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Yuan hits record high on strong China trade data
By Reuters | 8 May, 2013, 10.25AM IST
SHANGHAI: China's yuan marched to a record high on Wednesday after trade data showed export growth beating expectations, reviving suspicions that firms are manipulating trade invoices in order to skirt China's capital controls and bet on yuan appreciation.
China's exports in April rose 14.7 per cent from a year earlier, while imports grew 16.8 per cent, leaving the country with a trade surplus of $18.16 billion for the month. That compared with a deficit of $823 million in March.
Perhaps anticipating that trade data would push the yuan higher, the People's Bank of China ( PBOC) set its midpoint at its strongest level ever and sharply higher than Tuesday's fix.
Spot yuan touched a record high of 6.1424 per dollar and remained near that level at midday.
The yuan has rebounded sharply since Monday, when it suffered its worst day in five months after China's foreign exchange regulator released new rules to crack down on hot money inflows and fake trade invoicing.
The new rules jolted the market, with traders worrying that banks would have to buy a large amount of dollars in order to comply with new limits on long yuan positions.
But bullish yuan sentiment has now returned, with dealers saying that client demand for yuan remains significantly stronger than dollar demand.
The yuan has also gained support from expectations of policy reforms to liberalise the exchange rate.
Premier Li Keqiang told a cabinet meeting on Monday that the government would prepare an "operational plan" to achieve yuan convertibility on the capital account. Li specifically mentioned a plan for a pilot programme to allow overseas investment by individual Chinese investors.
Li's statement also boosted expectations that the central bank will widen the yuan's daily trading band in the coming weeks or months.
The PBOC's record-high midpoint on Wednesday appeared to continue the campaign to bring the fixing closer to the spot rate, thereby preventing an abrupt one-off appreciation immediately following the band widening.
The central bank currently allows the dollar/yuan exchange rate to diverge by no more than 1 per cent from the midpoint it sets each morning.
At current levels, the exchange rate is 0.88 per cent below the midpoint, down from the 0.95 divergence that the market maintained for most of the year.
Yuan hits record high on strong China trade data - The Economic Times
By Reuters | 8 May, 2013, 10.25AM IST
SHANGHAI: China's yuan marched to a record high on Wednesday after trade data showed export growth beating expectations, reviving suspicions that firms are manipulating trade invoices in order to skirt China's capital controls and bet on yuan appreciation.
China's exports in April rose 14.7 per cent from a year earlier, while imports grew 16.8 per cent, leaving the country with a trade surplus of $18.16 billion for the month. That compared with a deficit of $823 million in March.
Perhaps anticipating that trade data would push the yuan higher, the People's Bank of China ( PBOC) set its midpoint at its strongest level ever and sharply higher than Tuesday's fix.
Spot yuan touched a record high of 6.1424 per dollar and remained near that level at midday.
The yuan has rebounded sharply since Monday, when it suffered its worst day in five months after China's foreign exchange regulator released new rules to crack down on hot money inflows and fake trade invoicing.
The new rules jolted the market, with traders worrying that banks would have to buy a large amount of dollars in order to comply with new limits on long yuan positions.
But bullish yuan sentiment has now returned, with dealers saying that client demand for yuan remains significantly stronger than dollar demand.
The yuan has also gained support from expectations of policy reforms to liberalise the exchange rate.
Premier Li Keqiang told a cabinet meeting on Monday that the government would prepare an "operational plan" to achieve yuan convertibility on the capital account. Li specifically mentioned a plan for a pilot programme to allow overseas investment by individual Chinese investors.
Li's statement also boosted expectations that the central bank will widen the yuan's daily trading band in the coming weeks or months.
The PBOC's record-high midpoint on Wednesday appeared to continue the campaign to bring the fixing closer to the spot rate, thereby preventing an abrupt one-off appreciation immediately following the band widening.
The central bank currently allows the dollar/yuan exchange rate to diverge by no more than 1 per cent from the midpoint it sets each morning.
At current levels, the exchange rate is 0.88 per cent below the midpoint, down from the 0.95 divergence that the market maintained for most of the year.
Yuan hits record high on strong China trade data - The Economic Times