Are the US and Iran talking behind the scenes?

[Draco.IMF]

Spoken like someone who doesn’t live in reality.

How long do you think Iran can stay under these sanctions? How long do you think it can be cut off from outside world? How long do you think it can keep exporting 200,000 barrels a day? Iran’s own paralimentary economists say this is the worst economic crisis since the mongol invasion!

US can keep sanctions on forever. Iran is so disconnected from the world economy and it’s only leverage asset was oil. Now there is so much oil being produced that no one NEEDS Iran’s economy to be re-connected right away. If oil was highly in demand then there would be pressure on West to get Iranian supply back on the market. In the meantime, Iran’s currency has depreciated from 3,000 to 25,000! Inflation is rampant. Iran gave away all its leverage (Fordow, Arak) in last negotiations. It also doesn’t have the balls to go nuclear.

You have this notion that Iran can stay under these sanctions forever and it’s not rooted in reality. Iran will have to negotiate sooner or later. If Iran had a strong self sufficient economy than maybe it could hold out longer. But such an idea is more a utopia on paper like Marxism.

"How long do you think Iran can stay under these sanctions?"

Well, it survived 40 years under harshest sanctions, Im more than confident it can survive another 40 years
In contrast Im not even sure how the US will look like in 40 years watching current situation there

"US can keep sanctions on forever."

Who cares, they are isolating themselfes, the world is becoming multipolar

"Now there is so much oil being produced that no one NEEDS Iran’s economy to be re-connected right away"

Irans export value of oil products is shrinking, Iran is getting more and more independet of oil.
Iran is exporting more and more non-oil products. Other Gulf states are in bigger trouble

"It also doesn’t have the balls to go nuclear."

Thats the "official" version my friend, Im sure Iran has big surprises there..