This week will be more remarkable than previous 4. A spike in Russian losses due to repeated river crossing failures near Izyum, Popasna, losses from convoys ending in killboxes, and long range artillery fire getting their rear.
4+ battalions worth of vehicle losses.
Remarkable slowdown in Ukrainian loss rate, which I will not disclose, as well.
Popasna is stabilising. Ukrainians took decision to shell urban territory before Russians can entrench as civilians were said to have left.
A note for me, why Russians went for bridging, when only their tanks need bridges, and they had no tanks?
BTR, BMP can swim.
But if we remember siege of Kiyv, there was at least 1 battalion worth of vehicles which went for a swim in Pripyat, and ended up drowning because all seals on these vehicles were ages old, and hulls had holes from rust.
Maybe they were afraid of that, and that's why their mechanised can't swim.
About the bridges. You need to remember two things.
1.) Not Just tank/apc are going to use those bridges, they have to bring troop, truck, artillery across as well.
2.) It also depends on the river ford. if the ford is not low enough, even BTR can't get up on the bank.
As for the recent loss, well, the Russian should have know when Ukrainian withdrew from Popasna with civilian, that they will shell the village, that is really expected, they should have tug down on the outskirt and then made fortification around the city and dig in. They didn't do that suggest they are in a hurry to go to the next objective.
Another thing is, M777 and M270 MLRS is starting to show up on Frontline, which mean Russian artillery are going to be outrange by Ukrainian one, and in the Eastern Ukraine, the flat terrain favor the attacker, which mean you can just sit and bomb those village and then move in when you deal enough damage, but that cut both way, now that Russian are occupying those village, they would have been subject to the same condition, and once enough M777 (US is giving them 90 of those) are in position, they can used to either provide combat support or COUNTBAT. This is going to turn the tide a bit, until eventually Russia have to brought in their Close Air Support.
And Ukraine hasn’t even received the new weapons packages of $20B+
Wonder what would Ukraine get with that 40 bil package?
Even if only half of those are going to defence, that still Qatar, Israel, Turkey or Canada level of spending. Which is a lot.