Wood
SENIOR MEMBER
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You think I actually want India to fight a war with China? A war that I know India will not likely win?! That is crazy talk.Prepare for the wars you have to fight instead of wars you want to fight.
Yes I think the prime adversary for India is Pakistan, and given the state of the military equipment both in development and procurement India is nowhere close to being able to achieve its strategic goals. We take most of our casualties in the western border not the eastern.
Next coming to china, the impetus is on strategic development to mitigate risks posed by China, Russia has always backed strategic development for India whether it is training Nuclear Subs, or aiding in building homegrown SSBN, Combat sqdn strength, armored strength, Surface Ships, Naval components, long-range radars, Artillery development; even small arms that aid in gaining strategic deterrence against China (and strategic superiority against Pakistan).
As I said, Russia is not same cookie as the rest.
What I do know is that future will not be forgiving for those who do not prepare for the worst. Like any mutual funds investment ad will tell you - 'past performance is not a guarantee of future results'. Thus far, India may have thought of China as a enemy that can be avoided a war with. But after Dokhlam, things have changed. I'm sure MoD worries more about arming India to parry China than with Pakistan.
Today's Russia is in China's mercy than it has ever been before. Putin has put Russia completely in the mercy of China. Russian military industrial complex will depend on China entirely for its electronics, now that US and Japan have imposed an embargo. Russia can only trade in Yuan. The writing is on the wall.
There is a fundamental disagreement between you and I in terms of who is India's primary enemy. If India is ONLY fighting with Pakistan, then I would be willing to consider that Russia can be relied upon to continue arms supply in conflict. But I do not think that Pakistan is or will be India's primary enemy even if there is a border flare up as long as the Chinese make it blatantly obvious that they intend to direct contest Indian territories in the North.