more home-built aircraft carrier. In an interview on the eve of the Navy Day, Lanba spoke to THE WEEK on these and other issues concerning India’s maritime posturing. Excerpts:

The Indian Navy recently operationalised the nuclear submarine INS Arihant. What does it signify?

I don’t have anything more to say than what the prime minister said. We have successfully completed the first deterrence patrol of INS Arihant this year. With this, we have operationalised the third and the most survivable segment of the country’s nuclear triad. And that is a quantum jump in our deterrence capability.

China is beginning the sea trials of its first home-built aircraft carrier. We have had a lead of several decades over them in carrier operations and carrier construction. Are we beginning to lose the edge that we had? Can you update us on the status of India’s Indigenous Aircraft Carrier (IAC)?

Let me assure you that as long as our capability induction plans fructify, we will continue to have an advantage in carrier capability. Yes, it is true that China is making rapid strides in their aircraft carrier projects. As per the current reports, the PLA Navy aspires to have four carriers by 2024. In the same time frame, we would have two operational aircraft carriers. With synergy of efforts between the Indian Navy, shipyard and industry, we have embarked on the ambitious project of building and delivering an indigenous aircraft carrier, IAC-1.

When is IAC-1 going to be ready?

It is being built at Kochi and has entered the trials phase. The hull has been completed and the ship is in advanced stage of outfitting. Ship construction has entered into the trial phase with commencement of machinery trials from mid-2018. During the machinery trials, the equipment, machinery and ship systems would be evaluated in harbour, followed by sea trials. The sea trials are expected to commence by early 2020.

And the next aircraft carrier?

Capability assessment for building IAC-2, a CATOBAR carrier of 65,000 tonnes, has been undertaken. India can design and build it. The matter is under deliberation at the ministry for accord of acceptance of necessity (AoN).

Can you share your vision about our carrier force in the next 10 to 20 years?

The Maritime Capability Perspective Plan envisages a force level of three carriers to ensure that at least two carrier battle groups are available for operations at any given time. With INS Vikramaditya already inducted, the planned induction of IAC-1 in 2021 would ensure that we have the minimum force levels required. Further, the case for IAC-2 is being progressed to meet future requirements.

What is your vision about the Indian Navy’s strategic role in the Indo-Pacific?

The Indian Navy’s role in the Indo-Pacific is complementary to the national idea of this region. Our prime minister has stated that India’s vision for the Indo-Pacific is that “it stands for a free, open, inclusive region, which embraces all in a common pursuit of progress and prosperity”. Accordingly, the Navy works in close coordination with friendly naval forces in the region to realise this goal.

But do we have the capability to actually operate in the extended oceanic perimeter from Malacca to Aden and the African coast? Aren’t we biting off more than what we can chew?

Look, our maritime footprint has grown significantly in recent times. It spans the expanse of the Indo-Pacific at present. As we further realise our maritime economic potential through initiatives such as Project Sagarmala and the Blue Economy, this trend is likely to intensify.

Also, we have adopted the mantra of SAGAR or Security And Growth for All in the Region. Accordingly, we work in close coordination with our maritime neighbours to provide the assistance in terms of deployments as well as capability- and capacity-enhancement initiatives. So, it is necessary for us to maintain presence in the our areas of maritime interest. Since last year, we have increased the deployment of mission-ready ships and aircraft in critical sea lanes of communication and choke points in the region.

We also undertake regular interactions with friendly navies and maritime security forces to develop a high level of trust, understanding and interoperability. This serves to enable efficient and effective coordination of responses to any shared challenge to security. I assure you the Indian Navy has the capability to undertake the missions it has embraced. And, as our capability development plans fructify, our ability to sustain and expand these deployments will also increase.

India has recently signed logistics arrangements with several countries. How are these arrangements going to help in the Indian Navy’s operations? How far has it impacted the Indian Navy’s mission-based deployment?

To begin with, our mission-based deployment philosophy involves deploying ships and aircraft in our areas of maritime interest on a near-continuous basis. In order to sustain operations at enhanced ranges, there is a requirement to provide operational logistics support to ships and aircraft in their respective areas of operations. Towards this, fuelling of Indian Navy ships by US Navy tankers is being regularly undertaken in the Gulf of Aden. This has reduced the number of operational turnarounds at ports, thereby facilitating more operational time at sea while also reducing the overall cost of deployment. In the near future, we would also undertake such logistic exchanges—fuel exchange, stores, equipment repairs etc—with other navies through inter-governmental agreements.

