Who will be the winner in by-polls NA246

[Gazi]

This is close to impossible this time. In 2002,they got 53000 votes even in Musharaf time. Now, what is difference between 2002 and 2015? What is different that MQM will get more votes that he got in 2002????
Let assume that this time they get same votes of 2002, then I am expecting upset and I will give 70% probability for this.

Times changes so as people's patterns. In 2002 it was JI and Mullahs who were invvolved with Musharraf not MQM rather MQM was in DEFENSIVE MOOD as Haqiqi use to control Pockets of their Stronger Voting Territories. In 2008 It was because of one reason which was MQM's Performance during Musharraf's Tenure which won them lot of Goodwill and 2013 was their Decline due to Mindless Reconciliations with PPP and worsning Law and order situation while today its about Establishment as now MQM is playing Anti Establishment Card right now which has worked quite well in the past for MQM as well as for others.
PTI and JI Combine cant defeat MQM in current circumstances if Elections are free and Fair without any Engineering from Umpire Involved and this is 80% possibility to a most conservative circumstances that could occur in Coming days from where I am standing right now.

 

[Patriots]

https://twitter.com/x/status/588684958073425920

 

[Musafir117]

Video: We want to be heard, #NA246belongsToMQM

 

[Patriots]

 

[Psychic]

MQM will win obviously as it is their home ground.

 

[khawaja07]

MQM will win obviously as it is their home ground.

Homeground at which they won through Mass, on-gunpoint rigging and some slaves...Even if Khudanakhasta PTI losses..we will see their true power for the first time in this By-election...

 

[Musafir117]

When a leader is full of misses what you accept from normal workers? They fight, they beat and insult media crew, miss management is their identity. Jalsa kam machli bazar ziyada lag raha hai and they looking for run a country, Sharm magar inhen nahi ati! They were cutting trees shouting Imran khan Zindabad. What a shame.

 

[notorious_eagle]

Homeground at which they won through Mass, on-gunpoint rigging and some slaves...Even if Khudanakhasta PTI losses..we will see their true power for the first time in this By-election...

PTI will not win this election make no mistake of that. If JI candidate opted out in favour of PTI than PTI had a fighting chance but if these three parties compete, PTI has no chance of winning this by election. But MQM this time won't be winning with the same margin as they used to, that itself is a victory for PTI which will put an immense damage on MQM's hold in Karachi.

If you analyze PTI's strategy a bit more closely, it is actually quite smart. They know that they will not win this by election, but they want to prove to the people of Karachi and Pakistan that they are not intimidated by MQM's terrorism. This will help PTI's politics in other parts of Karachi where MQM's hold is not as strong as it in this constituency. Those constituencies which have bore the brunt of MQM's terrorist activities and have been forced to pay Bhatta to MQM for decades. Thus, in the next election expect PTI to win a lot more seats from Karachi than it did in 2013.

But ultimately PTI's objective is Punjab which is the real prize. Nationally Karachi holds very little significance in electoral politics, majority of the seats in NA are still based in Punjab. MQM is extremely despised in Punjab due to their terrorist activities. PTI can claim a moral victory and preach that they went and fought MQM in their own backyard, something PML-N hasn't dared to do. In fact, no other party besides PTI has ever dared challenge MQM in Karachi.

MQM's problems are not going away anytime soon. Altaf Bhai is soon going to jail. More ugly facts about MQM's activities will be revealed as more investigations are conducted. But what fails to amaze me how do people worship this absolute psychopath. Just look at this video, he is not even normal. He is completely crazy

 

[airmarshal]

MQM will win but one thing is sure. PTI competition has exposed the undemocratic nature of this goon party called MQM.

 

[Musafir117]

Competition with their own ally JI the Taliban lickers and most funny thing PMLN ally with JI in NA 246 we don't need this filthy change.

 

[khawaja07]

PTI will not win this election make no mistake of that. If JI candidate opted out in favour of PTI than PTI had a fighting chance but if these three parties compete, PTI has no chance of winning this by election. But MQM this time won't be winning with the same margin as they used to, that itself is a victory for PTI which will put an immense damage on MQM's hold in Karachi.

If you analyze PTI's strategy a bit more closely, it is actually quite smart. They know that they will not win this by election, but they want to prove to the people of Karachi and Pakistan that they are not intimidated by MQM's terrorism. This will help PTI's politics in other parts of Karachi where MQM's hold is not as strong as it in this constituency. Those constituencies which have bore the brunt of MQM's terrorist activities and have been forced to pay Bhatta to MQM for decades. Thus, in the next election expect PTI to win a lot more seats from Karachi than it did in 2013.

But ultimately PTI's objective is Punjab which is the real prize. Nationally Karachi holds very little significance in electoral politics, majority of the seats in NA are still based in Punjab. MQM is extremely despised in Punjab due to their terrorist activities. PTI can claim a moral victory and preach that they went and fought MQM in their own backyard, something PML-N hasn't dared to do. In fact, no other party besides PTI has ever dared challenge MQM in Karachi.

MQM's problems are not going away anytime soon. Altaf Bhai is soon going to jail. More ugly facts about MQM's activities will be revealed as more investigations are conducted. But what fails to amaze me how do people worship this absolute psychopath. Just look at this video, he is not even normal. He is completely crazy

Sorry i can't come to any decision or conclusion until a rigging-free election is held at NA-246..since the days of Bhutto, a fair elections hasn't been conducted since..but now a true fair election is being held..we'll see how much power Really MQM have in their own backyard without the help of Guns....

 

[Musafir117]

Sorry i can't come to any decision or conclusion until a rigging-free election is held at NA-246..since the days of Bhutto, a fair elections hasn't been conducted since..but now a true fair election is being held..we'll see how much power Really MQM have in their own backyard without the help of Guns....

Ro Imran Ro

 

[khawaja07]

Ro Imran Ro

Boo Altaf Boo..

 

[Khalidr]

The Irony is, Leader of MQM became UK citizen in ten years while our muhajir brothers are still muhajirs after 67 years but not Pakistani. Be first Pakistani then think of some thing else...

Ro Imran Ro

By the way whats the next date for Altaf Drama queen resignation..

 

[Musafir117]

The Irony is, Leader of MQM became UK citizen in ten years while our muhajir brothers are still muhajirs after 67 years but not Pakistani. Be first Pakistani then think of some thing else...



By the way whats the next date for Altaf Drama queen resignation..

Bhai ko Bhai logon se ziyada aap serious lete ho:o