I believe Erdogan felt into a typical "Merkel Trap". I lived in germany. I know her ways. Believe me this women is by far the most intelligent, cold blooded ruler of the world. Evry step she does is calculated. At first it looks like an accident and mistake and then it turns around to be a masterpiece of a conspiracy. That way she rose to power. You see similaerities between Erdogan and Hitler. I see similarities between Merkel and Emperor Palpatine in Star Wars.
She always gets underestimated by her counterparts and then strikes...
I give you an example. You know how she became chancellor? At the beginning she was general secretary. She did always as ordered. Her party was led by the political titan Helmut Kohl and his planned Sucessor was Schäuble...Then suddenly a person that is still unknown ...published a report about black money. It was a scandal and Kohls renomee was touched...Then a few weeks later suddenly Merkel gave an interview where she critisized Kohl very hard.
Kohl was outraged...but not at Merkel. He believed she is too weak to do this alone. He suspected Schäuble. So he and schäuble started to battle against each other until they ruined their entire renomee and stepped back...and as the dust settled Merkel appeared and became leader and chancellor.
Meanwhile she killed off any oppossition in germany. All parties sing her song. Its like she hovers above the realm of daily politics. Now that the refugee crisis is solved she climbs even higher...
and thats where i see turkey mistake...Erdogan made the mistake to send Davutoglu. No hard feelings against this guy. Im sure he wants the best but he is no match against Merkel...Its said he met with her at that congress alone and she made him all kind of promises...like visa free entry for turks as well as EU membership...he was blinded and agreed.
Experts say they noticed Erdogan said nothing about this. They think he realized what happened. He may sometimes react strange but i doubt he is idiotic. He knew this wont work because he knows how the EU works. Turkey and EU arranged pretty fine the way it is. I think its a big reason why he removed Davutoglu...
because it happened as it had to happen. Turkey signed teh deal, closed its borders. The refugee numbers drop to minimum levels. And i fully acknowledge the hardships your country faces because of the refugee masses.
On the other side turkey is trapped in EU complicated system. Merkel promised something she has no official power into. Davutoglu made a deal with the german chancellor between Turkey and all of europe. France, Italy, Spain and so on. He did so within minutes without any consultations.
And now nothing is achieved for turkey. Erdogan knows this. Thats why he already said it wont be there anytime soon. He makes it public bit by bit to not bring the damage above himself. Meanwhile Merkel smiles and says she supports...she is certain...bla bla but does nothing .
I think Erdogans angry remarks against EU few weeks ago were a test balloon. That Schulz fired back that agressive showed that EU wont give by.
All the patriotic bla bla from both sides dont change the fact that turkey needs europe as biggest supporter and market and the EU needs turkey as gate keeper and a stable country in the region. Erdogan wont open the gates because he knows that would break relations with EU. On the other side evrything will stay as it is and EU will pay Turkey money to secure the boarder and ask no questions what happens at turkish southern border.
Believe me there are not many who can stand against Merkel. She reduced the french president into her sidekick...She is feared in Europe.
Remember when new government of greece tried to gain alliance with france and italy against germany? Neitehr the french president nor our pm dared to do anything. Even Putin didnt support greece to not anger Merkel.
Merkel met alone with Davutoglu. She made him feel important and he did something he propably had no authority to do.
Our PM Renzi is a little oppossition towards Merkel in EU. He once said he is extremly carfeul towards her. She somehow has the ability to whisper things into you that you see positive at first but end up be bad for you and good for her.
P.s.: I dont know why you guys always go Milano. I hate Milano.
Its kinda cold there. The people are cold and not very italian from temprament and the city is arrogant with evry aspect ha ha