Submarines was another area we had a march over most Asian navies. However, with our submarine fleet getting depleted and replacements being delayed, how long do you think we can maintain the lead? Can you give a timeline for the Project-75 India submarine programme?

We have a strength of 15 submarines, which includes the nuclear-powered submarine INS Chakra (SSN), the 1st Kalvari class Scorpene submarine, nine Sindhughosh class submarines and four Shishumar class vessels. The second and third Kalvari class submarines are undergoing sea trials. They are likely to be commissioned by end-2019. Yes, there have been delays in procurement of new-generation P-75(I) submarines, but we have maintained the force levels through life extension of in-service platforms. Our current submarine strength provides formidable combat potential.

What is the status of the P-75(I) project?

It is being progressed under the strategic partnership model (SPM) as promulgated by the government in the Defence Procurement Procedure, 2016. The expression of interest documents for shortlisting of strategic partners and foreign manufacturers are likely to be issued by end of this year, followed by the request for proposal (RFP) by mid-2019. We will continue to retain significant underwater capability subject to our acquisitions remaining on track.

Where have we reached on the procurement of deep submergence and rescue vessels?

The first DSRV system was delivered to the Indian Navy in mid-this year, and the second is scheduled for December. Both will attain initial operational status next year, after completion of their sea-acceptance checks. Full operational capability, post build-up of experience and expertise on this complex system, is being targeted for early-2021. It is not only a valuable Indian Navy capability but is also an important national and regional asset. It provides the Indian Navy with the ability to undertake submarine rescue up to a depth of 650m.

How has ‘Make in India’ helped the Indian Navy? Can you tell us about some of the specific Make-in-India programmes that are fructifying for the Navy? And how are our own indigenous development programmes, such as the LCA Navy, faring? We would like to have from you an overview of the Navy-specific development and manufacturing scene.

The Indian Navy has been at the forefront of the ‘Make in India’ campaign. The Navy’s indigenous drive over the last few years has resulted in achieving a substantial quantum of indigenisation. We have been constantly interacting with the DRDO, the public sector undertakings and private industry to promote and nurture the indigenisation drive. Over the past 10 years, a number of important systems and equipment, spares and sub-assemblies have been developed.

Any specific example?

A specific navy programme has been the development of marine-grade steel to build ships and submarines. We now build all our ships with steel made in India.

The sustained impetus of indigenisation has resulted in a continuous increase in indigenous content in our ships from 42 per cent in the 90s to about 90 per cent now. The ship-building material, equipment and systems on board a warship are classified into three categories—’float’ comprising material, design and systems required to keep the ship afloat; ‘move’, which includes systems required to propel the ship, and ‘fight’ component consisting of weapons and sensors. We have achieved self-reliance and indigenisation of 90, 60 and 50 per cent, respectively, in these three categories.

And Make in India?

We are progressing ‘make’ projects through DPP2016, as well as projects through DRDO’s Technology Development Fund and Defence Procurement Manual, 2009. We also have a roadmap for indigenisation called ‘Indian Naval Indigenisation Plan 2015-30’.

Based on the inputs from industry and industry bodies like CII and FICCI, we constantly refine our plans to enable enhanced industry participation. As a long-term plan, we have taken up a case for establishing a full-fledged indigenisation establishment called Centre for Indigenisation and Self Reliance (CISR) in Delhi. This centre will evolve as a professional hub for steering all indigenisation activities of the Navy.

We accord high priority to developing indigenous shipbuilding capability. Currently, 34 ships and submarines are under construction, of which 32 are being built in various Indian shipyards. Further, acceptance of necessity has been accorded for 53 ships and six submarines. Almost all of these will be constructed in India.

But you have said no to the LCA Navy variant of the Tejas fighter.

No. We have always supported the LCA programme since its inception and provided financial support, specialised manpower and other important resources. However, there have been some delays in respect of carrier-compatibility tests of these aircraft. As the LCA cannot fructify in time to meet the requirements of IAC-1, alternate acquisition options are being pursued.

