Who will be the winner in by-polls NA246

[Gazi]

haha I was just kidding, MQM won this seat with great margin leave a slap on a lot of faces, well, I'm accepting more coming by the un seen hands to defame party, media coverage will be on high alert and each candidate poling agents also to avoid and stop any doubtful activity.

That is seem to be the case right now lets see what happened next what they are able to put MQM on. All these things from now on would be nothing more then DESPERATE ATTEMPT and that doesnt work in changing perception because it actually means they are Scared to let MQM win this one.

 

[batmannow]

Altaf hussain should come in Pakistan. Pakistan is important or U.K? What you say

It is a child question you asked , as we all know he never wanted to be a PM, PRESIDENT or whatever politicians are dying to be in Pakistan ?
Hr can be any where , doesn't matters ?
At least , he is not in the top investors like Nawaz Sharif in UK ?

 

[alibaz]

It is a child question you asked , as we all know he never wanted to be a PM, PRESIDENT or whatever politicians are dying to be in Pakistan ?
Hr can be any where , doesn't matters ?
At least , he is not in the top investors like Nawaz Sharif in UK ?

He has his own issues, can't travel cause of confiscated passport coupled with health issues. I believe very tough days are waiting for him. I don't foresee any maj issue in winning NA-246 for MQM but fair polling will hurt their turnout claims. It would be difficult for them to get close to or touch 140 thousand votes despite their best effort. In my opinion it should be more of reputation issue than winning a seat. I only expect 10% for any upset

 

[Gazi]

He has his own issues, can't travel cause of confiscated passport coupled with health issues. I believe very tough days are waiting for him. I don't foresee any maj issue in winning NA-246 for MQM but fair polling will hurt their turnout claims. It would be difficult for them to get close to or touch 140 thousand votes despite their best effort. In my opinion it should be more of reputation issue than winning a seat. I only expect 10% for any upset

Not even Close because this particular Constituency would go for Anti Establishment prospective in the end as Karachi has always Resisted Establishment since very beginning. Rangers are trying very very hard to Clear Ground for PTI but like I said before they cant Change any Perceptions here instead make it worse.

 

[alibaz]

Not even Close because this particular Constituency would go for Anti Establishment prospective in the end as Karachi has always Resisted Establishment since very beginning. Rangers are trying very very hard to Clear Ground for PTI but like I said before they cant Change any Perceptions here instead make it worse.

Bhai this statement may have some affect on non Karachietes, not on me . Rangers are doing no illegal, if getting hold of criminals and taking them to courts, whats bad in it. Don't you feel people roaming around without fear of being snatched in city areas other than Azizabad. I still believe a lot need to be done and still we are far from claiming of attaining routine crime rate comparable to other Metropolitian cities. It is quite heartening that MQM disowned many criminals and even today I v read a statement of MQM leader appreciating criminals out of their files and helping UK government for resolving Dr Imran's case. Finally don't forget PTI and JI got about 30 K and 10 K counted votes respectively from this constituency against Nabeel Gabool of MQM attaining 140 K votes in last general elections in the environment you considered leveled.

 

[Musafir117]

Pictures: Election Corner Meeting Of Mqm Candidate In Gulberg Town

 

[Gazi]

Bhai this statement may have some affect on non Karachietes, not on me . Rangers are doing no illegal, if getting hold of criminals and taking them to courts, whats bad in it. Don't you feel people roaming around without fear of being snatched in city areas other than Azizabad. I still believe a lot need to be done and still we are far from claiming of attaining routine crime rate comparable to other Metropolitian cities. It is quite heartening that MQM disowned many criminals and even today I v read a statement of MQM leader appreciating criminals out of their files and helping UK government for resolving Dr Imran's case. Finally don't forget PTI and JI got about 30 K and 10 K counted votes respectively from this constituency against Nabeel Gabool of MQM attaining 140 K votes in last general elections in the environment you considered leveled.

TIMING is the baddest thing happening right now and that too before Elections is making things lot worse for Establishment then it actually is. They can perform everything after the Election without much Criticism or accused of being ONE SIDED in this whole Karachi operation as they got lot of other Animals to catch be it Lyari Gang War, TTP Elements, Sectarian Terrorists, other Political Party's Militant Element etc. Karachi is filled with criminals and Mafias from all over not just confined to MQM. They can at least try to make those efforts till the Elections because more they try their hands on MQM more they would be considered BIASED and ONE SIDED.

PTI Phenomenon is Temporary one and in last Elections people were expecting that they would make a Govt. and then started making things better but in last two years things have become quite opposite because neither PTI able to make Govt. nor they have yet to come up with anything Constructive in last two years. Naya KPK is still in Media Publicity right now and in Karachi they are relying on Electables which have never worked as Karachi has VALUED ORGANIZATION in Politics since 1970. As for JI then their Prospect is still not certain because their Genuine Voters wont switch to PTI this time around and they want JI to compete rather then Step down in front of anyone and if they step down then consider that End of JI completely.

