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AN EARTHQUAKE IS COMING IN THE MIDDLE EAST—AND IT'LL BE BIGGER THAN THE ARAB SPRING | OPINION

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AMR DARRAG
ON 11/1/18 AT 3:34 PM


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OPINION


Who was not heartened by the images of protests and demonstrations sweeping across the Arab world in 2011? Here, in the face of corruption and tyranny, was Arab civil society affirming the virtue of elective government in one of the era’s most positive and hopeful displays of popular action. The self-immolation of Mohamed Bouazizi in Tunisia sent millions to the streets and catalyzed successive revolutions that brought down four dictators.

But the consequences were not those that were intended. Without consensus, without the eradication of the old deep state, chaos prevailed, and a new order emerged—one defined by paranoia, repression and financial might. The traditional Middle Eastern powers of Egypt, Iraq and Syria were replaced by the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, whose regimes have long been defined by authoritarian politics and oil wealth. Today, while we are coming to terms with the murder of Jamal Khashoggi, we can clearly see how Saudi Arabia, at least, is willing to exploit its new position.

Democracy itself is now under threat. The Middle East, the cradle of civilisation, is where it is most at risk. And witness to the tyranny taking place or taking hold in the Middle East, the West has failed to take proper action. President Donald Trump, in fact, lent vocal support to autocrats like Egypt’s General Sisi and continues to insist on strategic ties with Saudi Arabia and its de-facto leader, Mohammad bin Salman. But this tolerance for autocracy will neither secure regional stability nor advance American interests.

Indeed, Trump has only weakened the moral authority of the U.S. and its allies at a critical time for them and for the Middle East, and condemned millions to the suffocating oppression of capricious tyrants. He has only showed contempt for democracy, and in so doing encouraged a wider belief—one peddled by the strongmen of the Arab world—that democracy is not always morally good or even desirable.

It is this support, as well as the unpredictability and sheer incoherence of the Trump administration, that have allowed Sisi and others to pursue increasingly repressive policies. Tyrants have taken control in Arab states enfeebled by revolution and exploited a world in turmoil and a West mired in populism to hound and put to death those who defy them. Sisi has enjoyed complete impunity already under the Obama administration, even after massacring over 1,000 Egyptians in Rabaa square in August 2013. Now, he punishes dissidents and activists daily; illegal arrests, enforced disappearances, extrajudicial killings have become routine, and his hidden war in the Sinai Peninsula threatens a humanitarian crisis.

This unravelling in the Middle East joins the increasing recklessness of North Korea, the rise of China and anger in Europe over immigration and low economic growth to amount to a world in turmoil—one that requires strong moral leadership and the upholding of absolute moral values such as democracy, freedom of expression and the principles underpinning international standards and law.

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Candles are seen in front of posters of Jamal Khashoggi during a candle light vigil held to remember journalist Jamal Khashoggi outside the Saudi Arabia consulate on October 25, 2018 in Istanbul, Turkey.(PHOTO BY CHRIS MCGRATH/GETTY IMAGES)

But we have reason to be hopeful. The disgust that followed Khashoggi’s brutal murder proves there is still a line that best not be crossed. Mounting evidence indicates that Khashoggi was tortured, killed and dismembered by Saudi hitmen operating in a sovereign foreign state; such a crime violates every international standard, moral and legal, and threatens international security if its perpetrators are not brought to justice. Trump’s threats against Saudi Arabia mutated into something approaching an endorsement, but the citizens he purports to represent do not share his indifference.

The West on the whole realizes the significance of this crime and its implications for the international order and the story of the Arab Spring. But does the West also realize how much autocrats like bin Salman and Sisi rely on the international community’s cover to continue to commit their crimes? How come Sisi still enjoys the red carpet reception he got this week in Germany while crimes are still being committed every day in Egypt on his behest? Of course, we should raise our voices demanding justice for Jamal; bringing the killers no matter how high they are to justice. But more importantly, we must say clearly that the world must not allow us to we wake up in a few weeks or months to the news of the murder of another Jamal. Let us try not to waste Jamal’s sacrifice.

The story is not over. An earthquake—one far larger than that which began in Tunisia—is coming. Democracy must be guarded and upheld as a moral virtue independently of any local from culture or context. At the same time, a recalibration of diplomacy in regard of the Middle East, and a renewed focus on the region’s repressive regimes, is vitally necessary if anything resembling a world order is going to be maintained—or indeed, restored. Deep and lasting changes have taken and are taking place in the Arab world, and we cannot simply return to the old order; and the West, however much it strives to overlook the populist’s surge signals for international involvement, cannot ignore developments in the region. They are not stabilizing: they’re escalating.

Dr Amr Darrag is Chair of the Egyptian Institute for Studies and a former Minister under Egypt’s first democratically elected Government in 2013.

The views expressed in this article are the author's own.
 
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Dream on, MB terrorist scum.

