Now let's analyze the scenarios
- China suddenly attacks Indian Navy: Now despite China having largest number of vessels, they are not the strongest. Reasons are multiple:
wait what? It's about India blocking Malacca Strait.
- The PLAN is highly inexperienced. They have not been in any naval conflict ever. The most they have done is go around the ASEAN 9-dash and project power. And some fighting with Somali pirates in the Indian Ocean.
The USN is also highly inexperienced then. They have not been in any naval conflict against a near peer adversary ever.
PLAN has done far more navigation and sailing than Indian navy which btw is even less experienced than PLAN.
IN has done zero fighting and has been tussling with zero adversaries. I'd say PLAN is still ahead of IN in experience.
- Asset quality: This is the problem haunting China (and all the friendly nations) that they themselves do not believe in their quality. All the nations who bought from China have complained that the weapons have gone unusable due to quality issues.
- Despite having gone so far with their technological advancement, quality issues will fail them at the crucial moments.
Lol this is coming from a nation that exports nothing in comparison to China where Indian stuff is demanded by nobody in comparison to China's. And from India the country that cannot make its own rifles and imports them.
Talking quality, how come Turkey, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Thailand among many many others have bought Chinese military equipment of various types since 1970s and continue to come back and do so?
How come nations keep buying Chinese weapons again and again? Iraq, Sudan, Iran, North Korea, Myanmar, Pakistan just to add to the list. This contradicts what you said.
It seems people trust Chinese quality and military equipment and are return customers. Even rich ones like KSA, Qatar, UAE, Kuwait buy Chinese equipment - drones, aircraft, missiles, artillery. Israel buys Chinese drone jammers.
What has India sold? India only donated and sold stuff to Nepal and some Latin America countries who cancelled Indian orders due to faulty quality and returned stuff back to India. Look at Dhruv and INSAS returned and cancelled.
Who buys Indian stuff in comparison? China has sold rifles to ballistic missiles and fighter aircraft and tank. India has to even import ammunition and ordinance.
- There are only two weapons that China can think of to pull off such a thing.
- DF21D missiles: Touted as the ship-killer missile, this is fast and long-range as per the description. Whether this is subject to Chinese quality or not, we cannot take this lightly. However, this can only be launched from the land, they are not really mobile (though technically mobile - can be launched from a mobile vehicle), they need lot of support systems. While they are nuclear capable, we can expect China to only arm conventional as both countries have no-first-use policy and the MAD possibilities.India is aware of this threat and are prepared for it. India will be alert to check for this the moment they see PLAN approaching IN in a battle formation. This missile has to travel a long way before it reaches IOR and is vulnerable to be neutralized before it reaches the terminal phase (this is when the BMs are most threatening and destructive due to their speed).
- Submarines: This is another big and very realistic threat for IN esp. for the IAC. Most ACs are vulnerable to submarines in some way so they build their strongest defence against them. India already had a taste of this in 1971 when India sank PNS Ghazi (USS Diablo, the most advanced submarine in the region at that time) which was on a mission to sink INS Vikrant AC. Since then they have been beefing up defences against submarines in their ACs. After the 2020 standoff, India had been ramping up submarine hunting (detect and destro) capabilities. Several P8i-s and MH-60R helis have been bought just for this purpose). People here keep quoting the total number of assets that China has and compare with India's. This is nonsensical because though China has so many, they cannot deploy everything at a time even in a full-scale war, leave alone such isolated attacks. China cannot move a nerve from their North and Eastern and Southern theaters as they have conflicts with every nation there. All they can do is move a miniscule percentage of assets which is not enough to confront even an ASEAN nation, leave alone the formidable IN in their own IOR. Contrast to this, IN can deploy their full force as they have no other enemies except Pakistan, again in the same region.
Pure naval confrontation without ground support is suicidal for PLAN. PLAN is fighting (or starting) something far off from its home so backup support is crucial. This goes more than just the battle group support. And then we have the choke point at the Malacca. PLAN cannot even dream of going back if they even try such an attack on IN. A Salvo of Dong Fengs from far off north eastern or north western theaters are not enough to save or support this attack group. IN can defend itself against any threat. They have a variety of missiles including the sea skimming Nirbhay, K12 Sagarika and K-4 (SLBM) and the unmatched Brahmos. There are also others (Dhanush-SLBM, sea-to-air, air-to-air, surface-to-air and sub-launched usual life torpedoes). All their naval assets are armed with defense systems, SAMs - QR, LR, MR etc. so any attack with subsonic There are also others (Dhanush-SLBM, sea-to-air, air-to-air, surface-to-air and sub-launched usual life torpedoes). All their naval assets are armed with defense systems, SAMs - QR, LR, MR etc. so any attack with subsonic systems will be quickly neutralized and the retaliation by IN will be assured destruction. Needless to say that they are even dangerous and formidable in their own
backyard.