 

[alibaz]

TIMING is the baddest thing happening right now and that too before Elections is making things lot worse for Establishment then it actually is. They can perform everything after the Election without much Criticism or accused of being ONE SIDED in this whole Karachi operation as they got lot of other Animals to catch be it Lyari Gang War, TTP Elements, Sectarian Terrorists, other Political Party's Militant Element etc. Karachi is filled with criminals and Mafias from all over not just confined to MQM. They can at least try to make those efforts till the Elections because more they try their hands on MQM more they would be considered BIASED and ONE SIDED.

PTI Phenomenon is Temporary one and in last Elections people were expecting that they would make a Govt. and then started making things better but in last two years things have become quite opposite because neither PTI able to make Govt. nor they have yet to come up with anything Constructive in last two years. Naya KPK is still in Media Publicity right now and in Karachi they are relying on Electables which have never worked as Karachi has VALUED ORGANIZATION in Politics since 1970. As for JI then their Prospect is still not certain because their Genuine Voters wont switch to PTI this time around and they want JI to compete rather then Step down in front of anyone and if they step down then consider that End of JI completely.

Why you guys feel so insecure about 246, do you think MQM will lose there, at least I don't think so. At the most PTI+JI doesn't have anything more than 10% chance. However irrespective of timings MQM is not going to get 140 K votes. The margin of votes may be narrow and you never know Imran Farooq case takes such a turn that MQM boycotts election.

 

[Gazi]

Why you guys feel so insecure about 246, do you think MQM will lose there, at least I don't think so. At the most PTI+JI doesn't have anything more than 10% chance. However irrespective of timings MQM is not going to get 140 K votes. The margin of votes may be narrow and you never know Imran Farooq case takes such a turn that MQM boycotts election.

As for me MQM would win and the only reason for that is Establishment is trying to KILL MQM rather then allowing them to die their own Death or Reform themselves. Even if it is Combine PTI and JI MQM still has the upper hand over them as well. The sudden LOVE of Altaf has Began not because of Altaf use to live there rather the reason is because MQM is in trouble from Establishment and they dont want MQM to die due to having no Alternative around the corner to replace MQM.

 

[alibaz]

As for me MQM would win and the only reason for that is Establishment is trying to KILL MQM rather then allowing them to die their own Death or Reform themselves. Even if it is Combine PTI and JI MQM still has the upper hand over them as well. The sudden LOVE of Altaf has Began not because of Altaf use to live there rather the reason is because MQM is in trouble from Establishment and they dont want MQM to die due to having no Alternative around the corner to replace MQM.

Establishment is waiting for last two years to see MQM falling on its own weight and they are in no hurry. The operation is against all terrorists irrespective of their affiliations. Don't you see how gang war has been screwed in Lyari, TTP and ANP guys in Mangu pir, Hijrat colony and sultanabad and nice thing that happened was ANP itself cooperated against its own criminals and probably JI too. MQM that is dominated by Mr Hussain is leading to its fate and will fall on its own, cases are closing to their logical conclusions and may be in coming days Imran Farooq case and money laundering cases catch faast pace all those who have transferred money to US,Germany, Spain , France and east European countries other than UK will not find any hideout there. Urdu Speaking Sindhis (not Mohajirs) are among the best communities of this country that will continue to perform lead role in development of this country.

 

[Gazi]

Establishment is waiting for last two years to see MQM falling on its own weight and they are in no hurry. The operation is against all terrorists irrespective of their affiliations. Don't you see how gang war has been screwed in Lyari, TTP and ANP guys in Mangu pir, Hijrat colony and sultanabad and nice thing that happened was ANP itself cooperated against its own criminals and probably JI too. MQM that is dominated by Mr Hussain is leading to its fate and will fall on its own, cases are closing to their logical conclusions and may be in coming days Imran Farooq case and money laundering cases catch faast pace all those who have transferred money to US,Germany, Spain , France and east European countries other than UK will not find any hideout there. Urdu Speaking Sindhis (not Mohajirs) are among the best communities of this country that will continue to perform lead role in development of this country.

Dont tell me ANP Coordinated buddy their Criminal Elements RAN AWAY from areas they use to hold and TTP and Sectarian Elements Replaced them. I saw that happening myself. As for Rangers wanting MQM to Fail after this Election PTI would be only one who would Failed so badly that they wont be able to find ONE DECENT Person who could actually Contest the Elections as they have used all of their Karachi Leadership filled with 4-5 TV Actors only. In 1990s Establishment tried to kill MQM in the same way they are doing that today but they Failed themselves because MQM ACTUAL SUPPORT Comes out at the time of Trouble as neither MQM nor their Supporters started seeing each other for Granted and start ACTING upon things that matters the most for both sides. This is something that stick otherwise PTI type Parties came and Vanished without any Traces in the past from Karachi. Things are not quite simple here the way MQM was lost so many Votes was a Clear sign that if they dont do something they would die their own death but this whole Media Trial and One Sided action against MQM has brought them Alive and Stronger to face both PTI and JI Simultaneously and both PTI and JI are also fighting for their Existence in Karachi as well. This is how Politics works people of Karachi are Anti Establishment and that is enough to SELL them and MQM is doing that.

