You have to speculate what India will do next so that it gets worldwide support to start a war with Pakistan since so far Pakistan is not falling into the trap of a full fledged war ?
It is a
CriticalQuestion!
The
worldwide is actually limited i.e
US+Allies or
CounterChinaBlock. Or
SCO vs WesternBlock.
Scope of PowerStruggle: GCC/Syria/Yemen to SouthChinaSea and to top it Afghanistan.
Aghans heading to China for inter-Afghan dialogue. After that a round to Moscow... and down the road to Islamabad. (Why do people take so long to do the obvious?)
For sometime now... since Clinton time Indians were actively courted to create a balancing force against China... through each presidency it became more strategic.... so, support for FacistRegime was already there and revocation of 370/35A was done with blessing of the West.
Now just lipservice for human rights....
Exit from Afghanistan is happening faster than desired and Indians didn't put boots-on-the-ground as desired. The backdrop of the
DoneDeal dying with a Tweet and hurried revocation to pre-empt it is quite intstructive.
However, GanguTerroristArmy cann't contain the wide swell of hate and rejection by the
PakKashmiris. So the frustration is growing and the need for diversion...
However, end-game is not just IoJK but GB. OldStrategicPlan of the alliance.
CPEC makes China two ocean power or successfully provides a gateway away from SouthChinaSea. Transporation/shipping from
Gawadar is faster/cheaper than
Shanghai. Also, an active springboard to protect
ChineseInvestments in
Africa and
ME... both of which are growing.
No other country is strategically so close to China than Pakistan. And, of course, the other way around.
This brings the situation in a flux. Which is exactly it is.
QuietExit from
Afghanistan has already started, 2000
USTroops already out, as you know.
When
OurWesternFlank is safe we shall have our one hand untied. So, the window of opportunity closes for
GanguTerroristArmy with that as well. Time is running out for the planners. They need decisive change on the ground..and fast.
But how? The
CriticalQuestion you posed....
You, my very dear YoungPak, have provided so many scenarios in your post that adding something more would be an uphill struggle. Neverthelesss....
Both
Afghans and
PakKashmiris, in their struggle against foreign occupational forces, have given us breathing space.
Although we did pay a very heavy price through both
AfghanWars. Need not to go in details... but the fact remains.
By tying down 900k enemy forces in policing and ensuing brutality we have achieved much more than
GloriousHotWar which
YoungPaks would love to see.
Cost-Benefit-Ratio speaks for itself. But
Mushy'sWall did us more harm than good.
NDS/RAW are already at their last attempt to create massive unrest/chaos/terror inside Pakistan. And in a way it would suit the US very much.
CombodiaReplay.
Should we pervail then we could see an economic stability and growth above 6%.
Imagine a decade of above 6% growth.
Teenagers become adult in this period.
Hence, the window of opportunity for
StrategicGains closes... perhaps forever... or at least for long. This create frustrations in planners of the enemies quarters.
IoJK is the Arch holding the wobbly IndianUnion together...and then there is
Sikkim,
SouthTibet,
Bhutan and of course,
SevenSisters ...
BD falls in the lap like plump fruit after that.
Stakes are quite high!
Despite the pain of seeing
Atroticities/CrimesAgainstHumanity committed by
GanguTerroristArmy against
PakKashmiris in
IoJK.... I do support the current
PakStrategy of not falling into
EmotoinalTrap and staying coolheaded.
So what can the
GanguFacistRegime do?
After our constant flagging of
GanguFalseFlag intents... they are on backfoot. They did try to lure PAF in shooting down a civilian airliner with IAF callsign... but we showed wisdom once again.
Now they are back to PlanBs.... and they do have full support of those who are supporting them for more than two decades now.
It is given.
I believe that first phase is creating massive chaos/unrest within Pakistan and a series of
FalseFlags within
GanguDaesh itself to create momentum for FATF is a strong possibility.
With
GlogalEconomy already on the verge of recession and
Gangunomics showing clear signs of implosion...and an unemployment rate of 45%... social unrest and of course riots... need a diversion as well.
In a nutshell...
PakStrategy is to gain
StrategicSpace and not get bogged down in an
IsolatedConflict. So far so good.
The 'World' has squeezed the lemon of
Terrorism/Terrorism as much as it needed to. Lybia out. Syria out. Iraq out. Iran cann't be boxed. EU wants Gas to balance Russia.
Its narrative of
IslamicTerrorism has provided all the benefits it was designed to provide. Now it is all about China.
HongKong. HongKong. Hongkong. Democracy. Democracy. Democracy.
China is confronted with its own
Hybridwar after
TianamenSquare. And they haven't figured out how to handle it. I guess Sound has Frequency.
A chaotic/unstable Pakistan will delay CPEC once again... which we cann't afford.
So, the short answer to your question of
HOW is
HybridwarOnPakistan.
In its last attempt to change
StartegicEquation GanguFacistRegime&
Co will go all out with a
series of
FalseFlags both in Pakistan and in its own territory... perhaps also in other countries as well...with standard
VideoRelaseAcceptance.
The maximum timeframe for such a strategy is
SixMonths...
after that Pakistan is advancing.
SwanSong... is it by a BlackSwan or a WhiteSwan? I wonder how would it sound if it were composed by Mahler... Puccini is too romantic...
almost melodramatic.
A Strong, Stable and Prosperous Pakistan is in China's StrategicInterst. Whoelse, do you think, likes to see such a Pakistan?
Perservation of the State is the Highest Virtue.
It is the Only Virtue!
I fear WinterWar.
The two biggest embassies in Islamabad are....
@PakSword @Shane @Reddington @Verve @RIWWIR
