Dumb because you are believing you have possessed all knowledge about China’s past and China’s future path just because you have read some books /news about China.
You talk as if this -- reading and talking about -- is somehow unique, at least on this forum, and none of your fellow Chinese ever engaged in it. This is a military oriented forum, how many of you Chinese on this forum ever served and yet have no problems making pronouncements on military affairs ?
Also because you are believing most Chinese posters here, who know your language, read your literature and lived in the West for decades, would buy your crap.
Speaking of being a real dimwit instead of just playing one...
What make you think that I am interested in changing you guys' minds ? I do not care if you guys buy my crap or not. This is about the silent readers. In a manner of speaking, I am arguing on their behalf.
Out of curiosity, do/can you read Chinese?
No, I do not. But currently English is the
WORKING LANGUAGE of STEM. At one point in Chemistry, if you want to learn and contribute to that science, you have to know German. I work with Chinese engineers on a daily basis and whenever I hear them on conference calls from the US back to China, their conversations are peppered with not only English words but entire phrases. Many of them even admitted that STEM is better served with/in/by English than their Chinese. So your question is meaningless.
No doubt the rest of the world including China has learned a great deal from you COLLECTIVE WEST in the last 100 years. But if this made you guys so arrogant then it is time for you to recall your humbled past where your ancestors learned, stole or robbed from the other part of the world for centuries. Are you sure your ORIGIN technology doesn’t have origin of others?
Direct this at your fellow Chinese since it is they who are claiming that China's technology base is superior to JPN and SKR. So far, China have been very successful at learning, stealing, and robbing others not only of origin technologies, but also of derived (spin-off) technologies, and of core technologies.
Your friend Marty apparently does not understand the differences between origin, derived, and core technologies. He implied that gunpowder is a core technology that formed the foundation for other scientific discoveries. Fact: Gunpowder have not been used since the invention of cordite in 1890.
Mind you, I do not mean that when cordite was invented, the use of gunpowder immediately stopped. It just simply mean that when there comes a superior alternative, the use of the original product will decline over time. Cordite is superior to gunpowder in so many ways that gunpowder today is quite a museum artifact.
Gunpowder was an origin technology. It gave people the hint that if you mix A, B, and C together, you will get a product that does something. So with cordite, instead of A, B, and C, we have E, F, and G. Cordite is a derived (spin-off) technology. Since then, we have plenty of formulations of products that produces the same result as gunpowder.
Gunpowder and cordite are themselves core technologies. A core technology can be discarded when a superior core technology is available. Can be, but not necessarily so. Example is in rocketry when there are parallel propellent methods: solid and liquid fuel. Each have advantages the other does not. Each is superior to the other only in certain environment and circumstance. So when there is no clear superiority in most environments and circumstances, parallel core technologies will co-exists.
Now...Is magnetic a derived technology from gunpowder and cordite ? No, it is not. Magnetism is an elemental physical phenomena that exists everywhere in the universe, whereas gunpowder and cordite are man-made composites. They may or may not exists in alien civilizations.
We are starting to use magnetics to propel bodies. The US Navy is fielding a magnetic gun soon. Gunpowder and cordite are explosives to send a body into motion. Magnets are used to do the same thing. But then so is the wagon and wheel combination that sends a body into motion. So is magnetics a derived technology from the wagon and wheel combination ? No, it is not. The magnetic gun is closer to gunpowder and cordite in the
IDEA of sending a body into motion, but since its components have no physical relations and similarities to both gunpowder and cordite, it is an origin technology.
What is an 'advanced' society comes from the amount of origin/derived technologies developed to become core technologies, and the availability or scope of those technologies to the people. The Soviet Union was not an 'advanced' society. Yes, there were ICBMs, nuclear submarines, and a space program.
But here is a list of derived technologies from the American space program...
https://spinoff.nasa.gov/Spinoff2008/pdf/spinoff2008.pdf
Anything from the Soviet and Chinese space programs ? How common among the Russians and Chinese homes are ICBMs and nuclear submarines ? Can you explain why the microwave oven could not have come from the Soviet Union and your China ?
If you want to discuss arrogance, look at your fellow Chinese in this forum. The amount of original and spin-off technologies from SKR and JPN surpassed China and serves the people in exactly what Kennedy said in that NASA link: '...used for the progress of all people.' Your China have yet to match up to those two countries.
No difference to the progress of other aspects of human’s life and society, technological progress and development also has a phenomenon known as “path dependence”, that would answer all your queries about China ‘s technology today.
Yeah...Tell that to your fellow Chinese. Hopefully it would temper their arrogance a bit.
What are the first-mover and the late-mover advantages? What are implications to China?
The first-mover have the advantage of being the trend setter and standards bearer. The late-mover have the advantages of learning from the mistakes of those before. But your fellow Chinese are not interested about Chinese technological progress from an academic perspective. They are more interested in using the current Chinese progress to beat down others, even to racialist tunes.
Take the buildings in Shanghai and a few other major Chinese cities, for example. Your fellow Chinese boasts about those tall buildings and criticized US cities as old and decrepit. Laughable is their ignorance.
Take two plots of land, A and B. Land A is barren and undeveloped or under developed, while land B have existing houses and other structures. You cannot simply build anything you want on B. The land and the society that lives on it cannot deviate from existing building laws and codes. The plumbing is already built. The property lines and their legal obligations and rights already established. On land A, you can do anything you want, but whatever you build, you will be using the same technologies as the people have on land B. So just because the newer buildings on land A have more flashy lights and fancier plumbings, there have been no real technological advancements in civil engineering, architectures, constructions, and so on. So you cannot justifiably claimed that the people on land A is more 'advanced' than the people on land B. But such claims are exactly what your fellow Chinese have done.
The Chinese on this forum are not interested in technology from a philosophical perspective as you implied in your question about long term implications for China. They are more interested in using the technological progress in China to beat their chests and to beat each other off.