 

[alibaz]

Dont tell me ANP Coordinated buddy their Criminal Elements RAN AWAY from areas they use to hold and TTP and Sectarian Elements Replaced them. I saw that happening myself. As for Rangers wanting MQM to Fail after this Election PTI would be only one who would Failed so badly that they wont be able to find ONE DECENT Person who could actually Contest the Elections as they have used all of their Karachi Leadership filled with 4-5 TV Actors only. In 1990s Establishment tried to kill MQM in the same way they are doing that today but they Failed themselves because MQM ACTUAL SUPPORT Comes out at the time of Trouble as neither MQM nor their Supporters started seeing each other for Granted and start ACTING upon things that matters the most for both sides. This is something that stick otherwise PTI type Parties came and Vanished without any Traces in the past from Karachi. Things are not quite simple here the way MQM was lost so many Votes was a Clear sign that if they dont do something they would die their own death but this whole Media Trial and One Sided action against MQM has brought them Alive and Stronger to face both PTI and JI Simultaneously and both PTI and JI are also fighting for their Existence in Karachi as well. This is how Politics works people of Karachi are Anti Establishment and that is enough to SELL them and MQM is doing that.

No one wants MQM to fail in elections thats why Rangers has asked for biomatric verification of voters and CCTV cams at polling stations. Unfortunately ECP says they can not do biomartic verification which isn't understandable cause very recently mobile companies did this exercise all over Pakistan for million of SIMs. Can't ECP do it for one single constituency which is not a far flung area but a place where 3/4 G links and all sort of broadband are available. I think a common MQM supporter must focus on getting rid of criminals out of party. They also must understand that MQM has always been a pro establishment party. Every time they were put under pressure was to cut them to their size when ever they came out of their size (as their creator establishment considered). Sindh government has refused to provide CCTV cams at polling stations. There is no dearth of leadership among urdu speaking Sindhis, they can produce exemplary leadership. Get out of PTI phobia, they cannot and will not win from 246. The statements like one sided action may be effective for a certain class of people having less intellect or interest but generally people know whats going on.

 

[Gazi]

No one wants MQM to fail in elections thats why Rangers has asked for biomatric verification of voters and CCTV cams at polling stations. Unfortunately ECP says they can not do biomartic verification which isn't understandable cause very recently mobile companies did this exercise all over Pakistan for million of SIMs. Can't ECP do it for one single constituency which is not a far flung area but a place where 3/4 G links and all sort of broadband are available. I think a common MQM supporter must focus on getting rid of criminals out of party. They also must understand that MQM has always been a pro establishment party. Every time they were put under pressure was to cut them to their size when ever they came out of their size (as their creator establishment considered). Sindh government has refused to provide CCTV cams at polling stations. There is no dearth of leadership among urdu speaking Sindhis, they can produce exemplary leadership. Get out of PTI phobia, they cannot and will not win from 246. The statements like one sided action may be effective for a certain class of people having less intellect or interest but generally people know whats going on.

Our ECP is Outdated still relying on Manual Voting system and it would take a big leap to develop such Infrastructure and Equally Huge Headache to maintain them at least. The Biometric Verification of Sims were done by NADRA and PTA and we all know how much these two Organizations have been Developed and Modernized during Musharraf's Period since ECP doesnt even have a system in place so expecting them something like that is a long shot. As for MQM being pro Establishment Party then this notion is quite CONTRADICTORY because if MQM was something like that they didnt had to face So many Wrath of Establishment in last two Decades as for Survival then PPP also SURVIVED all that in the past as well only because of Public Support. As for your PTI Phobia I was one who Voted them for National Assembly in last Elections but only to REGRET of my doing so its not PTI PHobia speaking out rather its a REGRET and so far they have also being quite Disappointing since last two years and have nothing Constructive to show instead of Media Hype and Social Media Troll Projects.

 

[Peaceful Civilian]

Establishment is important:sign:

what?... Can you elaborate this...

 

[Peaceful Civilian]

It would be difficult for them to get close to or touch 140 thousand votes despite their best effort. In my opinion it should be more of reputation issue than winning a seat. I only expect 10% for any upset

This is close to impossible this time. In 2002,they got 53000 votes even in Musharaf time. Now, what is difference between 2002 and 2015? What is different that MQM will get more votes that he got in 2002????
Let assume that this time they get same votes of 2002, then I am expecting upset and I will give 70% probability for this.