HRK
PDF THINK TANK: CONSULTANT
- Joined
- Sep 24, 2010
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Expressed? yes and many times during last 70 years, but this time they needed to "see" it not "hear" it.
they were expecting (and rightly so) and relying on Pakistan's support, we ditched them and they are hurt. Now they will never trust us again and no matter what we do, we will never be able to wash this away ever. That's the cost nations pay because of their incompetent leaders/politicians. it takes decades to build the trust, just a second to lose it...for good.
oh nahi yaar just wait & see ....
- Even Saudis are not going to launch ground offensive in Yemen
- Therefore as off now they do not need 'extra' man power their own forces are more then enough to handle the situation
- Saudis should focus two main objectives
- Safeguard their interest and
- & deny 'undue' Iranian influence,
- This situation is exactly same as the situation we faced in Afghanistan after Taliban withdrawal, therefore to counter 'undue' Iranian influence they need 'Neutral' International Troops & for that troops from those countries who are in alliance with KSA in airstrikes are out of question, nor I think Americans & NATO would like engage themselves in Yemen.
- 'Political engagement' at various regional & International levels is necessary before the deployment of International troops
- One immediate issue is the failure of Mansur Hadi regime, now he offer no political benefit & solution to the problem infact now he himself has become the part of the problem
- New Interim Administration would be required to look after the affairs of State, but for this the problems are
- Current crises is the natural outcome of Power struggle b/w different groups,
- Even Houthis will have at least two faction for power gain Ali Abdullah Saleh, Abdul Malik factions
- Add Sunni tribes to this equation
- If all the concerns quarter would not have their due share in interim setup that arrangement will fail & will create a bigger crises then
- Presence of ISIS & Al-Qaida is another issue which complicates the Yemen situation even further.
- If Saudis go on rampage and some how manage to destroy Ansarallah that will benefit Al-Qaida & ISIS
- Both of these are also Anti-Saud / KSA groups.
- So to achieve comparatively stable & neutral Yemen KSA need to engage Houthi politically with in Yemen & International community 'beyond' the GCC diplomatically.
- Pakistan & Turkey support would be more beneficial at Diplomatic level then the 'fighting a war at this stage'.
- Initial response of KSA is quite right as they have cut Houthis from Iran from where they were getting materialistic support & they have also shown their resolution to go hard if situation go beyond limits.