Actually the main idea is to clean the Northen Syria and create safe are for Iranian and Iraqi gas and petrol transportation
Iranian and iraqi gas and petrol transportation, from what starting and ending points in regard of rebel controlled Idlib, and parts of Aleppo ?
Rebel conquests mostly in northern Syria is the development of the widely prepared plans to topple Assad regime and desirably to kill Assad himseld, as they did with Ghadafi. But after the latest events, probability for violent regime removal and Assad assasination are dimishing
Turkey started to transport 800,000 barrel petrol from Northen Kurdistan to Iskenderum port(In Turkey, to deliver it to the oversea market)
Thats sweet, but pipelines are generaly vulnerable. Kurds are politicaly fragmented, which keeps the oportunity for foreign intelligence operations open
In 2 years, Turkey plan to transport Iraqi gas which will be 10 billion cub by 2019
You mean kurdish , or Barzanis clan gas ? Final solution for Syrian and Iraq is still far away. Only upon ISIS is defeated in Iraq and reaching some kind of a deal in Syria, there will be some clarity of ones long term plans are going to get fruited
WHat i want to say is, Turkey also understand that it is very important to push Russia back in Syria
Turkey participated in hosting and supplying rebel gangs inside of Syria from day one, only idiot havent noted that. Kurds reported, turks and ISIS cooperation etc
Turkey also got S.arabia and Qatar(basically their money and connection to Arabs(fighters there) through religion) by their side
Turkey got nothing by itself. Turkish role in syrian carnage is predetermined, by the architects of the whole venture
On the other hand, im not sure if Iran is ready to wait longer(years) to end the Syrian war and to transport their gas to Europe after that
I cant speak in iranian behalf, but they menaged to survive through toughest sanctions, and oil export crippled. Iranians are not idiots not to be aware, any gas export to Europe investment would be a very unreasonable move until the whole turmoil is settled
Russia will increase its air force as much as they can in a short time to be able to turn the war
Russia will do that , but its aware air campaign itself is unsufficient, specially regarding rebel held Idlib
But, Turkey might start to do the safe zone in Syria with the USA. That would change the game and Russia will not be able to influence Arabs by bombing cities. Now they will ned to find each group and try to bomb them. In the ground, it is also well known that Asad forces cant fight well against Tow equipped rebels
This conflict is so complex, no one can forecast the outcome with any value. But I think, Erdogan created so many plans, with Assad gone in mind, hes not going to budge. Only time will show. Only, high probable thing is this is breaking out of global conflict, in 2017-2018 time frame