We still have some facts here to meditate on:
Theoretically Egypt has:
54 Rafale
29 SU-35
48 mig-29m2
Armament: Meteor + Mica + R-77 + R-73m
Total: 131 fighters with BVR capabilities
On the opposite side (for comparison), we find :
50 F-35A
98 F-15 Ra:am
25 F-15IA
200 F-16 barak/sufa
Armament: Aim-120-C5/6/7/8 + Derby + Python + Aim-9
Total: 373 fighter with BVR capabilities
The superiority is evident here..
Egypt is thus still at the beginning of the road..
The EAF needs at least 100 additional fighters with BVR capabilities, which can be as follows:
- 24 additional fighters, Typhoon or Rafale .. (preferably 48)
- 30 SU-57 or SU-35 fighters .. (preferably 30 more SU-35 and 30 SU-57)
- 50 MiG-35 fighters with AESA radars
Now let's talk reality:
Usrael has only 25 Ra'am and 58 Baz
That is, a total of 83 F-15 aircraft
As for the F-16, it operates 224 aircraft
It has only 97 sofas
The rest is 127 Barak
When we add the 50 F-35A we are talking about 357 fighters
The questions here are:
- How many of these aircraft will be destined for bombing and CAS missions?
- How many of them will be directed at the northern front and how many for air defense?
Another inaccurate assumption is the exclusion of the Sparrow..It is Semi Active but it's still a BVR missile..Therefore, considering the entire Egyptian fleet of 220 F-16s " fighters" without the BVR is inaccurate..
So in reality, an 18 F-16 formation with bomb load and under the protection of 6 Rafale jets with a Meteor and Mica payload only, offer protection comparable to a formation of 24 sofas, with only two bombs and two missiles..
So in reality the deterrence is not conditional on being reciprocal in the same weapon system.. but on the condition that it be present..Deterrence to Usrael is not that you have defensive weapons with which to deflect their fighters .. Rather, your possession of offensive weapons that can incur losses that threaten their existence..
For example, Makedon, the Greek cruise missile; purchasing the project, developing it, and giving it a local Egyptian name.. and integrating it on the Rafale and the rest of the possible air platforms.. The air-to-ground version has a 500 km range..
The Naval version has 800 km range (that can be increased to 1500 km) and can be integrated with the EN Fremm, Meko, Gowind, Berghamini and also on the Scorpene..
As for the land to land missiles:
- A national cruise project that starts from 300 km and ends with 1500 km .
- A 500 km tactical ballistic project And another ballistic version of 1500 km range.
Finally, a lot of investment in drones of all kinds, the development of the electronic warfare capabilities, and possessing a strong industrial base..
These are the elements of real deterrence ..
The danger is not only Usrael..that Egypt is able to repel and respond to it due to the geographical location ..Therefore, Israel will not consider entering into a direct confrontation with Egypt ..Its strategy is based on blitzkrieg and rapid operations ..So since the October War of 73 and after the Treaty of 79 ..For more than four decades, Israel has not tried to provoke Egypt..
Playing in the Nile springs is currently more dangerous than Usrael .. Because of the geographical location It needs purely offensive weapons and advanced transport capabilities, or a base in Sudan.. And with the diplomatic and economic ability to absorb any reaction..