LCA Navy Mark 1 has been designated as a technological demonstrator and, during its developmental journey, it will achieve and prove niche technologies such as the arrestor hook system, lightweight strengthened undercarriage and carrier-compatibility testing. These technologies will be incorporated in the Mark 2 version, which is currently in design phase. The Mark 2 would thus form the stepping stone for a credible indigenous deck-based fighter in the coming years.
with same money they have builted so many man made islands whom can not be sink so they don’t need carrier for their south china sea ..on other hand your carrier can be sink in matter of times. good luck..
 
The title is misleading.

Yes India does have more experience in carrier operations and combat than China. However China will have four carriers by 2024 as per the article compared to India's two. China will then have 6 by the 2030's, two type 003's are being built at the same time.
There will be no edge, and with the PLAN being several times bigger than the IN, the gap is massive.

Regardless, even 6 carriers are too less to threaten India.

IN alone wishes to operate one carrier each in BoB and AS. And to do this throughout the year, we need 6 carriers. With 6 carriers, 2 are down for refits while 2 are docked after a deployment, leaving only 2 at sea. These 2 will patrol AS and BoB.

Similarly, even with 6 carriers, China will only have 2 at sea at any one time. And if they deploy one of those carriers to the IOR, we will have our own carrier available at the same time. However, China needs those 2 remaining carriers to counter the 2 or 3 carriers the US and Japan would be operating near China, so it is less likely for them to deploy to the IOR. Which means, they could deploy in the IOR only once every 2 years or so.

So, no, they do not have any advantage over India when it comes to carriers.

It's the same case with all other ships that they possess. They do not have the kind of numbers necessary to threaten India yet. For example, when they deployed 2 ships to the Maldives during the crisis there, IN had 40 ships deployed at the same time.

And in order to threaten India from their side, they need to consider the A&N Islands as well. Fighter jets from there and the mainland can cover the whole of BoB. Similarly, fighter jets from the mainland and bases in Oman, we can cover the whole of AS as well. So even without an operational carrier, we can control the airspace.

Not to mention, the Chinese will face severe replenishment issues the moment they are in the IOR because of the choke points. Especially with the loss of military access to Sri Lanka and Maldives.

So yes, India still retains the edge on carriers versus China.
 
The title is misleading.

Yes India does have more experience in carrier operations and combat than China. However China will have four carriers by 2024 as per the article compared to India's two. China will then have 6 by the 2030's, two type 003's are being built at the same time.
There will be no edge, and with the PLAN being several times bigger than the IN, the gap is massive.
do you think readers of his interview will go this deep ?
 
with same money they have builted so many man made islands whom can not be sink so they don’t need carrier for their south china sea ..on other hand your carrier can be sink in matter of times. good luck..
India have hundreds of natural islands on both sides of india, we dont need to build artificial ones.
And yes we have militarised it. So yea try sinking them.

We can divert that fund to build more carriers that can circle the globe and not stagnant like a artificial island.
 
Regardless, even 6 carriers are too less to threaten India.

IN alone wishes to operate one carrier each in BoB and AS. And to do this throughout the year, we need 6 carriers. With 6 carriers, 2 are down for refits while 2 are docked after a deployment, leaving only 2 at sea. These 2 will patrol AS and BoB.

Similarly, even with 6 carriers, China will only have 2 at sea at any one time. And if they deploy one of those carriers to the IOR, we will have our own carrier available at the same time. However, China needs those 2 remaining carriers to counter the 2 or 3 carriers the US and Japan would be operating near China, so it is less likely for them to deploy to the IOR. Which means, they could deploy in the IOR only once every 2 years or so.

So, no, they do not have any advantage over India when it comes to carriers.

It's the same case with all other ships that they possess. They do not have the kind of numbers necessary to threaten India yet. For example, when they deployed 2 ships to the Maldives during the crisis there, IN had 40 ships deployed at the same time.

And in order to threaten India from their side, they need to consider the A&N Islands as well. Fighter jets from there and the mainland can cover the whole of BoB. Similarly, fighter jets from the mainland and bases in Oman, we can cover the whole of AS as well. So even without an operational carrier, we can control the airspace.

Not to mention, the Chinese will face severe replenishment issues the moment they are in the IOR because of the choke points. Especially with the loss of military access to Sri Lanka and Maldives.

