If and when war happens, China will take Arunachal Pradesh & Ladakh simultaneously: Pravin Sawhney

[HalfMoon]

Indian Defence analysts are seriously debating the front china will open first, is it going to be Taiwan or the LAC.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1446341335762366464

Not to mention the Siliguri corridor is back in limelight. According to one analyst.
" For now we need to focus on the immediate threat to the North East from Doklam and Arunachal Pradesh. Chinese incursions in Doklam threaten India's only land bridge to its North East via the Chicken Neck ".

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And when that happens the Chai wala will say

"Neither is anyone inside our territory nor is any of our post captured" - Indian PM Narender Modi (aka Surrender Modi)

 

[Vapnope]

India does not value the territory coveted by China as something that would merit a nuclear war. PLA has to invade Delhi before we come close to that threshold

Sir this is how you might think but Indian military planners and state may think otherwise.

 

[Sinnerman108]

And what will India fight for ?
Pride ?

Fact, the state of India has it's center of gravity down south economically.
those are the people who sponsor and control the government.

If India decides to fight for the north east states ( which are loosely bound to india as compared to others ) then the result will be loss to the rest of 90% of the country. Right now the economy can't digest that.

Lastly, Indian army and airforce are trained to fight pakistan, which is a different geography and a different war type.

Mountainous terrain renders armor and artillery ineffective; and infantry is limited in advance.

So, it's a zero sum game for India except for the ego and pride factor.

Any outside help ( USA ) that may comes, will comes at a heavy price, so don't be surprised if another east india company pops up.

regards.

India will most definitely fight. Indian military is professional enough to not run away. But it is not equipped adequately to parry the Chinese advance. In all likelihood India will not be able to hold territory unless there is direct outside help.

 

[Wood]

Sir this is how you might think but Indian military planners and state may think otherwise.

Well, I hope to not have the opportunity to find if your speculation is true.

 

[Wood]

And what will India fight for ?
Pride ?

Fact, the state of India has it's center of gravity down south economically.
those are the people who sponsor and control the government.

If India decides to fight for the north east states ( which are loosely bound to india as compared to others ) then the result will be loss to the rest of 90% of the country. Right now the economy can't digest that.

Lastly, Indian army and airforce are trained to fight pakistan, which is a different geography and a different war type.

Mountainous terrain renders armor and artillery ineffective; and infantry is limited in advance.

So, it's a zero sum game for India except for the ego and pride factor.

Any outside help ( USA ) that may comes, will comes at a heavy price, so don't be surprised if another east india company pops up.

regards.

Indian armed forces will fight for the same reason that other armed forces fight when territory is challenged. They are professionally trained to execute this duty. India did after all fight a losing conflict in 1962. The army being trained for a conflict with Pakistan or not does not make a difference. I do not expect Indian army to fold like the ANA did.

Inviting the armed forces of a foreign country to India will most definitely come with a cost. Indian political leadership will decide what they are willing to pay for what they get in return.

EDIT: To add a note about the influence of southern states. While it is true that the southern states contribute more economically, they do not have political power in India. Indian political power is firmly concentrated in the north.

 

[Sinnerman108]

Dear Political leverage is exercised through economic leverage.
Who are the main sponsors of BJP gov as of now ?

UP alone is not NORTH estates, as for Punjab ... Modi is doing very well to alienate them;
Bihar alone can't do much, they are too corrupt and too ill disciplined anyway.

Indian armed forces will fight for the same reason that other armed forces fight when territory is challenged. They are professionally trained to execute this duty. India did after all fight a losing conflict in 1962. The army being trained for a conflict with Pakistan or not does not make a difference. I do not expect Indian army to fold like the ANA did.

Inviting the armed forces of a foreign country to India will most definitely come with a cost. Indian political leadership will decide what they are willing to pay for what they get in return.

EDIT: To add a note about the influence of southern states. While it is true that the southern states contribute more economically, they do not have political power in India. Indian political power is firmly concentrated in the north.

 

[Wood]

Dear Political leverage is exercised through economic leverage.
Who are the main sponsors of BJP gov as of now ?

UP alone is not NORTH estates, as for Punjab ... Modi is doing very well to alienate them;
Bihar alone can't do much, they are too corrupt and too ill disciplined anyway.

This is not so simple. BJP's prime backers are Adani and Reliance group for now.

Southern states of Kerala and TN have a comparatively better quality of living. But they do not speak Hindi well and therefore are not much present in politics of the union.

 

[SQ8]

Fear mongering to get more funds for the Indian armed forces.

 

[hussain0216]

India is a hindutva extremist communal shithole

All south Asia would support China against hindutva extremism

 

[newb3e]

This is obvious...
View attachment 783020

mitar samnay wallay keh pass hyper sonic meejael hain aur buhut sarray nukes bhi!

and if they were scared of your nukes they wouldnt have captured hindu pavitar lands in the first place!

comon mitaaar!

 

[Titanium100]

Lol Arunachal and Ladakh that would be generous but the issue is due to the logistical side of things China will initially come for these 2 specific areas but considering the weight it will throw behind it these 2 areas won't cut it out as the cost will outwheigh the benefits so going for much bigger is the likely stragetic goal to be honest and China will atleast need half of India to create her own colonies and Pakistan's initial plan was all of India but if China throws in her hand than we can share the spoils no problem it will be welcomed in Iron brother fashion

 

[Saudang]

mitar samnay wallay keh pass hyper sonic meejael hain aur buhut sarray nukes bhi!

and if they were scared of your nukes they wouldnt have captured hindu pavitar lands in the first place!

comon mitaaar!

Ok kiddo... Uuummmaaahhh

 

[newb3e]

Ok kiddo... Uuummmaaahhh

thankyou love!

 

[Foinikas]

There's a nice Chinese song I like
"As war approaches". Fits the thread!

 

[xyx007]

The United States is known to adhere to a carrot and a stick policy, as seen by a visiting US secretary offering carrots. However, IK is refusing to meet with her. It is alarming for China to realize that Indian deployments will now be based at the LAC instead of at the LoC. As a matter of course, Pakistan has to make sure that this pressure is maintained on the Indian side in order to maintain the regional balance. Global Times, the mouthpiece of China, just announced that the global community is preparing for a Third World War, and that it will start somewhere in South China. The outlook is not good for the upcoming days, let's see what happens.