I'm only talking about strict naval confrontation, not involving other forces. Even then, China will barely match India despite having numbers because of its inexperience and the fact that it cannot go all-out on any country with full force. China will lose out disastrously in an all-out war considering its number of enemies and its dependance on Malacca strait for pretty much everything, which IN controls. The socio-economic consequences within and outside China will be even worse that has the potential to break it into 5 nations, which it fears the most.
I'll give you much more realistic scenario.
India announces it will block Malacca strait. China ignores India. India uses naval force presence to Malacca strait. China says if India sinks any Chinese shipping, it is a declaration of war. India backs down.
If India doesn't back down and sinks any commercial shipping vessel or successfully blocks one from traversing the strait, China will launch a single ASBM on the largest Indian ship in the Malacca strait, sinking it because India can barely defend against YJ-12 or YJ-18 to say nothing of ASBM or HGV. India realizes how the fighting goes and backs down.
There is no point sending PLAN that far for something that can be done with one single launch. India has no ASBM and no HGV or HCM. If India doesn't end it there and sails to attack China, it will meet the PLAN closer to China's regional waters and IN will have no ground and air support at all. No Su-30MKI has 5000km range. India barely has a handful of tankers and hardly any AWACS.
You keep talking about choke points but you're an indian and do what indian does best, talk but never substance and no action. Why doesn't india do it?
Brahmos can be used to create choke points in the Indian Ocean using the Car Nicobar air base in India’s island territories. The IAF’s Car Nicobar air base is the advanced landing ground for SU-30 MKI’s which can use air-to-air refuellers to protect against any PLA warship threat coming from the Strait of Malacca to Sunda Strait across Indonesia.
India's VL-SRSAM is meant for neutralizing various aerial threats at close ranges including sea-skimming targets.
There r multiple offerings now:
- Akash MK1 (30Km) IAF & IN
- Akash 1S (30Km+Seeker) IAF & IN
- Akash MK2 (40km) IAF & IN
- Akash NG (>80Km) IAF & IN
- QRSAM (30Km) IA
- Barak8/ MRSAM/Barak 8 ER (100-150Km) IA, IAF, IN
- VL SRSAM (40Km) - IN. IA & IAF
A surface-to-surface missile, Pralay was tested on successive days and satisfied all the trial parameters
www.news18.com
The Extended Range version of the Pinaka, which is primarily a multi barrel rocket launcher (MBRL) system, was tested along with its two ancillary systems -- Area Denial Munitions and indigenously developed fuzes.
www.google.com
How is brahmos able to create any choke points when PLAN has more than 3 times the number of long, medium, and short ranged interceptors for every single brahmos.
Why would China only defend against you? China has a bigger shield and bigger stick than India and you think it'll only be using its shield?
Sorry but your precious india will get ravaged by Chinese:
India hasn't even got half this range weapons and not even close to 1/10 the total numbers.
India's most advanced offensive missile in Brahmos is a Russian Onyks offered to China in the 2000s which China rejected due to developing HGV and ASBM for anti-surface weapons.
Akash is in the hundreds. Even HQ-16 is in the multi thousands and a far better missile that is being replaced soon. HQ-9 India has no equivalent except token S-400 units. China has thousands upon thousands of HQ-9 missiles.
This doesn't even include HQ-19, HQ-26, HQ-29, SC-1 and shorter ranged missiles for point defence like HQ-7 HQ-17 and PL-12 based two stage SAMs.
India's airforce again is low quality and nothing in IAF except Rafale can even compare to JF-17 which is something China considers not good enough for PLAAF.
Face it, all you have are empty statements of declaration without evidence or even reasonable logic or speculation.
If China's quality is poor how come India quality nobody even wants but no one can move off Chinese products. We export our worst and cheapest shit to India yes but there is a grade and quality for every price.
Notice how we dominate shipbuilding in the world. Telecommunications, computing and electronics are up there. Where is India's.
Everyone knows Chinese quality >> Indian quality. Therefore if we take "chinese quality" into account and assume they all fail, does that mean indian quality cannot even start?
How come Chinese quality managed to build nearly 10 of the dominating and top supercomputers in the world and many of those using Chinese own chips.
How come Chinese quality phones are so reliable and successful along with the best of them? Electronics, ships, computers, everything that is of higher price. Same level or superior quality. It's a pity India can only afford the cheapest things. When you compare $10 product with $100 of course the $10 quality if worse. Why not buy the $80 Chinese one. It's miles better and plenty of evidence... where? Well everyone and every business picks the Chinese equal option that is at a lower price by a small margin but equal quality. If you want to buy the one that is much cheaper, then you are deciding to for yourself.
Chinese quality still managed to put a rover on Mars and two on the moon. India only managed to crash 1 out of 1 try to the moon while China succeeded in 3 out of 3 tries. What does that say about quality?
How about export data and patterns? How about investment data and patterns.
On what planet is Indian military quality better than Chinese one? China has better ability, more advanced equipment, more modern equipment, better training, more of everything.