Yongpeng Sun-Tastaufen
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Armenian artillery pounding Azeri troops
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You are boring us to death with these old videos some of these posts are already under control of Azerbaijani forces. Regarding shooting a drone down well A token victory for huge losses. Congratulation Looser!!!Armenian Metis ATGM hit Azeri T-72 MBT
Armenian M75 mortars
Azeri kamikaze drone shot down by Armenian MANPADS
Pakistan's support for Azerbaijan is independent of Turkey. However, this conflict does display the potential of a Turkey-Pakistan nexus. Middle east is divided into 3 evenly matched power blocs right now. The Turkey bloc, the Iran bloc, the GCC+Egypt bloc. Pakistan can become the pivot that allows one faction to become more dominate over the others. Turkey is the strongest individual country in the ME however on its own, it got bogged down in Syria and and Libya. GCC+Egypt is probably the strongest bloc but on their own were bogged down in Yemen and Libya. The Iran bloc, on paper is the weakest but has performed well in the field in Syria and Yemen.This seems to be one of the few English speaking forums where this conflict is being discussed.
I think this conflict is a significant issue because it signals a resurgent Turkey as leader of the muslim world.
Their amazing military and engineering advances are giving them a seat at the table with the big powers for the first time in 100 years.
Naturally, if you don't have nukes, you are very limited in how much weight you can throw around. And I think this is where Pakistan's role is crucial. While Turkey has implicit backing of Pakistan it is able to do what it is doing.
The fight is being done by Azerbaijan and it is only able to do it because it has Turkish and Pakistani backing.
And they seem to be doing ok. Armenians have had 30 years to dig in. It reminds me of the movie "Letters from Iwo Jima", where the Japanese were able to resist for a whole month outnumbered by the Americans 5:1 with USAF air support and the whole pacific fleet bombing the Japanese. So I would not be surprised if this war takes months or even another 10 years on and off. Inch by inch. hill by hill.
Armenians won't give up easily. They feel historically wronged and they feel their country is too small. and it is. It's all mountains and its tiny and landlocked. And it's probably the worst positioned country in the region. So they want to expand quite badly I would say.
Back in May apparently hijacked by Azerbaijan and turned on Armenia itself.Armenian army tested new kamikaze drone
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Artsakh to mass produce combat drones, trials successfully completed - Public Radio of Armenia
A combat Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) designed and modernized by Artsakh specialists, including thoen.armradio.am
The Russians have declared their red line, 'no taking of Armenian sovereign land'. So long as Azerbaijan sticks to only taking back its territory, it'll be in the clear.
The writing is on the wall, the Armenians are a burden for Russia right now, which is why the Russians haven't intervened yet, even though the status quo benefits them. The Armenians will either lose, or the international community will convince Azerbaijan to stop its offensive, in either case, the Russians have nothing to gain.
The hope for Russia now is that Azeri land goes back to Azerbaijan, and Armenia remains in one piece. In this way, their south border will become stable again. They'll still have influence in Armenia, but they know now that Azerbaijan is a lost cause for them. Their goal will be to counter Turkish influence in Azerbaijan, by propping up Armenia even further, after the war ends.
[Edit]: on a side note, I wouldn't be surprised if Azerbaijan and Turkey have Washington's secret backing. Keep in mind, Turkey is a member of NATO, and Azerbaijan shares a border with both Russia and Iran. Azerbaijan is also geographically close to China, making it an ideal place for NATO to counter Russia, Iran and China. It also helps that Russia, Iran and China are all rivals to both Turkey and the US.
I see your point. However, Russia will not, and I repeat will not annex Azerbaijan. I already explained to you the negative consequences of the Crimea annexation and under Trump the sanctions have not changed but rather proliferated in some areas.
Putin does care about Russians more than you think. As a matter of fact he saved and kept it's independence in Financials (foreign banks have limited access to Russian Markets), Energy, defense, food production, etc. Without him, all of these industries would have been "privatized" by western corporations and private investors. This has been done with most eastern European countries (i.e. Poland, Croatia, Bulgaria, Romania, etc.) all of their critical industries have been bought. Let's not get off topic here, Putin publicly stated that Russia only has a responsibility to safeguard the territory of the republic of Armenia, not Nagorno-Karabakh (which is internationally recognized as territory of Azerbaijan).
In a worst case scenario, Russia would send in their Wagner group to assist the Armenians, but so far it has not done that primarily due to Armenia's current prime minister who is pro-west.
I already predicted what will happen. The Azeris will use drones and artillery to soften the Armenian defenses and to lure in their reservists (which is already happening). Destroy and kill as much as possible in the first few weeks (3-8) then a massive offensive will occur and liberate a big chunk. I doubt Azerbaijan will get all of Nagorno-Karabakh, but let's wait and see.
Azerbaijan should speed up liberation, situation may turn bad if it drags on.
I am happy to know, as u mentioned u have extensive knowledge and are much qualified in deen. it might take me 5 decade to know wat u know, as u said. I am happy to know u have studied deen extensively.
Yes, i am not an expert and not sure, if even after 5 decades i will be able to distinguish right or wrong to the degree u so confidently claim. what little knowledge i have and through wat my teachers taught, i dont see turning a church into toilet is ever in any case justified in Islam. Prophet Muhammad (S.A.W) nor his companions has ever done that nor preached as such. But please help me, if through your extensive over 5 decades of learning islam, you can show me where Islam says to do such acts of jahalat. Problem is u are having all the wrong concept of money and property and u being free to do watever u please wid it.
Please share proof. would highly appreciate it. Just plz dont give example of 360 idols being thrown out as its 180 to case we are discussing. Would love to learn from you, based on your extensive knowledge about islam and its teachings.
Central Asia turned into Russian after 1st world war. These people change their identity to adjust themselves with Greater Russia. Even the name change from " Azim" to Azimov" . Otherwise they have been isolated and neglected from jobs etc ..Central Asians were brutally colonised by Russia for a long time. Thats why they speak Russian.
Someone said they have Russian names. lol no they don't. Anyone in Russia can easily know that their names are not Russian. Surnames often end with "-ayev" and first names are like "Nursultan".
I think it's not so Russian.
They might look Chinese to someone who has never seen a Chinese person in their life.
The Central Asian people most integrated into Russia are the Tatars, and they all speak their own language before they learn Russian at school. They've been a part of Russia since Ivan the terrible and before that, they controlled Russia. Most probably even look Russian, and they are loyal citizens because they really have no choice.
All the other central asians that have their own country, are just sitting pretty while their Russian population evaporates. And they do as Russia says, because they don't want to end up like Ukraine.
But one day they will be totally free. This is better for them than fighting a war with Russia.
One tries their best to feel sympathy for the Armenians but when such acts become apparent, it just isn't possible for any rational individual.