So yes, India still retains the edge on carriers versus China.

6 carriers are overkill for India....They are aiming to catch the USN.
As for how many are available will all depend on the cycle the PLAN chooses to carry out on its fleet, the USN operates a 32 month cycle. The Chinese will always have two ready to surge and be deployed within a given time frame, this can be between 30-90 days, so these would join the two out at sea for battle. You will only have two and one will defiantly have to be in its maintenance cycle, so the numbers faced by the IN will be higher than the two you said. So they will have a clear advantage.
Why are you brining Japan and the US into this? This is a straight discussion of the PLAN V IN. They're not coming to rescue you in the event of a conflict.
What do you mean "all other ships that they possess" you do realise they massively outnumber the combat vessels you have? They have more frigates than you have corvettes, frigates and destroyers put together.
Where did you also get the information from that the PLAN only sailed 2 ships in? They sailed in 11, with quite a few destroyers;

Eleven Chinese warships sailed into the East Indian Ocean this month, a Chinese news portal said, amid a constitutional crisis in the tiny tropical island chain of the Maldives now under a state of emergency.

https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-m...an-ocean-amid-maldives-tensions-idUKKCN1G40WT

The Chinese were also testing the waters, you can't possibly compare that to the already planned IN exercise Paschim Lehar, where 40 vessels were deployed. They were not primarily deployed to counter the PLAN who arrived, but as part of an exercise off the Western coast of the Arabian Sea, part of which was to show strength.

https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/navys-three-week-tri-service-maritime-exercise-concludes-1818586

Bases in Oman? They will never let you use them against China, the Andaman and Nicobar Islands can play a role in area denial and threaten the PLAN. As for the rest with Sri-Lanka and the Maldives it remains to be seen how things play out.
 
The title is misleading.

Yes India does have more experience in carrier operations and combat than China. However China will have four carriers by 2024 as per the article compared to India's two. China will then have 6 by the 2030's, two type 003's are being built at the same time.
There will be no edge, and with the PLAN being several times bigger than the IN, the gap is massive.


Pretty much spot.

As per my understanding, China will have 3 carriers by 2023 and 5 by 2030.

So by 2030 they will have:

1. 65,000 tonne Type 001 - currently in service
2. 70,000 tonne Type 001A - coming into service circa 2020
3. 85,000 tonne Type 002 - coming into service circa 2023. Will possibly have EMALS and be conventionally powered
4. 2 x 100,000 tonne Type 003 - coming into service circa 2030. EMALS and nuclear powered.


As we can see if China was to deploy the two Type 003 and the Type 002, this would be a force of over 200 aircraft and more than capable of taking the fight to India in IOR.
 
Pretty much spot.

As per my understanding, China will have 3 carriers by 2023 and 5 by 2030.

So by 2024 they will have:

1. 65,000 tonne Type 001 - currently in service
2. 70,000 tonne Type 001A - coming into service circa 2020
3. 85,000 tonne Type 002 - coming into service circa 2023. Will possibly have EMALS and be conventionally powered
4. 2 x 100,000 Type 003 - coming into service circa 2030. EMALS and nuclear powered.


As we can see if China was to deploy the two Type 003 and the Type 002, this would be a force of over 200 aircraft and more than capable of taking the fight to India in IOR.

Missed the Type 004 that is being planned bro, it's 6.
 
Missed the Type 004 that is being planned bro, it's 6.


I think the Type 004 has now been renamed to Type 003.

China would probably want to standardise on the Type 003.

China's thinking goes like this as far as I can work out:

1. Type 001 - brought from Ukraine and refurbished. China sees how to construct an aircraft carrier and gains vital carrier operations training.

2. Type 001A - China now pretty much copies the Type 001 but makes unique modifications. China has now actually built from scratch it's own aircraft carrier, but safe in the knowledge that it is based on an existing design.

3. Type 002 - This is the first clean Chinese design. China gets to test it's EMALs tech and goes safe by relying on conventional propulsion.

4. Type 003 - This is the design that will be built with 2 simultaneously first by 2030. China has enough experience now to build an aircraft carrier as large and as sophisticated as the US with EMALS and nuclear propulsion. This will be built in mass over the next 2-3 decades.

I could be wrong but this is the way I see it.
 
