I get 6 out of my 7 predictions right in Ukraine, so maybe you can hold me with the only prediction I got wrong, which is Bakhmut did not fall until July ( i said May), but that's about it.
I don't do certainty, again, as a Military Analyst, I got paid doing this, I don't do fanbase, I don't do fantasy, I don't do divine intervention. I process detail with info I got with the experience I've got, can I be wrong? Certainly, but that does not mean my prediction is not sound. If you put 1 and 1 to me, I will say 2. That's what I do.
I don't know about you. And if you ask if there is a chance Israel are going to turn back? Or can Palestinian somehow beaten back the Israeli assault? Sure, everything has a chance, just how likely it was is the question, but as far as every bit of information I processed, I can say, sure, Israeli will turn back or Israeli would fail in this assault, it is extremely unlikely tho. And the chance of this not turning out a bloodbath for Palestinian is less than 1%. That is based on combat power, the degree of knowledge of landscape, supporting force, the size of the invasion force and international support. That's how I get my conclusion from.