Fanatics of defence.pk are longing to see death and destruction in Egypt and Saudi Arabia.
MB failed them, Houthis failed them.... i doubt they can do any thing beyond what they have done so far.
May Allah keep failing them. Long live Egypt and Long live Saudi Arabia and Long live Pakistan.
 
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The author is idiotically preaching the democracy but the fact is that if people get their fundamental rights and a good living, they damn care of about the democracy. People in KSA and UAE have a good life...however, the same can't be said about Egypt.
 
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Fanatics of defence.pk are longing to see death and destruction in Egypt and Saudi Arabia.
MB failed them, Houthis failed them.... i doubt they can do any thing beyond what they have done so far.
May Allah keep failing them. Long live Egypt and Long live Saudi Arabia.
WTF dude.. I've just shared an article from newsweek. Its not like I wrote this article. What is your F*king problem. Can't you just stop this blaming habit. Abuse Dr Amr Darrag if you want. Why me? You are holding some kind grudge against me?
Why should I be happy with destruction of KSA or any middle eastern country? I dont have any sectarian problems with KSA. Then why should I?
 
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Democracy itself is now under threat. The Middle East, the cradle of civilisation, is where it is most at risk. And witness to the tyranny taking place or taking hold in the Middle East

I read it seriously , till i reached this sentence :

" Democracy itself is now under threat. The Middle East, the cradle of civilisation, is where it is most at risk. And witness to the tyranny taking place or taking hold in the Middle East "

Ohhhh really ? democracy is under threat ? When has there ever been a democracy in the middle east ?

Makes you wonder where has the writer been in the last 70 years and what is his agenda ?


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The author is idiotically preaching the democracy but the fact is that if people get their fundamental rights and a good living, they damn care of about the democracy. People in KSA and UAE have a good life...however, the same can't be said about Egypt.
Soon Israel will lead Arab world and Israeli democracy will be contagious . That will quickly hold roots inside arab world. Because arab world has high tendency of democracy test. Plus, US govt has made up its mind for democratic middle east. US can't protect and afford monarchy in his allies.
 
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I read it seriously , till i reached this sentence :

" Democracy itself is now under threat. The Middle East, the cradle of civilisation, is where it is most at risk. And witness to the tyranny taking place or taking hold in the Middle East "

Ohhhh really ? democracy is under threat ? When has there ever been a democracy in the middle east ?

Makes you wonder where has the writer been in the last 70 years and what is his agenda ?


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Maybe author is talking about democracy in Israel
 
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:no:

The war in Libya (Civil war imported from outside powers)
The war in Syria (Civil war imported from outside powers)

The humanitarian catastrophe in Syria has certainly left a bad taste

Has left a strong .....feeling in local Arab population how the general demonstration can be hijacked by outside forces to conduct civil war operations in country under the disguise of civil war

Similar disturbances were attempted in Turkey and more recently in Iran but the local people in these countries rejected these pretenders



SAUDIA/UAE/Kuwait/Bahrain have a relaxed population , tones of money and zero taxes there is no reason for any uprising in these countries

Sports stadium are full of visitors .....
Economy in Saudia /UAE is booming .....

Saudis cleaning up garbage before leaving stadiums
173f221b-44aa-4192-b00c-de0b7e222f55_16x9_788x442.jpg

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Women are given more relaxed freedom to watch sports events
SAUDI.jpg


Saudi government arranging for Top Entertainment to keep citizens happy
wwe-crown-jewel-2018-review-e1541168214794.jpg

Population's Education Ratio is close to 80-95% now in Saudia due to free Education system in force for last 20 years


First class tournament hosted in Saudi Featuring Brazil , Saudia, Argentina, IRAQ
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AP18289761168816.jpg



Algeria/Tunisia/Egypt are very much stable and Morrocons seem to love their King and have no major interest in conflict



Saudia just won U19 Asian Cup today with Local Coaching Staff
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The only disturbing act has been the Turkish - Saudia relations in last few weeks
 
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Soon Israel will lead Arab world and Israeli democracy will be contagious . That will quickly hold roots inside arab world. Because arab world has high tendency of democracy test. Plus, US govt has made up its mind for democratic middle east. US can't protect and afford monarchy in his allies.
You're 100% wrong
 
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Soon Israel will lead Arab world and Israeli democracy will be contagious . That will quickly hold roots inside arab world. Because arab world has high tendency of democracy test. Plus, US govt has made up its mind for democratic middle east. US can't protect and afford monarchy in his allies.

What if Iran manage to destroy Israel PLUS US, earlier than Israel PLUS US destroy THE middle east monarchy!?

That's a sign of nationalism.
They can easily afford an Indian or Bengali to clean up but they love their country and nationality.
173f221b-44aa-4192-b00c-de0b7e222f55_16x9_788x442.jpg


You will not find many immigrants around the globe from Saudi Arabia.
I doubt, if they are unhappy with the prevailing system of governance to the point that they opt. for any hero selling them democracy instead.
Actually the governance system is least dictated by the rulers, who are mostly leading the defense ministry, foreign ministry and interior ministry.
 
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