I think the Type 004 has now been renamed to Type 003.

China would probably want to standardise on the Type 003.

China's thinking goes like this as far as I can work out:

1. Type 001 - brought from Ukraine and refurbished. China sees how to construct an aircraft carrier and gains vital carrier operations training.

2. Type 001A - China now pretty much copies the Type 001 but makes unique modifications. China has now actually built from scratch it's own aircraft carrier, but safe in the knowledge that it is based on an existing design.

3. Type 002 - This is the first clean Chinese design. China gets to test it's EMALs tech and goes safe by relying on conventional propulsion.

4. Type 003 - This is the design that will be built with 2 simultaneously first by 2030. China has enough experience now to build an aircraft carrier as large and as sophisticated as the US with EMALS and nuclear propulsion. This will be built in mass over the next 2-3 decades.

I could be wrong but this is the way I see it.

I believe the 004 will be the biggest of the lot and also feature a more refined nuclear propulsion system.
@Chinese-Dragon
@wanglaokan
@Adam WANG SHANGHAI MEGA
@haidian
 
6 carriers are overkill for India....They are aiming to catch the USN.
As for how many are available will all depend on the cycle the PLAN chooses to carry out on its fleet, the USN operates a 32 month cycle. The Chinese will always have two ready to surge and be deployed within a given time frame, this can be between 30-90 days, so these would join the two out at sea for battle. You will only have two and one will defiantly have to be in its maintenance cycle, so the numbers faced by the IN will be higher than the two you said. So they will have a clear advantage.

The Chinese won't have 4 ready at anytime with just 6 ships during peacetime. It's simple, if 4 ships are out at sea during peacetime, then there will be a long duration where China won't have any carriers in the water, perhaps barely one. You also risk having your crew fatigued. So 2 operational at best at a time.

During wartime, China can make 4 available with 2 on surge. But as I said, they can't bring all 4 into the IOR because of the USN and JMSDF. 4 carriers are impossible to sustain in the IOR anyway. They can't guard their supply lines.

With the creation of Theatre Commands, the carriers will be permanently assigned to one command or the other and will not infringe on the jurisdiction of other commands. So the command responsible in dealing with India won't have all 4 carriers to itself.

And just having an extra carrier in the IOR compared to us doesn't give PLAN any sort of advantage considering, as I've already said, we will still control the airspace due to the short distances between all the islands and the mainland.

In case the Chinese do end up with more carriers than we can currently handle, a convenient shortcut method available to India is to convert an LHD into a light carrier by procuring some F-35Bs. A functional CBG with 20 F-35s can easily be raised in less than 5 years.

Why are you brining Japan and the US into this? This is a straight discussion of the PLAN V IN. They're not coming to rescue you in the event of a conflict.
What do you mean "all other ships that they possess" you do realise they massively outnumber the combat vessels you have? They have more frigates than you have corvettes, frigates and destroyers put together.

You have to consider the USN and Japan because they are permanently deployed in the region. This is not a textbook 1 on 1. Especially considering we are planning on jointly monitoring PLAN activities through CENTRIXS.

https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/how...low-india-to-track-chinese-submarines-1912315

Taking into account what friendly countries do is also part of how the IN procures ships and plans for the future. If it wasn't for the US and Japan, it's obvious we would have spent more than 1.6% of our GDP on defence and got ourselves a sister ship to the Vikrant already.

IN plans to become a 200-ship navy over the next 10 years. That's roughly half of the PLAN's projected size during the same time. And the USN will only be slightly behind in case Trump's shipbuilding plan succeeds. Just because PLAN can become a 400-ship navy doesn't mean they can bring 400 ships into the IOR. But whatever they manage to bring into the IOR, they will have to face the full might of the IN.

Where did you also get the information from that the PLAN only sailed 2 ships in? They sailed in 11, with quite a few destroyers;

A whole bunch of them moved away to the Gulf of Aden. The ones that stayed were only 2 ships.

Bases in Oman?

We have access to Muscat and Duqm. We can use them for "emergencies".

As for the rest with Sri-Lanka and the Maldives it remains to be seen how things play out.

Sri Lanka is not stupid enough to allow major Chinese military deployments in their territory. They are making noises now, but they will fall into our sphere pretty quickly. The same with Maldives.
 
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