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I'd take that with a huge bag of salt given the way its written.
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I'd take that with a huge bag of salt given the way its written.
Wow, a they sent a ducking general into the field? This is either desperation, or extreme incompetence.Top Russian general killed by Ukrainian sniper
Major General Andrey Sukhovetsky, who was the deputy commander of the 41st Combined Arms Army of Russia's Central Military District, was killed yesterday as Ukraine's defences held firm.www.dailymail.co.uk
Other sources are reporting too.
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an allied EU/US in direct confrontation. China will be Putin's sugar daddy for the foreseeable future
Wow, a they sent a ducking general into the field? This is either desperation, or extreme incompetence.
Or... maybe they shot him themselves
China is much better equipped than Taiwan but Taiwan has planned its defenses very well; numerous Taiwanese defensive positions are in mountainous locations which can absorb heavy firepower. Taiwan's geography is very well suited for waging guerilla warfare - it is surrounded by ocean and feature a large number of mountains in the middle. It is not easy to insert a large force in Taiwan given its geography and mined spaces. IF Taiwanese are courageous and willing to fight, they can win the war on the ground. It will come down to human factor in this case.Well, you don't need a time scale, all you need is any invasion of Taiwan via force will defeat the purpose to recapture Taiwan in the first place. unless you are thinking of China want Taiwan back as a wasteland. You are ALWAYS going to look at urban fighting if you try to recapture Taiwan by force. Which mean city center is going to lay in ruin, and everything will be destroyed. This may have work in Middle East where nobody really care how destroy or damage done to Syria, Iraq and Afghanistan, but do you really think China want to do that to Taiwan? I mean, would China want Taiwan if Taiwan is a piece of ruinscape that got bombed to piece??
And that is BEFORE there are any possibility of US involvement.
Any reunification is going to be political, any sort of "invasion by force" is going to be rhetorical
My take in following post:Putin is too young to retire. He has tabled changes to Russian constitution that would effectively help him remain President until mid 2030s.
I think Putin's Ukraine invasion is an ideological war. He wants to bring back the Soviet Union before his retirement and does not care about how many bodies he has to step over for that to happen. Political suicide is only possible if an average Russian on the street is reduced to a pauper and the rich in Russia reduced to middle class. The west really needs to find long term alternatives for Russian energy imports. Even then, China will keep Russia on life support.
Good point about the effect of an appreciating Yuan. But it have to be a sustained appreciation for industries to move out. It may happen if Ukrainian occupation continues for a few years.You are very optimistic about Russian options and leverage.
Vladimir Putin was doing well until he decided to invade Ukraine. Have a look at my take on this matter:
Russia-Ukraine War - News and Developments
Does someone know where Mexico stands on this conflict? Has Mexico put sanctions on Russia as well?defence.pk
Putin have managed to rejuvenate NATO instead; more countries are willing to join NATO now:
Neutral Finland, Sweden Warm To Idea Of NATO Membership
Through the Cold War and the decades since, nothing could persuade Finns and Swedes that they would be better off joining NATO — until Russia's invasion of Ukraine.www.huffpost.com
Russian economy took a hit from the sanctions imposed on it by USA in 2014 - dropped from 5th spot to 11th spot in the (2014 - 2021) period. This was the situation when much of Europe was supporting Russia all along.
But things are changing now - and fast.
You mentioned CIPS but is it good enough to rescue Russian economy by itself? It will be a lifeline at most. Fairly good explanation in following article:
‘No desire to pay’: China’s manufacturers feel the pain of Ukraine crisis
China is the largest trading partner of both Russia and Ukraine, but sanctions from the US and its European allies have started to be felt by customers in both countries.www.scmp.com
And this:
“Both the US and UK financial sanctions against Russia will lead to an increase in the volume of yuan transactions in terms of Russian-Chinese trade. This may be one reason for the strong yuan, but a strong yuan is bad news for China’s export sector,” Zheng said.
More:
Europe is in search for alternative to Russian gas in Africa:
AZA Finance FX Week Ahead: Russia trade war puts African gas in focus
As Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine continues to intensify and Western sanctions on Russia mount, so the likelihood increases of Moscow retaliating by shutting off its gas supply to European markets.thebftonline.com
LNG also stepping up its game:
Energy group safeguarding Europe’s LNG supply
An association of 84 companies involve in global liquefied natural gas (LNG) trade is working to ensure that a stable supply of LNG remains available as the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to escalate.www.gasworld.com
Let us not delude ourselves - some of the greatest minds are in the Western hemisphere.
The rules of game will change for all involved. China will also have to come to terms with appreciation in Yuan in coming years. There are trade-offs.
I hate that bitxht called Tulsi she is extremely cringeworthy please refrain from posting anything with her in here she triggers my cringe-levels
ukraine will be buffer state, not a russian one.
China has formidble alliance in the east Pakistan-IEA-Uzbekistan-Turkmenistan-North Korea
Europe is looking for alternative to Russian gas supply in Africa. This will pave way for some African countries to grow and prosper.Good point about the effect of an appreciating Yuan. But it have to be a sustained appreciation for industries to move out. It may happen if Ukrainian occupation continues for a few years.